11-30-15

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Sports Atari

Thunder -2

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Robert Ferringo

Browns -2.5 (5-units)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 41.0
Baltimore at Cleveland (8:30 p.m., Monday, Nov. 30)

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Frank Patron

20,000 Dime NFL Lock


Under 41 Points Cleveland / Baltimore

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Mike O’Connor
CLEVELAND (-3) 26 Baltimore 17
This is a great spot for the Browns coming off their bye playing at home on Monday night football and I expect to get their best effort in this game. On the flip side the Ravens are in a terrible spot off a last second win in a game where they lost quarterback Joe Flacco and running back Justin Forsett for the season. With a 3-7 record and now without their starting quarterback and running back, the Ravens officially know that this is a lost season. For a veteran team that had high hopes entering this season after a good run in the playoffs last year where they had the Patriots on the ropes, they can’t be very inspired to go and play the Browns in what is essentially a meaningless game. Flacco’s replacement, Matt Schaub, is well past his prime and will have trouble moving the ball in this game – since the beginning of the 2013 season Schaub has just 10 touchdown passes (2.7% touchdown pass rate) to go along with 16 interceptions (a terrible 4.4% interception rate). With a subpar rush offense that has only averaged 98 yards at 4.0 ypr against teams that allow 110 yards at 4.3 ypr that will likely be worse than that (back-up Javorius Allen has been .3 ypr worse than Forsett), Schuab and the Ravens offense is going to struggle. On top of that, their offensive line has not played well and is also banged up – starting center Jeremy Zuttah went on IR last week (prior to going down, Zuttah had graded out as Pro Football Focus’s #8 center), and this past week left tackle Eugene Monroe and left guard Kelechi Osemele didn’t finish the game and it looks like they’ll miss this game. Let’s not forget that they lost top wide-out Steve Smith a few weeks ago. With all of the injuries they have to deal with this offense is going to have some problems in this game.
On the other side, Cleveland will start Josh McCown after another Johnny Manziel fiasco, but he is clearly their best quarterback with 11 touchdowns and a very good 4.6% touchdown rate (and just and 4 interceptions with an excellent 1.6% interception rate). In addition, McCown torched this Ravens secondary for 457 yards in the Browns 33-30 win back in Week 5 in Baltimore.
Adjusting for the loss of Flacco and Forsett, and with McCown in for Cleveland my model projects a 7.9 point Browns win. I don’t have any situations that apply to this game but I like the spot and with all of the personnel adjustments, I like the Browns minus the short number.

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INTPICKS
College Basketball
#536
7:00 PM ET
1 Star
Alcorn St @ Indiana
Take Indiana -34

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Mile High Sports Picks
50 Unit – Chattanooga -1

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Robert Ferringo
CBB
1* NORTH TEXAS +20.5
1* KENTUCKY -20
2* WAKE FOREST -6.5
1* LSU -5
2* FRESNO STATE +11.5
1* MINNESOTA -1
1* WESTERN CAROLINA+18.5
1* TENN CHATTANOOGA-2
1* INDIANA -34.5

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Scott Delaney

50 Dime AFC North
Total of the Year

Baltimore at Cleveland Under 41

[golden contender]

GC: NHL PLAY

Monday night Football totals play with 3 Different totals system and a 5* NBA Dog with a system that is perfect since 1995. Top plays on Denver in NFL and NBA/NCAAB provide a solid Sunday. Free NHL Preview below.


The NHL Power play is on the NY. Rangers at 7:05 eastern. The Rangers have lost 3 straight and will look to rebound here tonight against a Carolina team they have beat 10 straight times at the Garden. In the last 7 trips Carolina has not scored more than 1 goal in any game and they are 3-11 with revenge, 9-37 on the road if the total is 5 or less and have lost 4 of 5 division games. The Rangers are 8-1 off 3 losses. Look for the NY .Rangers to get back on track tonight. On Monday we end the month big with a triple system Monday night Totals play and a 5* NBA Underdog with a league wide system that has never lost in the 20 20 years history of the database. Jump on now and put this cutting edge material and data on your side. For the free NHL Play. Take the NY. Rangers. GC

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Brandon Lang

My 20 Dime selection is the Ravens over the Browns. The current line on this game is the Ravens +4 1/2. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

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Indian Cowboy
CBB
3* #519. Take Wake Forrest -6.5 over Rutgers (Monday @ 7pm est)
3* #517. Take Illinois State +20.5 Kentucky (Monday @ 7pm est)
3* #529 Take Western Carolina +18.5 over South Carolina (Monday @ 7pm est)

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VSI hoops:

4 Unit Play. Take #528 Over 135 Clemson at Minnesota (9:00p.m., Monday November 30 ESPN2)

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Strike Point Sports
NBA
7* Utah +8

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Raphael Esparza (VSI)'s Picks For NBA Basketball

4 Unit Play. Take #502 Miami -3 over Boston (7:35 p.m., Monday, Nov 30)
Miami has had great success this season at home winners of 8 out 10 home games. Heat are coming off a big road against the Knicks Friday night and the Heat are riding a 3-games home winning streak. Boston has had some struggles on the road and tonight in South Beach I see that grabbing another easy home winning streak. Boston is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games and the Heat are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 Monday night games.

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Allen Eastman's Picks For NBA Basketball

3-Unit Play. Take #502 Miami (-3) over Boston (7:30 p.m., Monday, Nov. 30)
Miami is an underrated team in the East right now. They are 10-5 on the season and this is a quality team. The Heat have won four of five and that includes a pair of blowout wins over the Knicks. I think the Heat will do the same to the Celtics here. Boston is just 3-4 in its last seven games and just 2-5 ATS. They are not playing well after their nice pair of road wins at OKC and Houston. The Celtics have been blown out in their three road games since then, losing by an average of almost 18 points per game! And that includes losses at Brooklyn and Orlando. There is a strange trend in this series. The underdog has covered 10 straight times! I don't think that streak is going to be able to continue and this one should be all Miami. Play the Heat.

2-Unit Play. Take #508 Milwaukee (-4) over Denver (8 p.m., Monday, Nov. 30)
This is a revenge game for the home team. They lost 103-102 as a three-point underdog up in Denver just a few weeks ago. I think they will even up the season series in this one. Milwaukee has lost three straight and six of their last seven games. But five of those losses cam eat home. This is a completely different team when they are at home. The home team has won five of the last seven in this series. The Bucks are favored even though they are playing on a second night of a back-to-back. And this spread opened at 3.5 and was bet up to 4.0. The sharp money is on the hosts in this one. I like the Bucks to get it done here.