12-5-15

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RIVER CITY SHARPS

Kansas State is used to playing in bowl games under HC Bill Snyder, but they will need a victory Saturday to make than another reality in Snyder’s final season for the Wildcats. The Wildcats lost their first six Big 12 games before back-to-back wins over Iowa State and Kansas. Snyder’s teams have always excelled in the underdog role and that’s where we get them on Saturday. Kansas State is 19-6 ATS over their last 25 games vs. teams with a winning record and they are a perfect 3-0 against the number in their last three outings vs. these Mountaineers. They are also 3-1 against the number is their last four games as a home dog. We really like this underdog spot for the Wildcats and wouldn’t be surprised at all to see an outright win. That said, we will gladly take those points as some insurance! The Sharps say…
4 Unit ♦Diamond Play♦ – Kansas State (+5.5

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EZWINNERS

NCAAF

2* (323) USC +4.5
2* (322) North Carolina +4.5
2* (332) Iowa +3.5

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Indian Cowboy

6-Unit Under 67.5 North Carolina vs Clemson

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Red Dog Sports

Charleston at The Citadel
11am Saturday
3* over 161.5


This is an early start for a Saturday game (11am eastern) and it could cause a slow start but the Citadel is home and they just played a 97-93 (190 points) at Air Force. Citadel has a new coach who likes to play fast and shoot 3's as he did at VMI. If Charleston wants to they can put up lots of points as Butler scored 144 against them. 161.5 is the opening total at Bookmaker.

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By Greg Dempson

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans

My College football record at Every Edge stands at 9–3 ATS. Onto this week’s selection. The last time the Iowa Hawkeyes went undefeated during the regular season was back in 1922. Saturday night at Lucas Oil Stadium, in Indianapolis, they will most certainly have an opportunity to play in the College Football Playoffs, if they can defeat the Michigan State Spartans.

When reviewing each teams SOS, (strength of schedule,) Michigan State clearly has played tougher opponents. The Spartans played the 26th toughest schedule while outscoring opponents 33.4 vs. 21.1 PPG. Michigan State’s YPG vs. other FBS foes is 5.6 ranking then #64. Michigan State has a defense that is ranked #15 and they held Ohio State to a season in rushing as well as the Michigan Wolverines.

As for Iowa they played the 59th SOS outscoring opponents by a margin of 33.7 vs. 18.7 PPG. The Hawkeyes YPG vs. other FBS teams is 4.6 for ranking of #66.

Each team is +13 PPG in Conference play but one glaring difference is the fact that Iowa didn’t face, Ohio State, Michigan or Michigan State in the regular season. Michigan State were fortunate in their win vs. Michigan but got robbed by the officials in their lone loss at Nebraska. Iowa was badly outplayed at Northwestern, (outgained by 183 yards and held to 11 first downs vs. 22 by the Wildcats,) but the Hawkeyes were aided by +4 in the takeaway department.
View From the 50 Yard Line

· Working with various sets of power ratings I make Michigan State a minimum favorite of –4.5 points to a maximum favorite of –7 points.

· The past two seasons the Spartans are 9–0 ATS after winning four of five of their last six games.

· The Hawkeyes are 0–3 ATS in their last three vs. Michigan State.

· Michigan State lost to Nebraska 39–38 while Iowa won 28–20 but I note that Iowa allowed Nebraska to possess the ball for 36 minutes and the Cornhuskers out-yarded Iowa 433 to 250 yards.

· Michigan State held Penn State sack-less last week and the Nittany Lions were #1 in the nation in sacking opposing quarterbacks.

· The Hawkeyes defeated only four teams this season with a winning straight up record.

· I do like the Spartans in this game but I am focusing on the total rather than the side.

· Over/Under Angles

· The Spartans and the Hawkeyes are each 5–2 to the over in their last 7 games.

· The last four BIG–10 Championship games have sailed way over the total by almost 21 PPG.

· Michigan State is 35–13 to the over after covering four or five of their last six games.

· The past two seasons Iowa is 12–03 to the over after playing a conference game.

· The Spartans are 27–13 to the over after allowing 17 points (or less) in two straight games.

· In their four common opponents Michigan State outscored their opposition 34.5 to 23.3 while Iowa outscored their foes by a margin of 33.3 to 20.5. If you were to average those numbers your O/U would be almost 56 points.
College Football Pick

My Every Edge game of the Week is for Michigan State and Iowa to sail over 51 points.

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Dave Essler
CFB

3* North Carolina

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Marc lawrence internet plays

florida
kansas st

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Marc Lawrence

Late Telephone Selections:

CFB PLAYS
CFB - * Game 332 - Iowa (+3.5) - Conference Championship Play of the Year
CFB - * Game 323 - USC (+4.5)

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Dave Cokin:

317 Troy +2
323 USC +3.5

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SMART SPORTS INVESTMENTS

Risked 3 units to win 2.31
Temple +7 -130 vs Houston U

Risked 4 units to win 3.64
West Virginia -6.5 -110 vs Kansas State

Risked 5 units to win 4.55
North Carolina +5 -110 vs Clemson

Risked 5 units to win 4.55
Iowa +3.5 -110 vs Michigan State

Risked 3 units to win 4.65
Iowa +155 vs Michigan State

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PREDICTION MACHINE

AGAINST THE SPREAD PICKS
Rot Time (ET) Pick Opp Line Margin Pick% $
324 7:45 PM USC ♦Upset Watch♦ vs STAN 4.5 • 1.3 56.7% $45

STRAIGHT-UP PICKS
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win%
324 7:45 PM USC ♦Upset Watch♦ vs STAN 34.4 33.1 52.4%

OVER/UNDER PICKS
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% $
324 7:45 PM STAN vs. USC 59 • 67.5 Over 59.9% $79

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bookieshunter
SEC Championship "Game of the Year"-Saturday 5 December2015
FLORIDA +17.5 vs. Alabama (3*)

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Top NCAAF Public Bets

#1 315 Appalachian St 84%
#2 311 New Mexico State 82%
#3 318 UL Lafayette 75%
#4 310 Arkansas State 73%
#5 328 San Diego State 72%
#6 331 Michigan State 69%
#7 326 Alabama 68%
#8 306 Baylor 65%
#9 322 Houston 63%
#10 314 Kansas State 62%

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Indian Cowboy


Soccer



3-Unit Play. Take Manchester City (-142) over Stoke (7:45 a.m., Saturday, December 5) (English Premier League)

City are back on top of the table after last weekend's win (and Leicester's draw), and with that I think they play with an extra kick this week. City are the league's most potent scoring side whenever they take the pitch. Just too many skilled playmakers at their disposal. I'm not sure Stoke will have an answer, even if it home. City stay on top with three points at the Brittania.


3-Unit Play. Take Inter Milan (-154) over Genoa (2:45 p.m., Saturday, December 5) (Italian Serie A)

Inter dropped its match against Napoli last weekend, which was a clash of the league's top two teams. Now Milan needs a bounce back effort. They get it here against a Genoa side that simply isn't as talented. Inter are still just a single point from being back at he top, and I expect them to be on their top game at home at the San Siro in order to pressure Napoli to again find themselves at pole position in the standings. Inter cruises here.