12-9-15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Patron

20,000 Unit CBB Lock

Detroit Titans +1.5 over Toledo

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

WEDNESDAY

My 200♦ Winner is on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS against the Miami Heat. And as I release this play at 9 a.m.pacific, the number I see on this game is Charlotte +1' points

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg shaker

3* loyola mary / boise st over 147.5

2* southern Illinois -15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo


1-Unit Play. Take #724 Providence (-16) over Boston College (7 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)
NOTE: This game is not yet available at all books. If the line comes out any higher than this I would suggest not playing it.
Eight players on the Boston College team were shelved with food poisoning over the weekend. They just got back to practice yesterday and I don't see how they are going to be ready to play. And I really don't think Providence, a regional rival, will 1-Unit Play. Take it easy on them at all. Boston College is one of the worst power conference teams in the country already. But they are without two of their best players, such as it were, with Dennis Clifford and Eli Carter both already out. Providence isn't really good enough to blow too many teams out - they only have two victories of 20 or more points this year - but with everything going on around this game I think they can hammer the Eagles in this one.

1-Unit Play. Take #725 Valparaiso (-7.5) over Indiana State (7 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)
Indiana State is an extremely shaky team. They may or may not be ready to play a good game here, but I don't know that it matters. Valparaiso is one of the best mid-major teams in the country and they have an outstanding resume to this point in the year, with Top 80 wins over Iona, Rhode Island, Oregon State and Belmont, as well as a near-miss at Oregon. This is one of the most experienced teams in the country and they can score in a multitude of ways. I just don't think that Indiana State can keep up. The Sycamores are ranked in the 300's in most major offensive categories and just can't shoot at all. Indiana State is 5-1 ATS in its last six games, but I think that has helped to keep the number down.

2-Unit Play. Take #727 Toledo (-2) over Detroit (7:30 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)
I've missed betting against Detroit a couple times already, but I still think that my read on this team is solid. This is a rebuilding year for a program that's been very solid the past few seasons. But they are now lacking the same top-end talent that they have enjoyed - producing two NBA players over the last five years - and are just trying to figure things out. Toledo has revenge in this matchup and they won their last trip up here in 2013. The Rockets lost outright as a 10-point favorite last year and they should even that up this time around. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. However, the favorite has won the game in nine of the last 10 meetings dating back to 2010. If Toledo wins, they will cover.

2-Unit Play. Take #735 UW-Milwaukee (+11.5) over Wisconsin (9 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)
This game is really the Super Bowl for the Panthers. This game means so much more to them than it does to the Badgers. Wisconsin is a team that's just trying to figure some things out and get by. They have played a bunch of high-profile games over the past two weeks - playing in New York City, at Oklahoma, at Syracuse and against Temple - and this game just doesn't rate for them. Especially with a much bigger rival, Marquette, up on deck this Saturday. The Badgers beat UW-Milwaukee by 39 points last year ina game that was a bloodbath. That gives the Panthers a big revenge motivation here as well. Every few years the Panthers throw a little scare into the Badgers. They only lost by six in 2005, by 10 in 2009, and by six against in 2011. This is probably the worst Badgers team in that entire time frame. Milwaukee runs the same sets and plays the same system as the Badgers and I think that they can out-execute them in some areas. I think that Milwaukee will stay competitive in this game. They won't win. But I don't see them getting run here.

1-Unit Play. Take #738 Vanderbilt (-8.5) over Dayton (9 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)
Dayton is dangerous. Or so goes the thought. They were an NCAA Tournament team last year and even won a couple games. They made the Sweet 16 two years ago. This season the Flyers have wins over Alabama (by 32) and Iowa, as well as some wins over good mid-major teams. However, I think they have played over their heads and I think that they will get worked over here. The Flyers lost by 29 against Xavier in a game that was never competitive and that's really the only high-end team that they've faced this season. Vanderbilt Is legit. Yes, they have lost two of their last three games. But both - against Kansas in Maui and at Baylor - were very close, well-played game and the Commodores are even better on their home gym. Vandy has a significant size advantage and they can shoot the lights out at home. Vanderbilt is 4-1 ATS in its last five games and I really think that Dayton is overrated at the moment.

2-Unit Play. Take #740 BYU (-7.5) over Utah State (9 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)
The Cougars have covered three straight and they play really well in this price range. BYU is outscoring its opponents by 15 points at home this year and beat a better Belmont team than this USU group by 14 on Nov. 28. Utah State is coming off a sloppy road trip, getting rocked at Duke and then squeaking by a bad Missouri State team. They got home just in time to turn around and go back on the road to face an in-state rival. The Aggies are kind of all over the map and they are still trying to work around not having forward David Collette, who left the team under kind of ugly circumstances. The karma on this team is not good at the moment. They have a new coach and just four of their top seven scorers back from a really shaky team last year that lost to BYU by 10 at home. In fact, BYU has won this matchup by 10 points and by 11 points the last two years in games that were both played on the road. Last year's BYU team was really victimized by a lack of size on the interior. But they have gotten bigger and better in the post this season, complimenting their strong perimeter play from Kyle Collinsworth and Chase Fischer. Nick Emery will also be back for this game after serving a suspension and I just think that the Cougars are going to be too tough in Provo.

1-Unit Play. Take #741 UNLV (+7.5) over Wichita State (9 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)
1-Unit Play. Take #756 Marshall (-6.5) over Eastern Illinois (7 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)
1-Unit Play. Take #746 Boise State (-14.5) over Loyola Marymount (10 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)
Boise State has played three home games this year. Granted, two of them were against D-II schools. However, the Broncos scored over 100 points in all three games and have been known to run people out of the gym. They faced a Northern Arizona squad and rates out pretty close to this LMU bunch and beat them by 20. Marymount is coming off a win over UC-Riverside and they actually haven't been that bad on the road this year. But they don't shoot and they don't defend and that could be a problem here.

1-Unit Play. Take #748 Pepperdine (-4.5) over Long Beach State (10 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)
I feel like Pepperdine is a lot better than they have played to this point in this season. And this could be a good spot for them. Long Beach State has played its typical brutal schedule (ranked No. 19 in the country) and does so to toughen them up for league play. But they've had a wild last week. First, they hosted San Diego State last Tuesday. Then they hit the road on Thursday to play another game at altitude at Colorado State. They flew home Friday and had to play at home against New Mexico State on Saturday and then on the road at UCLA on Sunday. They only lost by seven to the Bruins and I wonder if they will be as focused for this game, which is back on the road.

1-Unit Play. Take #757 Columbia (-8) over Manhattan (7 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)
The Jaspers are a disaster right now. They are 1-5and they have not even been close. Manhattan has lost and lost huge this year, losing their three road games by 26, 23 and 35 points. And those games weren't against great teams. They also lost at home by 13 to Bucknell and by five to a really, really bad Marist team. They have exactly one guy, Shane Richards, that can do anything. And Richards is really just a shooter; he isn't a guy that generates offense or creates his own shot. Columbia has plenty of shooters. They beat that same Bucknell team by 11 points - on the road. Columbia played really tough at Kansas State this year. Also, their other four losses have come by a combined total of seven points. Two of those losses were in OT. So this team isn't that far away from being 8-2 and really impressive. They have played 10 games already this year (compared to just six for Manhattan) and I think that makes a difference for the visitors as well. These two teams have played three times this decade. Columbia has covered the spread in all three and they won by 18 points in their last trip here. I'm willing to bet that this shaky team gets run again here.

1-Unit Play. Take #764 Southern Illinois (-15.5) over SIU-Edwardsville (8 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)
Here we have two teams on the opposite end of the spectrum. Edwardsville is basically a fringe D-I program and is used to getting mauled. They've lost their last four games by 25, 13, 18 and 16 points. They can't shoot, they can't defend and I don't see them being competitive here. Barry Hinson looks like he has finally jarred something loose with this Southern Illinois team. After suffering through last year's brutal, mutinous season Hinston has cleaned out the roster and now has control over his team. They've played three teams this year that are rated No. 300 or worse (SIU-E is No. 330). The Saluki's won those three games by 30, 24 and 32 points. They are wrecking people. Southern Illinois has beaten SIU-E four straight seasons and has covered the spread each time. And this is probably the best any Salukis team has been playing in that stretch. Last year they won by 12 points on the road and their four wins have come by an average of 17 points apiece. Hey, until we see something different then one of these is a team to bet on and the other is a team to bet against.

3-Unit Play. Take #759 Hofstra (-1) over Siena (7 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)
This Siena team is all over the map. They played well in wins over Bucknell and Radford and their last home game they won by 35 over Manhattan. They have a lot of upperclassmen starters but it is tough to tell what their real upside is. We know what Hofstra's upside is. They are one of the better mid-major teams on the East Coast. They have quality road wins at St. Bonaventure and LaSalle and they have a win over Florida State to boot. Hofstra has an exceptional backcourt with Juan'ya Green and Ameen Tankersley and I think that this is the best team in the CAA. They're just a better team and I think they are ore than capable of getting a win here.

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #740 BYU (-2.5) AND Take #725 Valparaiso (-2.5)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #738 Vanderbilt (-3.5) AND Take #740 BYU (-2.5)
Carpe diem. Good luck.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point

Wednesday's College Basketball Plays 6-Unit Play. #759 Take Hofstra (-1) over Siena (7 p.m., Wednesday, December 9) Oddsmakers have favored Siena in each of their last three games (1-2), two of those being on the road. So for them to now dog the Saints at home is a pretty good indication of where this one is going. Granted, I already knew Hofstra to be the better team, but this number does back it up. The Pride are the class of the CAA this season. It's early in the season but they have an RPI of 36. Siena is 185. That separation gap doesn't speak to just one point as the line suggests. It should be more but we get a soft one here. Hofstra already has road wins against two more talented teams that are worth stacking up against Siena, and that's Saint Bonaventure and La Salle. They also have a neutral court win over a good Florida State team. The Pride have put together three straight wins since after Thanksgiving, and I like this run to continue before they get to league play. Hofstra by a half dozen. 7-Unit Play. #727 Take Toledo (-2) over Detroit (7:30 p.m., Wednesday, December 9) These are two programs going in opposite directions this season. Toledo had a 20-win season in 2014 and is expected to be even better this year with a lot of talent remaining. Detroit was 15-18 a year ago, and now they are minus their best two players who averaged nearly 30 points combined and were the team's only two double digit scorers. Juwan Howard Jr. is floating around the NBA D-League while Paris Bass remains suspended on the sidelines. Toledo brings to the table two 20-point scorers in Jonathan Williams and Nathan Boothe. Simply put, the Rockets are the better team from the better conference, and quite frankly it goes a long way when you are expecting things from yourself as a whole. Detroit is 3-3 but really only 1-3 as two wins don't really say much against non D-I schools. They have allowed 95 points to Pittsburgh, 100 to Oral Roberts and 102 to Vanderbilt. No matter who the opponent, any time you allow those numbers, you aren't playing good defense. Toledo is 6-2 and expects to win this game. Last year the Titans beat Toledo in their own gym. Payback here. Already this year, four of Toledo's six victories have been either on the road or neutral site games. That's a good sign and a positive reinforcement. Toledo comes strong all the way and manages to control this contest throughout. Rockets by seven, 83-76. 4-Unit Play. #767 Take Omaha (+6) over Missouri (8 p.m., Wednesday, December 9) Right now its fair to say this Missouri team doesn't know who they are, and quite frankly it might take half the season before they even have a clue. That means a confident mid-major team like Omaha can catch this vulnerable Tigers team in a spot like this. Omaha is 4-0 ATS on the road this season. Tonight's cover will be number five. UNO has two 16-point scorers and another one putting up 14 points per game. This team can score and will never be out of it. In fact, I think Omaha will be in it most of the way setting the pace. Mizzou was slapped around for three straight losses over the Thanksgiving holiday. They came home to beat a couple of crappy teams in Northern Illinois and Arkansas State, but the Mavericks tonight are a completely different challenge. Omaha already went to a better Minnesota team as an 11-point underdog and played the Gophers to a three-point game. The same happened at Colorado as a 17.5-point underdog in a five-point loss. Both those teams are light years ahead of Missouri as far is 2015 is concerned. I genuinely think Omaha has a better chance to win this game outright than Missouri does to cover this number. Omaha also has road wins already against Northern Colorado and Montana State to boost their confidence of winning away from home. Bottom line, I think this is a sharp, under-the-radar selection. Oddsmakers probably came across this match-up and spent two minutes casually thinking about this game before slapping the favorite price tag on the Missouri Tigers, and probably only because they play in the SEC. Well, that doesn't mean squat. Without a doubt the Summit League underdog will be motivated to play here. Omaha gets a shot at a power conference school before settling into league play in a few weeks. Nebraska Omaha wins this game outright, 75-73, and it's not an upset. 3-Unit Play. #761 Take Eastern Washington (+15) over Davidson (8:30 p.m., Wednesday, December 9) Value play on EWU here. How many can Davidson actually win by? I know the Wildcats are 5-1, but in their lone loss they were blasted by UNC. But more importantly, Davidson couldn't cover double digit spreads at home to each of Mercer, Charleston and Central Florida. Eastern Washington is in that group competitively. Give me the heavy number and the high scoring Eagles who can absolutely keep pace on the scoreboard. 2-Unit Play. #741 Take UNLV (+7) over Wichita State (9 p.m., Wednesday, December 9) The Shockers finally got a good result, albeit beating a bad Saint Louis team on Saturday. But that doesn't mean Wichita State is anywhere close to where preseason predictions had them being. UNLV is really good. And generally speaking, anytime a really good team is catching this many points, just take them and hope for the best. I think this will be a close and very competitive game. The Rebels are playing the better basketball so far this year, and we'll take the points as a value play in this one. 2-Unit Play. #746 Take Boise State (-14) over Loyola Marymount (9 p.m., Wednesday, December 9) The Broncos are going to body LMU here. Boise State won by ten on the road to a better Portland team that is in the same conference as the Lions. At home it should be even worse for their opponent tonight. I actually gave LMU a little more credit, as I thought this line would be in single digits. Nonetheless, this one is a one-sided affair. Also, had it not been for Boise hosting ranked Oregon this weekend and possibly looking ahead, this play might be ranked a whole heck of a lot higher. Still, the points won't be enough for the visitors as Boise State rolls.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mile High Sports Picks

100 Unit – Atlanta Hawks +1.5
100 Unit – Toronto Raptors +5
100 Unit – Chicago Bulls +3
100 Unit – Minnesota Timberwolves -7

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TR System Picks
2*
12/9 7:00pm 721 Temple -9.0 at U Penn
12/9 7:00pm 773 Maryland ES +32.5 at Michigan St
12/9 9:00pm 745 Loyola Mymt +14.5 at Boise State
3*
12/9 7:00pm 773 Under 140.0 Maryland ES at Michigan St
2*
12/9 9:00pm 745 Over 149.0 – Loyola Mymt at Boise State
12/9 9:00pm 737 Under 139.0 – Dayton at Vanderbilt
12/9 8:30pm 761 Under 166.5 – E Washingtn at Davidson
12/9 7:00pm 721 Over 135.5 – Temple at U Penn
12/9 5:00pm 751 Under 134.5 – Niagara at St Johns
12/9 9:00pm 735 Over 135.5 – WI-Milwkee at Wisconsin
12/9 8:00pm 767 Over 159.5 – Neb Omaha at Missouri
NCAAB ATS season:
3* 1-1-0 50% (Dec. 0-0-0 0%)
2* 43-33-1 56.6% (Dec. 9-7-1 56.2%)
NCAAB Totals season:
3* 18-15-1 54.5% (Dec. 5-5-1 50.0%)
2*| 93-94-0 | 49.7% (Dec. 33-24-0 57.9%)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

8 unit College game of year


Wisconsin-milwaukee +12.5

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Line Drive Sports

4* Vanderbilt
2* Wisconsin

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Stephen Nover
NCAABB

Long Beach st +4

NBA
Lakers +6.5
Memphis +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

10 Top Side Play · [749] IPFW Mastodons
Coaches' Consensus Wed Dec 9th, 2015 7:00pm EST

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Johnny Goodtimes...aka...Locksmith Plays

Double:
Utah State vs. BYU Under 149.5 2 Units
Denver +1 2 Units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Locksmith


NCAAB:
3* Arizona -12.5 (-110)
2* Illinois -4 (-110)


NBA:
2* Milwaukee +5.5 (-110)

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We Pick Sports


NCAAB
5* Loyola Marymount +14.5 (-110)

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Shieldbet
Hockey:
3* Rangers
2* Penguins