12-13-15

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Rockdeman Sports (NFL)

Bengals/Steelers Over 49
Seahawks -10
Rams +4
Patriots -5
Raiders +7.5

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Norm Hitzges
Members Only




December 13, 2015
FOOTBALL




Here are your late consensus picks for the NFL game of Sunday, Dec. 13.




VERY STRONG PLAYS: None




STRONG PLAYS: Pittsburgh +3 Cincinnati
Washington +3 1/2 Chicago
Green Bay -7 Dallas




REGULAR PLAYS:




Carolina -8 1/2 Atlanta
San Francisco PICK Cleveland
New England -3 Houston




NORM'S LATE THOUGHTS: In playing the Pittsburgh game I'd take in on the money line playing the Steelers to win straight out. Instead of laying 110 to win 100 plus the points you can get+120 or +125 coming back on Pitt should they win the game. That represents value to me

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TONY FINN

5% NFC PRIVATE PLAY
Detroit Lions -3

3% NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK!
UNDER – Chiefs / Chargers

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Arthur Ralph Sports

Super Pick Bills +1

Gold Keys Pats -3,Pitt +3, Lions -3 Total Over titans/Jets 43

Free Play Chiefs -10 released 8pm Saturday night

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stephen nover

n eng -3
pitt +3
oak +7.5

ov 40.5 rams
un 43.5 bears

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Alan Boston

Pitt -13 Morehead St.
Temple - 3 St. Joe's

Also Poker Boys

U69 1st Half Yale

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NonStopSportsPicks (NFL)

3* San Diego Chargers +10.5
2* Steelers/Bengals Under 24.5 (1st half)

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RANDIZZLE
$500 RAMS +4
*BUY PT* -130

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Ibn
teaser* $500
bills +11 :: Steelers/bengals – over 39 :: Lions/rams – over 31
(10pt teaser ‘ ties reduce) -115
$500
packers -3.5
(1st half) -105

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VinnyTheGambler
$500
BENGALS -ML -140
$300
BROWNS -ML -120

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BIG AL's 94% (15-1 ATS) NFL ROAD WARRIOR WINNER!

Game Date/Time: 12/13/15 1:00 pm
Our Selection: Steelers Opponent: Bengals Line: +3 Rating: 3*
Analysis: At 1 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers + the points over Cincinnati. We played on Pitt last Sunday night, and got the cash when they blew out Indy, 45-10. That moved the Steelers' record to 7-5, and they're firmly in the Playoff hunt. The Bengals are 10-2, which leads the AFC North division, and have won their last two games -- 31-7 vs. St. Louis, and 37-3 at Cleveland. Off those two stellar defensive efforts, the knee-jerk reaction might be to play Cincy, at home, as a small favorite vs. Pittsburgh. Unfortunately, teams off back to back games in which they didn't give up 10+ points, have only covered 92 of 241, provided they weren't underdogs of +3 or more points. And if they're playing in the regular season vs. an opponent which scored 34+ points in its previous game, then our stat zooms to 15-1 ATS its last 16! Grab the points with the Steelers on Sunday afternoon.

BIG AL's 84% ATS NFL ROADKILL WINNER!

Game Date/Time: 12/13/15 1:00 pm
Our Selection: Browns Opponent: 49ers Line: -1 Rating: Opinion
Analysis: At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns minus the points over San Francisco. We played on the 49ers last week, and got the $$$$ when they upset Chicago at Soldier Field. But off that big upset win, I look for a letdown on Sunday vs. Cleveland, which was blown out by Cincy, 37-3, last week. But losing teams, which are favored (or PK) off a SU/ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 8+ points, are 56-32 ATS vs. foes off a win. Moreover, home favorites have cashed 84% vs. non-division foes since 1980, if our home team is off a home loss, in which it scored 3 points or less. Finally, San Francisco falls into a negative 47-90 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off upset wins. Take Cleveland.

BIG AL's 100% PERFECT (11-0 ATS) NFL ELITE INFO!

Game Date/Time: 12/13/15 4:05 pm
Our Selection: Raiders Opponent: Broncos Line: +7.5 Rating: Opinion
Analysis: At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over Denver. Last week, the Raiders and Broncos were both involved in division games. Oakland lost, 34-20, as a 3-point dog to KC, while Denver downed San Diego, 17-3, as a 6-point favorite. One of the things I love to do is play on revenge-minded teams in division games off SU/ATS division losses, if their foe is off a SU/ATS division win. And, if our 'play-on' team is an underdog (or PK), then this revenge angle has cashed 69% since 1980. Of course, there's nothing wrong with 69%. But we can improve our system to 11-0, 100%, if our team is off a home loss, and our opponent covered the spread in its previous game by a touchdown, or more. Also, the Raiders are a super 39-17 ATS as division road underdogs priced from +2.5 to +9 points over the past 36 seasons. Take Oakland.

BIG AL's 100% SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL GAME OF YEAR!

Game Date/Time: 12/13/15 8:30 pm
Our Selection: Texans Opponent: Patriots Line: +3.5 Rating: 3*
Analysis: At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over New England. It's true that the Patriots have generally responded well off a straight-up loss. Since December 29, 2002, they're 38-6 SU and 32-12 in that situation. But we still went against New England last week following its loss at Denver. And the Patriots dropped their second straight game, 35-28, as a 7.5-point favorite, at home to the Eagles. It's also true that New England hasn't lost three straight games since November 2002. But one can throw all of these great New England team trends out the window, as this current version is just too injury-ravaged right now to play up the the level of past teams. For technical support, consider that road teams, with a winning SU/ATS record, are 0-14-1 ATS off back to back upset losses since 1980, if they're matched up against an opponent off a straight-up loss. Take Houston.

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Philly Godfather 3%

Pitt +3.5
(not 3.5 anywhere)

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Jack Jones

NFL
25* Chargers +10
20* Falcons +7.5
15* Titans +7.5
15* Steelers +3
15* Patriots -3

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SixthSense

126 Houston +3.5 -120
1 Unit

120 Tampa Bay -3.5
1 Unit

105 Pittsburgh +3
1 Unit

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Spartan

3 Rabid Dog Dallas