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Saturday 3 Big College Bowl plays, all with multiple systems cashing 90% or higher, 5* 100% NFL, 6* Top Rated College Hoops and NBA. Free Bowl play below
The free Camellia Bowl play is on Ohio U. +7.5 Game 205 at 3:30 eastern. The Bobcats have much more Bowl experience and come in off their best win, an upset dog win at Northern Illinois. Now they are taking over 7 points against First time Bowler Appalaichian St. Sun Belt favorites have failed to cover 5 of 6 vs a team off a win and cover. App. St has lost the only 2 recent meetings to MAC Schools. Ohio U has covered 6 of 7 vs Sun Belt teams and the last 4 non conference games. App. St is a play against team, as favorites of more than 7 prior to New Years day have been big money burners historically, and for the fact they are favorites off back to back win with the last one with revenge as these teams fail to cover 75% of the time. On Saturday a massive card takes center stage and is led by 3 Big Bowl system plays, 5* NFL 100% Saturday specific system, a 6* Top rated College hoops plays and NBA. Dot miss out on this one. Jump on now and out these Powerful system and simulation indicators on your side. For the free Bowl play. Take the 7.5 points with Ohio. GC
3 Unit Play Take #9 Philadelphia +100 over Columbus (7:05pm est):
A lot about this play revolves around the fact Columbus just returned home from a west coast game and now turn around have to play here tonight. This is a hard spot for any hockey team as they lose a few hours plus especially one who is favored like Columbus here.
I like the way the Flyers are playing right now having won 7 of their last 10 games and getting plus juice in this one is good enough for me. They dropped a game earlier this month to Columbus which should still be fresh in their minds coming into this game.
STRIKE POINT SPORTS
Saturday’s College Basketball Plays 3-Unit Play. #728 Take UCLA (+7.5)
over North Carolina
(1 p.m., Saturday, December 19)
What don’t oddsmakers get about this UCLA team? The Bruins are really good, and even better in big games. UCLA already has wins over Kentucky, Gonzaga and UNLV. They’ve went to Maui earlier in the year and their win over the Zags came in Spokane. Playing in Brooklyn is going to be a positive thing for this blossoming team. UNC hasn’t kept things consistent enough, and minus big man Kennedy Meeks, I’ll take the points and the momentum from the Pac 12 team. 4-Unit Play. #731 Take Northwestern (-3.5)
over DePaul
(2 p.m., Saturday, December 19)
The Wildcats are going slap around their Chicago neighbors. DePaul sucks. They have been pushed around in blowout losses their last two games by 22 and 19 points. I don’t know why the line isn’t more. This is hardly a travel date for the Wildcats, as they have to take a short ride from Evanston into the city. I’m not going to overthink this one. Northwestern is going good. DePaul is in a bad way right now. The Big Ten team walks all over the Blue Demons this afternoon. 3-Unit Play. #734 Take Indiana (+1.5)
over Notre Dame
(2 p.m., Saturday, December 19)
The Hoosiers have been floating around and not much of the college basketball conversation the last two weeks. After losing their Top 15 preseason ranking with losses in Maui to Wake Forest and UNLV, I think doubters were quick to write this team off. And the 20-point loss to Duke right after didn’t help either. But some home wins against poor teams has gotten their confidence back, and here they fully put their foot in the right direction with a big win. Notre Dame haven’t really gone out of their way to play many good teams in the non-conference, so I give IU the advantage for their early season play, even if they have more losses to their name. Hoosiers come up big in Indianapolis. 2-Unit Play. #741 Take Illinois State (+7.5)
over Saint Joe’s
(2 p.m., Saturday, December 19)
Slowly, slowly this Redbirds team is coming around. ISU has won its last two and I’m confident the minimum here is a cover against the A-10 program. Saint Joe’s is a good team but they don’t wow offensively, and that gives me enough reason to see this being a tight one throughout. The number holds up after the full 40. 2-Unit Play. #737 Take Colorado State (+9)
over Kansas State
(4 p.m., Saturday, December 19)
I’m just not buying whatever Kansas State is selling. CSU has scheduled themselves much tougher on the year than the Wildcats have, and for me the points are too much for the home team to be laying. The Rams are coming off a bad loss last time out, and I see them stepping things up in Manhattan for the cover. 2-Unit Play. #753 Take Tulane (+6.5)
over Mississippi State
(4 p.m., Saturday, December 19)
At 4-5, Miss. State haven’t beaten anyone. Their quality opponents have all beaten the Bulldogs convincingly, so I am thinking this one could go either way. Tulane is capable of not just covering but winning in Starkville. Give me the points and the value with the Green Wave. 4-Unit Play. #770 Take Missouri (+3) over N.C. State
(6 p.m., Saturday, December 19)
The Tigers should be favored on their home floor. Mizzou may be just 5-4, but look at the teams they have lost to, as their L’s have been from opponents with a combined 35-6 record (including Arizona and Xavier). N.C. State just narrowly beat High Point of all teams, needing a three at the buzzer just to dismiss a crappy team like that on their own floor. Missouri can boast they has held serve as home (5-0), and they are scoring well in Columbia with 81 ppg. The Wolf Pack are scoring 13 points less (65) on the road compared to their 78 average for the season. N.C. State have not challenged themselves on the road at all, and I think they’ll find things very difficult against the confident SEC school. Mizzou have covered all four home games this year, and this one makes number five in a row. They stay perfect at home with the victory. SEC over ACC here. 3-Unit Play. #793 Take Tennesee (+8)
over Gonzaga
(11 p.m., Saturday, December 19)
The Zags don’t have the luxury of their dominant backcourt from last year. The loss of center Prezemek Karnowski doesn’t do them any favors. Tennessee is a live dog. They have been all season. The Vols already have covers at Butler, a neutral site game against George Washington and at Georgia Tech. No different here. Gonzaga is 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games. They are wounded, both mentally and physically. Take the points with Tenessee in this one.
4 Unit Play Take #730 ‘under’ 153 Central Florida/Detroit
(1:00pm est):
The betting market is reading this one wrong and this opens up some nice line value here for ‘under’ players in this one. Detroit got back big man Paris Bass for the first time this season last game and he led them with 25 points in the contest but Bass is an even better defender with his big body down low. The same here goes for this UCF team which is the tallest team in the country and they make things tough scoring down by the basket.
Play ‘under’ here.
4 Unit Play Take #827 ‘over’ 159.5 Oral Roberts/LSU
(2:00pm est):
Look for a lot of scoring in this one as both of these teams like to play fast. The biggest thing in this game though is the fact LSU has added Keith Hornsby to the mix and this makes the Tigers much more of an offensive threat now with Hornsby back as he’s averaged 23 points per game his first two games back in the fold for LSU.
Play the ‘over’.
4 Unit Play Take #766 ‘under’ 145.5 Florida Atlantic/Florida State
(5:00pm est):
FAU has added seven footer Ronald Delph to their lineup the last few games and his presence should make a big impact defensively down low for the Owls. This is a team that’s already played a ton of good teams this season as they’ve been tested and have stayed below the total in 6 of their 8 lined games this season.
FSU was more of a defensive squad last season and that appears to be who they are more of this year as well. This game is being played at a neutral site which also is usually a little tougher on the shooters as both teams aren’t used to the site lines on the court here.
Play ‘under’ the total in this one.
3 Unit Play Take #794 ‘under’ 145 Tennessee/Gonzaga
(11:00pm est):
Robert Hubbs is out for the Volunteers in this one. Expecting a lower score than this here in this one as I made the total 140. New head coach Rick Barnes is all about playing playing solid defense and he will get that out of this team soon.
This isn’t your typical Gonzaga team of years past as this one is more about defense than offense. They come in ranked 15th in the country in defense and 4th in three point defense. Look for a lower scoring game here between these two squads.
Play the ‘under’ here.
Opinion – LSU -11
LSU has the best player in the nation is freshman Ben Simmons but the Tigers started the season 0-6 ATS because Simmons had no help. The addition of Keith Hornsby to the lineup the last two games has made a significant difference. Hornsby averaged 13.4 points per game last season with 39% 3-point shooting and the threat of a teammate with a good outside shot extends the defense and makes Simmons’ drives to the basket even more dangerous. LSU was a 31% 3-point shooting team before Hornsby started playing and Hornsby has knocked down 7 of 15 long range shots while averaging 23.0 points in this first two games. LSU’s level of play has risen, as the Tigers went to overtime as an underdog at Houston (lost by 7 in OT) in Hornsby’s first game and then beat up on Gardner Webb on Wednesday night for their first spread win of the season (and a Best Bet win for me). Unfortunately, the odds makers have adjusted their ratings for this game, as the line opened with LSU favored by 10 points, which is also what my current ratings make this game. I still think there is upside to LSU’s current rating and the Tigers apply to a 36-8 ATS subset of a 111-47-7 ATS situation today. The line on this game has gone up and I rarely give up line value to force a Best Bet. However, I do like the situation and I think I could still be under valuing the Tigers, so I’ll lean with LSU at -11 points or less and I’d take LSU in a 2-Star Best Bet at -10 points or less.
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