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WAYNE ROOT
MILL--Atlanta +
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No Limit--New York Giants +
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Perfect Play--Denver
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Inner Circle--Oakland + ***AFC Winner of Month
The Green Bay Packers and Oakland Raiders face off in an NFL Week 15 matchup. The Packers enter the contest at 9-4 while the Raiders are 6-7. Green Bay is on the verge of making the playoffs once again, and Oakland is close to officially missing the postseason for the 13th consecutive year. inching a playoff berth. The Raiders can’t win the AFC West and trail three potential wild-card teams by two games, but they are still fighting, having defeated the Denver Broncos in Week 14 to claim their sixth win of 2015. With Khialil Mack playing like the NFL’s top defender, Oakland has allowed just 263.7 yards per game over the last three weeks and should get to Aaron Rodgers for some stops. He’s been sacked 31 times this year and his offensive line has not improved so expect more today. Rodgers threw for 218 yards last week, failing to reach the 300-yard mark for the fourth consecutive game. Don't count on the Packers defense to be the side that defeats Oakland. Derrick Carr is capable and has the offense to keep pace of a lower scoring game as this game will be won in the defensive trenches.
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Pinnacle--Philadelphia + ***NFC Upset of Year
The Eagles are very much in contention for a division title after beating the Buffalo Bills on Sunday, and will be looking to extend their own two-game winning streak on Sunday night against Arizona. Chip Kelly’s men have come back to life to win their last two games against the Patriots and the Bills. QB Sam Bradford’s good play has helped the Eagles overcome their continued inability to run the ball with much consistency. DeMarco Murray has a chance to make good on his claims as being needed in a larger role and should have the big game of which he's capable. If the Eagles play up to their abilities as they did for three quarters against the Pats, they should be able to cause the Cards many problems. It was only two weeks ago when Arizona’s high-powered offense became frustrated on the road against the Niners in a hard earned 19-13 win. That added half point could be the difference as getting +3.5 is the way to go. -
Ben Burns NFL
Blue chip total - atl/jax under
Breakfast club - bears
Gow - Phil
GOM - atlComment
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Joe Gavazzi
NFL PERCEPTION/REALITY OF THE WEEK…Chicago Bears +6
Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings (-6)
Each of these division rivals enters on a two game losing streak. The Bears just lost consecutive home games to San Francisco and Washington. The Vikings have had 10 days to prepare, following their narrow 23-20 loss at Arizona last Thursday night, which followed their home defeat to red hot Seattle 38-7. But at 8-5 SU to 5-8 SU for the Bears, the PERCEPTION is that the Vikings are by far the better team. After all, they defeated the Bears earlier this year in Chicago 23-20, are on an 18-5 ATS blitz of their NFL competition, and currently play with the need of holding down the #6 slot in the playoff queue. The Bears are long shots with the #12 seed, and after their 5-11 SU finish of last season, it seemed destined to miss the playoff party once again.
Now consider the REALITY of the situation. The Vikings, though authoring a strong ground game, have actually been outgained by their opposition by an average of 25 YPG this season. Consider also, that they have lost the last two games on this field to Seattle and Green Bay by a score of 68-20. The further REALITY is that Chicago Bears HC Fox has historically been at his best in these roles. Fox is 17-5 SU ATS in December division games, and is on a 12-2 SU ATS run on the road in division games in December. That’s just part of the great divisional history of Fox on the road, which finds him 30-11 ATS. Finally, though the Bears have more losses than wins, last week’s three point loss was their fifth straight defeat in either OT or by less than or equal to three points. In fact, Chicago has had no loss by more than three points or in OT since week 3. Now that’s a REALITY of an underdog that we can live with!Comment
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StatFox Super Situations
NBA | NEW ORLEANS at DENVER
Play On - Road favorites (NEW ORLEANS) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, with a losing record
65-30 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.4% | 32.0 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )
NBA | NEW ORLEANS at DENVER
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off a loss against a division rival
69-30 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.7% | 33.8 units )
NBA | PORTLAND at MIAMI
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points off a upset loss as a favorite, on Sunday games
101-53 since 1997. ( 65.6% | 42.7 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )Comment
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StatFox Super Situations
CBB | BRADLEY at BOISE ST
Play Against - Home favorites of 10 or more points (BOISE ST) off a close home win by 3 points or less, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
CBB | SAMFORD at NEBRASKA
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (NEBRASKA) in a game involving two average shooting teams (42.5-45%), after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better
204-269 since 1997. ( 43.1% | 16.1 units )
CBB | BRADLEY at BOISE ST
Play Under - Road teams against the total slow-down team averaging 53 or less shots/game on the season, in December games
200-119 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.7% | 69.1 units )
16-10 this year. ( 61.5% | 5.0 units )Comment
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Mighty Quinn
It was a push for Mighty and the Cowboys (+3) on Saturday and likes the Bills on Sunday.
The deficit is 1259 sirignanos.Comment
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CAPPERS ACCESS
(NFL)
Bears
Bills
Steelers
CardinalsComment
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StatFox Super Situations
NFL | ATLANTA at JACKSONVILLE
Play Over - Any team where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) in the second half of the season
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
NFL | HOUSTON at INDIANAPOLIS
Play Under - Any team where the first half total is between 18 and 21 after 1 or more consecutive losses, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) in the second half of the season
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )Comment
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Jeff Benton
Sunday's Action
100 Dime winner is Denver as the road dog at Pittsburgh. At 10:05 pm eastern time on Saturday night, the Broncos are the +7 point underdogs in Vegas and offshore. I suggest buying the half-point up on the Broncos if your price is +7 or +6 1/2 points.Comment
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Craig Davis
Sunday's Action...
100 Dime Winner for Sunday is the Houston Texans as the small road dog at Indianapolis. At 7:30 pm eastern time, the Texans are the +2 point underdogs in Vegas and offshore. I suggest buying the half point up on Houston if your line is anywhere from +2 1/2 to +4 points.Comment
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Trace Adams
Sunday's Selection ...
For Sunday, 2000♦ Double-your-Wager winner is Minnesota as the home favorite against Chicago. At 11:20 pm eastern time on Saturday night, the Vikings are -5 1/2 point favorites both in Vegas and offshore.
Minny has lost 2 in a row, and 3 of their last 4, but they can still win the NFC North with a 3-0 sweep in their last 3 games, as they would then end tied with Green Bay (assuming the Packers win their next 2), and such a scenario would have the Vikings with a better record in the division.
First things first, and that is to use the few extra days between their loss at Arizona to come up with a game plan to post the win over the Chicago Bears.
It is usually close between these rivals, as the last 6 series meetings have been decided by no more than 8 points. Minnesota has won 4 of them, and has also covered in 4 of the 6.
Chicago's last pair of games - both losses - have been by 3 and 6 points (in overtime), and their last 4 games overall have been decided by no more than 6 points, so assume this one is going to be sticky until the end.
Still, the Vikings with way too much on the line to let this one get away, and Adrian Peterson did rush for over 100 yards in Minnesota's win at Soldier Field back on November 1st. The Bears have been allowing quite close to 5 yards per carry this season, so look for the Noresmen to return to form an add to their 5-2 spread mark when listed as the favorite.
Big win needed by Minnesota, big win gotten by Minnesota.Comment
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Brad Wilton
Your Sunday Winner...
Sunday winner is a 50 Dime release on Kansas City-Baltimore Under the total. At 3:30 am Vegas time, the total for this game stands at 41 points.Comment
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Scott Delaney
Today's Winner
My 60 Dimer is on the WASHINGTON REDSKINS in today's clash against the Buffalo Bills. As I release this play at 7:30 a.m. eastern, the number I see on the game is Washington +2.Comment
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Gabriel DuPont
Tonight's winner...
My 75 Dime Winner for tonight is the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS over the Tennessee Titans. As I release this play at 4:30 a.m. pacific, the number I see on the game is New England -14.Comment
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