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MILL--UCONN +
No Limit--Miami, Florida +
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Perfect Play--Philadephia - (NFL)
The fans will be out in full force drinking more than just eggnog as the Eagles look to send the Redskins back to Washington with coal in their stockings. It's the third home game in a row so this is a huge advantage for the Eagles. It's all-in for the City of Brotherly Love. Lose and the Eagles are out. The type of game that Philadelphia can buy into. It's also payback from week 4 for the Eagles as they lost by 3 points. Of its six road games thus far in 2015, Washington has won only one, defeating Chicago in Week 14 by three points. This could in part be tied to the play of quarterback Kirk Cousins. As a whole this season, Cousins has earned a 97.2 rating, which is the eighth best in the league. However, that rating drops significantly on the road to a 76.5 average across the six contests. Can we put all the blame on Cousins or could it be that the defense is at fault and then forces Cousins to perform differently. Washington has allowed 30.5 points per game on the road this season, compared to just 18.6 points at home. By just statistics alone, Sam Bradford's best performance of the season came against Washington in Week 4. Bradford threw for 270 yards, three touchdown, no interceptions and his 122.6 passer rating was the highest of his season.
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Inner Circle--Nebraska
Look for motivation to be key in this game. The Bruins had high hopes at the beginning of the season but those hopes faded mid-season highlighted in November by a home loss to Washington State and a 19-point defeat to rival USC with the South Division title hanging in the balance. So much for them. On the other hand, Nebraska lost so many by just the smallest of margins. Now the Cornhuskers are being one of the "sub.500" that many are mocking as a 5-7 team should not be playing in a bowl game. The have talent. They have a talented Jr QB looking to extend his college career with some style points and the team loves their coach, Mike Riley. They will have a chip on their shoulder and a win over UCLA will be a nice way to end their season. The Bruins have not seen any team in the Pac12 with a defensive and offensive line like the Cornhuskers. Bruins running back, Paul Perkins with find his yards per carry around 3.2. Young freshman, Josh Rosen, will see a few blackshirts in his backfield as the evolution of this loss begins with stopping their offense. Armstrong torched L.A.’s other team, USC, in last year’s Holiday Bowl, and the boys from the Midwest relish this opportunity much more than the glamour boys of UCLA. How excited can the LA team and crowd be with a trip to Santa Clara, Ca? Look for Armstrong to throw and run but give the game ball the the Cornhuskers defense.
----------------- Pinnacle--Duke
Not many players get to bet their buddies 20 years from now that they once played in Yankee Stadium. Indiana and Duke players will win that wager. The Duke Blue Devils were smooth sailing with a 6-1 record and then that last second eight-lateral kick off return that resulted in the referees firing and a four game losing skid for Duke. Now they get to sit back and meet the Big 10's worst scoring defense (37 ppg) in the Indiana Hoosiers. They also had a streak of 6 losses in a row. Thomas Sirk will be a thorn for Indiana as he is one of five quarterbacks among Power 5 conferences to lead his team in passing yards (2,462) and rushing yards (648) this season. Scottie Montgomery is the Devils outgoing offensive coordinator taking the East Carolina job. But his team has been to four consecutive bowl bowl games and with all his seniors he is especially interested in going out with a win with this game. Look for the Devil's offensive to "hit it out of the park" in Babe Ruth's Yankee Stadium. The Hoosiers defense is horrific and the past Duke's bowl experience is a huge difference.
Steve Merril - Steve's Screenshot (NFL) (Saturday 12/26)
Saturday, Dec. 26
NFL
Redskins at Eagles (-3, 48.5) (8:25 pm ET, NFLN)
My power ratings make Philadelphia a 5-point favorite, so there is a bit of line value at the current number of -3, and there would be even more value if this line drops below that key number to -2.5 or less.
Philadelphia is just 2-4 SU in their last six games with the last being a 40-17 blowout home loss versus Arizona. That was a national TV game, so novice bettors will remember that game and want no part of the Eagles in this game. The Eagles were 3-point favorites at Washington back in Week 4; they lost that game 23-20. But recent results have altered tonight’s pointspread which is why Philadelphia is only laying 3 points at home.
Washington played a perfect game at home last week in their 35-25 win over the Bills. That game was not even that close as the Redskins led 21-0 in the second quarter. However, that performance actually sets Washington up to regress some in this game, especially since they are now traveling on a short week and playing on the road where they’ve been a much weaker team this season. The Redskins are 6-2 SU at home, but just 1-5 SU on the road where they have been outscored by -12.2 points per game (18.3-30.5) and out-yarded 283-410 (4.9-6.1 yards per play).
I would lean towards the Eagles if this line drops to -2.5 or less.
Heat are not real happy they played the opening Christmas game and now have to go on the road the day after. Orlando fresh and better mentally here and get the easy win tonight. The Sharps say...
Nsa
SATURDAY PICKS(NSA "THE LEGEND")
25* CFB Duke +3
20* CFB Washington -8
20* CFB Virginia Tech -13.5
10* CFB Nebraska +6.5
10* CFB Duke over 72
5* CFB Washington under 53
SHARPEST EDGE SPORTS
CALEB HARTLEY
NCAAF
Duke Blue Devils +3 – 3 Units
Marshall Thundering Herd -5 – 1 Unit
Miami Hurricanes +3 – 0.5 Unit
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles +9 – 0.5 Unit
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