12-27-15

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BEN BURNS

10* NFL *TOTAL OF THE MONTH*
OVER – Dallas / Buffalo

10* NFL Sunday BLUE MARLIN Blowout 62-26 Run
Seattle Seahawks

10* NFL Sunday Breakfast Club ROUT 24-8 NFL!
Detroit Lions

10* NFL Blue Chip Super Total 24-8, 75% NFL!
UNDER – NY Giants / Minnesota

10* SNF *GAME OF THE YEAR* 24-8, 75% NFL Run
Minnesota Vikings

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TIGER

2 TEAM 7 PT TEASER
TOTAL OVER 37-110 (BILLS/REDSKINS) with CIN BENGALS +1

BUFFALO BILLS -130

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SB Professor Original NFL Picks

System play: St Louis +13

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SMART SPORTS INVESTMENTS

Risked 4 units to win 3.81
New York Jets +3 -105 vs New England Patriots

Risked 4 units to win 4.8
Carolina Panthers -7.5 +120 vs Atlanta Falcons

Risked 3 units to win 2.73
Green Bay Packers +4.5 -110 vs Arizona Cardinals

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EZWINNERS

3* (117) Browns +12
3* (130) Ravens +11.5
3* (127) Rams +14.5

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Marc Lawerence
Perfect system club
The Perfect System Club 2015 Season


NFL 12/27/15


Division Demarcation


Play On any .500 or greater NFL division dog in its Last Home Game
of the season if they are facing an opponent off a win of 8 or
more points in its last game.


ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 13-0


Play On: NY Jets


Rationale: NFL division dogs are at their best in home finales, especially
those with .500 or better records. Put them in a same season revenge
situation against a satisfied foe and they perform at an optimal level.

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Week 16 SuperContest / Picks By Most Contestants
(3-2 Last Week) (41-32-2 ATS YTD)


1 Denver -3.5 By 446
2 Pittsburgh -10 By 437
3 Minnesota -4.5 By 431
4 Washington +3 By 420
5 New England -3 By 411


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Top Contestants
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(53-19-3) (LW 4-1)
Week 16 Picks: MIN NYJ ARI STL PIT


(50-23-2) (LW 3-2)
Week 16 Picks: TB NYJ TEN PIT DEN


(50-25) (LW 4-1)
Week 16 Picks: MIN DET HOU STL PIT


(49-4-2) (LW 4-1)
Week 16 Picks: MIN CHI KC ARI CIN

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Spartan

Rabid Dog GOM 3*

122 NYJ 3.0 (-110) Sportsbook.ag vs 121 NEP Analysis: Here we have a Jets team that is desperately fighting for their playoff lives lining up against a Patriots club that has a first round bye already in their pockets. Home game for the Jets against a Patriots team that has been battling key injuries. Nothing about the way this thing sets up inspires me to take the Patriots guys. Particularly when I see every square and their crooked cousin rushing to get down action on them. Stubborn fact is the Patriots have now failed to cover the number in their last five battles with the Jets, and the stakes were higher for them then than now. I know a ton of people love the idea of betting a 12-2 team here laying only a field goal, looks like easy money. Well, in this crazy year of NFL wagering perhaps it will indeed play out that way. But I cannot help but be skeptical when I see so may squares lining up in droves proclaiming lock. Just witnessed too many times where that has blown up in their faces. I prefer to be on the books side more often than not. Frankly guys there are trends here I couÛld post but in reality there are trends to support either cause so it would be a smokescreen to just point out one side. Suffice it to say there are no relevant trends I see to really close any deal. I do put some stock in the fact, as I mentioned, that the Jets have covered of late against the Patriots. Motivation is a key element anytime attempting to gauge what a team will do on any given sunday, I cannot help but feel the edge there lies with the hosts. Come playoff time I would have a terrible time taking the Jets here because the Patriots will be in full killer mode then, I say not this sunday. I think we have a very live home dog here. I am willing to go Triple Star here on Fitzpatrick and company to get it done for us.

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Jack Jones

NFL
20* Falcons +7.5
15* Buccaneers -3
15* Packers +4.5

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Scott Spreitzer

I'm taking the points with the Falcons, my Knockout Game of the Week for Sunday 12/27


We are on this one for several reasons, including the fact that teams that have been undefeated after 14 or more games have been horrible spread teams. Carolina (14-0) almost succumbed to the pressure in week-15, but due to mental on-field meltdowns by Odell Beckham, a dropped TD pass, and a couple of poor red-zone decisions by Eli Manning, the Panthers were able to hold on for a 38-35 win. We had the Giants plus the points and cashed, despite the fact they dug themselves a major hole. Atlanta finally got back in the win column in week-15, thanks in part to Julio Jones lighting up the Jaguar defense. Jones was slowed down by Josh Norman and company in the first meeting of the season, but still finished with seven receptions for 88 yards. I expect a different outcome this time with Jones making more of an impact. Carolina, like all other teams who have reached this point of the season without a loss are the hunted. And I believe the Falcons will hang the number. I'm grabbing the points with the Atlanta Falcons, my KO GOW on Sunday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

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Allen Eastman
3* Panthers -7
6* Patriots -3 (411 play)
3* Texans -5
8* Cardinals -4.5 (411 play)
5* 49ers/Lions Under 43

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Vegas Sports Informer

6 Unit Play. Take #128 Seattle -13 over St. Louis (4:25p.m., Sunday December 27)
I know I have been down on the Seahawks this whole season but as of late the Hawks have shown me that against weaker opponents they are not taking them lightly. Seattle defense has been the big difference holding their last 3 opponents to a total of 26 points while their offense hit the 30 mark in all 3 wins. Revenge in Seattle will be in stored as the Rams beat Seattle in St. Louis Week #1 34-31 and I see no way the Rams throw up 31 points in Seattle Sunday late afternoon. St. Louis has dropped 4-straight road games and their offense on the road is M.I.A. averaging 12ppg and if the Rams struggle on the road this Sunday I see another Seattle double-digit victory and wouldn't shock me to see the Hawks win this game by 3 touchdowns or more. St. Louis is 0-4 ATS against a team with a winning record and the Seahawks are 8-2 ATS against a team with a losing record. The home team in this series is 5-0 ATS and the Rams are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 trips to Seattle.

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PREDICTION MACHINE

AGAINST THE SPREAD PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times)
Rot Time (ET) Pick Opp Line Margin Pick% $
105 8:30 PM NYG @ MIN 6 -3.4 56.6% $44

STRAIGHT-UP PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times)
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win%
106 8:30 PM @ MIN vs NYG 25.4 22.0 58.6%

OVER/UNDER PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times)
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% $
106 8:30 PM NYG @ MIN 45.5 47.3 Over 52.9% $5

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Rainman

5* - pitt
5* - ariz
3* - caro
3* - kc

reg plays
rams
jets