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This game will come down to which quarterback will execute better. Kirk Cousins is playing awesome. Aaron Rodgers is not playing so well. But that was then and the playoffs are a different animal. Aaron Rodgers is an accomplished playoff veteran quarterback. He's proven what he can do. If this was the best of three, then make a case for Washington. But this is win or go home. Again, defense wins these games. Look for Mike Daniels and Mike Neal to bring a better defense to the game than their counterparts. We've seen Rodgers mount every kind of 4th quarter comeback. Look for their game plan to come out firing and put pressure on Cousins to try to play catch up under tremendous pressure. James Jones will hookup within the red zone for a few TD's from Rodgers. The playoff experience is incredible for the Packers in this one and done game. Look for Aaron Rodgers to make this his game and take over taking no chances. From a competitive nature, it was much easier for the Skins to look good in the NFC East. And there were times that they didn't look that good. Defense and quarterback playoff experience is the defining factor here.
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Inner Circle---Minnesota
This will be in the top five coldest games ever played. That will benefit the Vikings. Adrian Peterson can take this team a long way on his back with or with Teddy Bridgewater's help. The Viking defense is better than most realize. Seattle does bring in proper credentials based on their playoff experience. They are playing at the highest level of the year and Russell Wilson is spectacular. But why did the line go from Seattle favored by 1 a month ago when they played to 6.5 opening number and then bet down by the "smarts"? The Vikings have also played well and looked good in week 17 at Green Bay. This home game and rematch should serve them well. The Vikes are ranked 4th in yards gained per rush. When your passing hand is cold, the running game may get revved up. There could be more rushing yards in this game than passing yardage. Note that from a competition point of reference the Seahawks 10 wins came from teams with a 69-91 record. Marshawn Lynch returns and being effective will be a challenge in his first game back. Look for a reversal of fortunes as Minnesota extracts revenge and gets the 'black and blue' back into this victory with a hard earned victory. All Vikings players are back and 100% healthy which wasn't the case a month ago.
NHL | BUFFALO at WINNIPEG
Play Against - Any team against the money line (WINNIPEG) after a game where they failed to cover the spread against opponent after failing to cover the spread in 6 or more consecutive games
50-30 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.5% | 35.6 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 2.6 units )
NHL | BUFFALO at WINNIPEG
Play Against - Any team against the money line (WINNIPEG) after 1 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 6 or more consecutive losses
50-30 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.5% | 35.6 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 2.6 units )
NBA | OKLAHOMA CITY at PORTLAND
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 after 3 or more consecutive losses, on Sunday games
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )
NBA | OKLAHOMA CITY at PORTLAND
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (PORTLAND) after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 105 points or more 2 straight games
76-27 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.8% | 37.1 units )
6-5 this year. ( 54.5% | -4.7 units )
NBA | DALLAS at MINNESOTA
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, in January games
133-74 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.3% | 51.6 units )
10-5 this year. ( 66.7% | 4.5 units )
Villanova Wildcats (13-2, 8-5-1 ATS) look to remain undefeated in Big East play when they visit Butler Bulldogs (12-3, 7-8 ATS). Widcats, will be tested by Bulldogs netting a whopping 86.5 PPG. However, defense the moniker for these Wildcats allowing a stingy 60.5 PPG got to lean Villanova's way as they've dominated this series, winning four consecutive games (3-1 ATS). Additionally, Wildcats have shown to be good bets in true Big East road games cashing six of the last seven (6-1 ATS).
CBB | UCF at SMU
Play On - Road underdogs of 20 or more points (UCF) excellent free throw shooting team (>=73%) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%)
42-16 since 1997. ( 72.4% | 24.4 units )
CBB | VILLANOVA at BUTLER
Play Against - Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (BUTLER) average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (<=32%)
277-83 since 1997. ( 76.9% | 90.7 units )
6-2 this year. ( 75.0% | 2.3 units )
CBB | RHODE ISLAND at ST JOSEPHS
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 in a game involving two average shooting teams (42.5-45%), after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better
133-74 since 1997. ( 64.3% | 51.6 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )
NFL | SEATTLE at MINNESOTA
Play On - Road teams (SEATTLE) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) in the second half of the season
41-15 over the last 10 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )
NFL | GREEN BAY at WASHINGTON
Play Over - Any team vs the the 1rst half total in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games
29-8 over the last 10 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
Hondo graciously has been accepting accolades all week for holding off Brian Costello to win the 2015 Bettor’s Guide Best Bet championship. While Mr. Aitch is appreciative of the copious kudos that continue to roll in, he would be remiss if he didn’t offer some props and pounds to Ms. Charleen, who once again prevailed in the Girls Division BBs.
As for this weekend’s wild-card action:
PACKERS-REDSKINS: The Packers’ impotent offense obviously is eating all its meals at Chipotle, which would explain why it has gone in the toilet for the past two months. That’s one problem. The other is that Wisconsin karma is working against them. Green Bay looks as set up to fail as Steven Avery was in “Making a Murderer.”
Redskins, 24-16
SEAHAWKS-VIKINGS: You don’t have to be a scowling, hoodie-wearing, rules-bending curmudgeon to figure out how to stop Minnesota: Load up against Adrian Peterson, aka Father Slime, and force quarterback Teddy Bridgewater to do what he is incapable of — throw the football. Hondo expects the plan to work as perfectly as it did five weeks ago when Peterson was held to 18 yards in the Seahags’ 38-7 win. At the risk of being redundant:
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