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Pinnacle--Seattle + ***Divisional Round Game of Year....(Sunday)
How the pressure continues to mount for the Carolina Panthers. Pete Carroll must be enjoying this moment knowing he's already been there. The Panthers were one game shy of perfection. They have six pro bowlers on their team. They dominated on both sides of the ball all year long. They clearly have the NFL's MVP in quarterback Cam Newton. They have had a week to rest and open their playoff hopes at home. And they are barely favored by Vegas oddsmakers. Losing here will put Panther "respect" behind a full generation. That's the definition of pressure. Now they have to get by the best team of the past few years playing great and lucky football against the Conference Champions zooming with confidence. It seems like just last year Carolina lost to Seattle 31-17 in the divisional round. The Seahawks say to hold that thought and add this; The Panthers 27-23 two touchdown comeback win in week 6 means nothing. This post season contest has been elevated to a "means everything game". That's pressure. Cam Newton has thrown four interceptions in his last two games against the Seattle secondary. That has to be on his mind. On the Seahawks mind is Super Bowl redemption from last year's loss from the one yard line by not giving Lynch a chance to run four times to win. That loss gnaws at them. Twenty four hours a day. For the entire year. A return to the Championship game is their mission. Of which they know how to accomplish. The Seahawks have experience and pedigree. Seattle's overall defense is awesome and Russell Wilson is playing as well as any quarterback. His 4th in the NFL QB ratings, coupled with post season experience and the points, are the play with Seattle moving on to another game next week.
Playoff Game of the Year Carolina Panthers
Carolina -2.5 Getting this under a field goal is a great line. If not for Blair Walsh missing a 27 yard shank FG last week, Seattle would not be here. Carolina well rested, at home where they are 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS and score 30 ppg on offense and allow 17 ppg on defense. This is a 1 loss team that has the NFL’s MVP starting at QB (he will win it) and between Newton and Wilson, I will take Newton who already has beat Seattle on the road this year and Carolina is avenging a bad playoff loss to Seattle last year. All the makings of a good game here, but a home team with a rock start QB, better running game and just as good of defense with Newton at the helm is a take. Play 3 Units on Carolina
JASON SHARPE 8 Unit Play Take #306 Carolina -2.5
over Seattle (1:05pm est):
The Carolina Panthers haven’t got any respect this entire season despite coming close to going undefeated with a 15-1 overall record. Going back to last year’s regular season the Panthers won 19 straight games overall before losing to the Falcons. They come into this one having won 11 straight games at home with the last 10 victories being large enough to cover this point spread in this game. The Panthers have had a week to rest which is huge as it gave them a chance to not only rest everyone up but also prepare an extra week for this contest. Carolina has been playing with a chip on their shoulder most of the year but that chip should be even bigger in this one as the players know the point spread and this line being this low means their supposedly not any better than Seattle, a team they’ve already beaten earlier this season and did it in Seattle as well.
The icing on the cake though for added motivation here for Carolina is the fact their opponent in this one is the same team who knocked them out of the playoffs last year. This should be Carolina’s home run game this season. The Seahawks have to be a tired football team as this will be their 4th straight hard fought battle. In their last 4 games Seattle has played (and lost) to a very physical St. Louis team, went into Arizona to play the 13-2 Cardinals at the time, played on the road again last week in Minnesota in a hard hitting game that they somehow caught a huge break in and won 10-9.
This is their 4th straight tough game and 3rd straight on the road. That has to take a toll on a team especially when their foe is well rested like the Panthers are in this one. The Seahawks have had a heck of a run these last 3 years but during that time they’d never had to play a road playoff game until last week where they dodged a major bullet to advance. It’s a whole different ball game playing on the road in the NFL playoffs than it is at their awesome home field and they will be walking into a hornet’s nest in this one.
Take Carolina minus the points here.
NBA | PHOENIX at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival, on Sunday games
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.8 units )
NBA | DALLAS at SAN ANTONIO
Play On - Home favorites vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after a combined score of 175 points or less
57-6 over the last 5 seasons. ( 90.5% | 40.0 units )
4-1 this year. ( 80.0% | 0.0 units )
NBA | PHOENIX at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 after a game where they failed to cover the spread, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days
181-106 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.1% | 64.4 units )
20-15 this year. ( 57.1% | 3.5 units )
CBB | MICHIGAN at IOWA
Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games
34-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.6% | 21.9 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )
CBB | IONA at RIDER
Play Against - Any team (IONA) average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher
94-49 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.7% | 40.9 units )
4-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 4.8 units )
CBB | SMU at TULANE
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (<=32%) after 15+ games
89-45 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units )
4-3 this year. ( 57.1% | 0.7 units )
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