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3-Unit Play. #781. Take Rider +8 over Siena (Thursday @ 7pm est)
We roll with Rider here for our first selection. Rider has quietly gone 6-3 over their last 9 contests. This is a team that is ranked around the top 240 this year and has a lot of bite. This is a squad that that just beat a top 150 of Iona at home to their credit. Heck, this team only lost by 8 points to Provdience on the road as well to their credit. This is a Rider team that could have a decent amount of bite here at Siena and as Siena comes off the ugly loss to Monmouth and who very well might still be hung over from the loss. We have Rider hanging in a tight contest here.
3-Unit Play. #795. Take Eastern Illinois +9 over Murray State (Thursday @ 8pm est)
Eastern Illinois is a squad that has a lot of bite as well as they hook up against Murray State. This is a team is a great public fade as well. Note, that Eastern Illinois is not as well known as Murray State but EIC (Eastern Illinois) has a lot more bite than people realize. EIC has only 6 wins, but note that this team is 4-2 over its last 6 games. Sure, this team is ranked in the top 270 and it doesn't seem that impressive, but they just beat top 140 Morehead State at home in overtime and also beat Eastern Kentucky by 12 points who is a top 230 team as well. This team is on the rise and has revenge from losing to Murray State last year as well. Quality public fade as we roll with the nice underdog here.
3-Unit Play. #721. Take Drexel +10 over James Madison (Thursday @ 7pm est)
Drexel is a decent sized underdog for us here that we like as they hook up against JMU. Drexel is a 3 win team and we love the fact they can fall within single digits here. This team is on an up tick per our models and that means something to us. Drexel is a squad who is actually a top 125 defense in the nation, recently beat College of Charleston a top 125 team at home by 7 points, hung within single digits to top 100 Hofstra, comes off a bad loss and will be looking to bounce-back here in a big way. Note, that JMU is also a top 100 team, has Elon deck and as they come off a huge win against Hofstra, likely is in for a let down here. JMU by 7 this evening.
3-Unit Play. #723. Take Delaware +14.5 over UNC Wilmington (Thursday @ 7pm est)
Final selection on the docket today is Delaware as they hook up against UNC Wilmington. Delaware is a team that has 5 wins but these are the teams that we look for. These ugly underdogs that we find great value in. Note that Delaware has lost 9 in a row but take a closer look. You will realize that this team only lost to Northeastern by 9 points at home, only lost to top 175 Towson by 2 points, to top 100 James Madison by 10 points, to top 100 Hofstra by 10 points and is a top 100 offensive rebounding team. They face a Wilmington team who comes off a huge win over William and Mary in overtime, is in for a let down here and is a poor 3 point shooting team so they likely will go inside the paint and face a Delaware team that is decent on the glass. Look for a low scoring game that likely will have Delaware staying within the big lay here.
8-UNIT NFL SELECTION RELEASED TODAY! Denver/New England (Sunday @ 3:05pm est) (7-1 with 7* Selections or Higher in the NFL, 8 of 10 Winning Weeks!)
5-Unit Play. #708. Take Sacramento -1 over Atlanta (Thursday @ 10:05pm est)
We roll with our 5-unit selection here on Sacramento as they face Atlanta. Note Sacramento lost to Atlanta earlier this year in a contest we watched from wire to wire. Sacramento went up early, only to go down at halftime and then make a big comeback as they ended up nearly beating the Hawks outright on the road as +2.5 underdogs and fell short by 6 points. That speaks volumes when the oddsmakers only put them as a 2.5 point underdog as they felt that Karl was coaching for his job each and every game on the East Coast Road Trip. And, this team has rewarded Ranadive's faith in Karl thus far though he still has a short string. Sacramento has won 3 straight, including beating Utah, the Clippers and Lakers. This team is in the hunt for the 8th spot as they have 18 wins and a win over an Eastern Conference elite team like Atlanta would go a long way. Decent public fade as well and with revenge, Karl coming out and saying Cousins is the best center in the league as a vote of confidence and beating OKC in OKC, says a lot about this team's growth. Kings by 8 this evening.
Thursday, January 21, 2016
Inner Circle
USC (+4½) over Oregon
6:00 PM (EST) -- Matthew Knight Arena
Inner Circle----USC USC, at 15-3, is one of the biggest surprises this season and are coming off of a huge win against crosstown rival UCLA. I love a team that gets the job done on both sides of the basket. They are averaging 85 points while only giving up 72 points per game. The Trojans have four players that score double digits every game. That''s difficult to defend against. Oregon does not score enough points averaging 75 ppg to be this type of a favorite. The Ducks are 11-0 at home but they have not played this quality of team. This game will go back and forth with many lead changes and much strategy employed. USC will never be out of reach and should win this game outright. A ML bet of 35% of your bet is in line with the other portion on the +4.5 points offered. The dog has covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games. Furthermore, the Trojans are 18-7 ATS in the last 25 games (72%). Take advantage of the lack of perception when it comes to USC basketball. The oddsmakers give extra value to this team.
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Millionaires
Arizona State (+5½) over California
6:00 PM (EST) -- Haas Pavilion
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No Limit
Penn State (+3) over Wisconsin
8:00 PM (EST) -- Bryce Jordan Center
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