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Sunday, January 24, 2016
No Limit
Cardinals (+3½) over Panthers
6:40 PM (EST) -- Bank of America Stadium
No Limit-- Arizona + Before anyone gets overly depressed from last weeks Arizona performance, it was not typical. In fact there was a legitimate reason. Carson Palmer played poorly, out of sorts all because of the bye week. He had too much time, a different routine to mentally handle and too much time to think that he had never won a playoff game. That is all behind him. What you saw last week will not resemble this week. Palmer finished with career highs of 35 touchdown passes and a 104.6 passer rating in guiding Arizona (14-3) to a league-high 408.3 yards per game and the NFC West title. ( He did throw three TDs last week). The Cardinals enter this game with a 7-1 road record. The Panthers have two serious injuries to contend with in RB Jonathan Stewart''s ankle (sprain) and Jared Allen''s broken foot (out). The game plan is awesome for the Cardinals. Blitz Cam Newton right from the start and have Carson Palmer throw deep as the Panthers only glaring flaw are with the safeties and one cornerback that can be exploited. They may use the deep pass to set up their running game. This is the first ever playoff game between two Heisman winners with Newton(Auburn) and Palmer (USC). Palmer''s offensive line will have to be at their best a Carolina does have a great front four. Palmer is experienced enough and has a full year watching from the sidelines last season to not be at his best. Getting that playoff win last week against Green Bay was huge.
Game time conditions: | Temp: ° | Wind from the at mph | Cloud cover:
Pinnacle
Broncos (+3½) over Patriots
1:05 PM (EST) -- Sports Authority Field at Mile High
Pinnacle- Denver + ***Championship Week Game of Year Would you rather have Denver at +3.5 playing at home or +10 playing in New England? Both are the same and if you think there''s value at one then there''s equal value at the other. Of all the tickets written in Vegas this week, 75% have been on the Patriots. Defense wins playoff games and the Broncos have a great one. Brady is 2-6 lifetime in Denver and 0-2 in AFC Championship games. And that was when his teams were healthy. His counterpart in Peyton Manning is physically a shell of his former past. But he is fresh having sat for half a season. He has a PH.D. in reading defenses. He is a game manager but a smart one. He will mix up short passes looking to turn them into long runs. He has CJ Anderson for ball control and clock management. And he can still throw it long. His long passes are actually easier to throw than those arm strength bullets needed to throw under coverage. Everyone is aware of what you get with these two teams. However, the Patriots did lose a needed win in game 16 in Miami that may have prevented this road trip. The biggest factor here is line value. The line may move off the +3.5 and go to +4 but will never drop below +3.5. Grab a good number with this one and watch a well played game by the Broncos defense grab this win.
NBA | BOSTON at PHILADELPHIA
Play Over - Any team in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (<=33%) after 42+ games
328-208 since 1997. ( 61.2% | 99.2 units )
NBA | DALLAS at HOUSTON
Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the money line (DALLAS) being called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents on the season, on Sunday games
48-9 over the last 5 seasons. ( 84.2% | 31.0 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 1.0 units )
NBA | BOSTON at PHILADELPHIA
Play Under - Any team vs. the 1rst half line a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against a terrible team (<=-7 PPG differential), after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half
57-25 since 1997. ( 69.5% | 29.5 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )
CBB | EVANSVILLE at INDIANA ST
Play Under - All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points off a home win against a conference rival, a top-level team (>= 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%)
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.8 units )
CBB | UNC-WILMINGTON at DREXEL
Play On - A home team vs. the money line (DREXEL) after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent
94-47 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.7% | 40.9 units )
0-3 this year. ( 0.0% | -4.2 units )
CBB | TENNESSEE ST at BELMONT
Play Under - Home teams against the total off 2 straight wins against conference rivals against opponent off a close home win by 3 points or less
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
2-5 this year. ( 28.6% | -3.5 units )
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