12-15-08

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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 99938

    #16
    Re: 12-15-08

    Matt Far go

    Game: Cleveland State at Syracuse Dec 15 2008 7:00PM
    Prediction: Cleveland State

    Reason: Syracuse enters this game off a big win against Long Beach St. on Saturday and now turns right around to play a much better opponent and one that matches up very well. Syracuse looks to go 10-0 for the first time in nine years and it is being asked to lay a very sizable number again. The Orange covered that game against the 49ers but they are just 1-3 ATS on the season when laying double-digits as the first three games resulted in victories but only by an average of just six ppg.

    Cleveland St. is also coming off a win on Saturday at Marist and it wasn't even close as the Vikings rolled to a 19-point victory. Cleveland St. was voted as the preseason pick to win the Horizon League and it has gotten off to a solid 6-4 start by playing a schedule ranked 65th in the nation. The Vikings feature two of the best players in the conference in forward J'Nathan Bullock, the Horizon Preseason Player of the Year and guard Cedric Jackson, who was voted on the All-Horizon First Team.

    The Vikings rely on a strong defense and that has been the case all year as they are allowing 56.4 ppg on 37.1 percent shooting. They have an 84.4 percent defensive efficiency rating which is easily best in their conference and 20th in the nation. Syracuse is right there as well with an 87.5 rating but that has come against a schedule that is ranked 225th so the numbers are no doubt skewed. Cleveland St. forces turnovers on 27.8 percent of possessions which is 9th in the country.

    For playing such a soft schedule, Syracuse turns the ball over way too much and it is giving it up on 20.7 percent of its possessions. The assist/turnover ratio is at 1.33 which is good but the defense allows a ratio of 1.27 which is horrible. The Orange are forcing just 12.5 turnovers per game and they are forcing turnovers only 18.7 percent of the time. Those percentages are not going to get it done in the Big East and they aren?t going to aide in trying to cover this huge number. 5* Cleveland St. Vikings
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    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 99938

      #17
      Re: 12-15-08

      John Ryan

      Game: Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings Dec 15 2008 7:05PM
      Prediction: Colorado Avalanche

      Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Colorado in the NHL ? Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 58-62 making 37.8 units since 2002. Play against home teams against the money line off a road win by 1 goal and with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. Here is a second system that has gone 211-215 making 75.1 units since 2002. Play on road teams against the money line well rested team playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season. Here is a third system that has gone 21-17 making 12.5 units since 2002. Play against home teams against the money line with a poor starting goalie sporting a save percentage of <= 89.5% of shots against him and a hot offensive team with 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal. Colorado is also in a strong role for this game noting that they are 23-12 against the money line (+14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Colorado is also a strong 49-27 against the money line (+20.9 Units) in road games after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game since 1996. Take Colorado.
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      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 99938

        #18
        Re: 12-15-08

        Lenny Del Genio | NBA Sides
        double-dime bet516 SAC -4.0 (-110) BetUS vs 515 MIN
        Analysis:
        Play on Sacramento at 10:35 ET.



        Lenny Del Genio's 15* Western Conf Game of the Week --

        Lenny Del Genio | NBA Sides
        double-dime bet512 DAL -2.0 (-110) BetUS vs 511 DEN
        Analysis:
        Play on Dallas at 8:35 ET
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        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 99938

          #19
          Re: 12-15-08

          Ted Sevransky

          Minnesota Timberwolves @ Sacramento Kings
          PICK: Over

          Both the T-wolves and the Kings have been bogged down offensively in recent ballgames, facing some of the toughest defensive teams in the NBA. Minnesota failed to get out of the 80’s against the Lakers and Spurs in their last two games. Sacramento hoisted a whopping 98 shots against the Knicks on Saturday, but connected on only 36% of those attempts, including an awful 3-23 from three point land, managing only 90 in an ugly home loss to the Knicks.

          Both Minnesota and Sacramento are looking to push the pace against opposing teams that are willing to run with them. New T-wolves head coach Kevin McHale: “We’ve got to get some pace in the game offensively. It’s an offense that should flow, and you shouldn’t have to look over at the coach very much. You should be up and down the floor….I like the versatility of the team. You know, Mike Miller can bring it down the floor. Rashad McCants can bring it down the floor. (Randy) Foye can bring it down the floor. (Ryan) Gomes can bring it down and get into operating spots. That's the vision when we talked about the team and the players, and that's how we're going to play.”

          After getting booed out of the gym in their 24 point home loss to the Knicks on Saturday, I expect a far more focused performance from the Kings tonight. We saw this team beat the Lakers outright as double digit home underdogs, then hang tough with LA in the revenge rematch at the Staples Center last week, scoring 103 and 113 in those two ballgames. Expect a similar pace tonight between these two struggling teams, in a contest that we can expect to go up and Over the total. Take the Over
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          • Mr. IWS
            215 Hustler
            • Sep 2006
            • 99938

            #20
            Re: 12-15-08

            Kelso BB 12/15
            5 units Cal Riverside -3
            5 units Raptors -4
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            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 99938

              #21
              Re: 12-15-08

              PHIL STEEL marquee mon nite play-clev under 40 // phil is 7-3 last 10 mon nite totals !!
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              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 99938

                #22
                Re: 12-15-08

                California Sports 5*
                UC Riverside
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                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 99938

                  #23
                  Re: 12-15-08

                  Tom Freese MNF TOY



                  Philadelphia is in a 35-14 UNDER System that says to Play UNDER on all teams who won a game in their division as an underdog in their last game if they have a winning record in the second half of the season. The Eagles are 6-0 UNDER home vs. losing teams and they are 7-0 UNDER as home favorites of 7.5 points or higher. Cleveland is 7-1 UNDER their last 8 December games and they are 13-6 UNDER their last 19 games overall. The Browns are 6-2 UNDER off an ATS loss and they are 6-1 UNDER after allowing 150 or more yards rushing in their last game. 20* 'MNF 'TOTAL' OF THE YEAR PLAY ON 'UNDER'
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                  • Mr. IWS
                    215 Hustler
                    • Sep 2006
                    • 99938

                    #24
                    Re: 12-15-08

                    Stan Sharp NBA

                    New Jersey +4.5

                    Double Dime
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                    • Mr. IWS
                      215 Hustler
                      • Sep 2006
                      • 99938

                      #25
                      Re: 12-15-08

                      Ats Lock Club
                      4 Under 40
                      5 magic -1.5
                      3 mavs -1

                      ATS Financial Package
                      3 Eagles -14.5
                      3 Wizards -1
                      3 Cuse -13
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                      • Mr. IWS
                        215 Hustler
                        • Sep 2006
                        • 99938

                        #26
                        Re: 12-15-08

                        Seabass
                        20 Celtics
                        50 Col/Det Under NHL

                        NFL
                        50 Philly minus anything
                        30 Under

                        Steam
                        Char Over 185 NBA
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                        • Mr. IWS
                          215 Hustler
                          • Sep 2006
                          • 99938

                          #27
                          Re: 12-15-08

                          ERin Rynning
                          Sacramento/playmaker

                          Anyone see Tim Trushel nba 20*
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                          • Mr. IWS
                            215 Hustler
                            • Sep 2006
                            • 99938

                            #28
                            Re: 12-15-08

                            DOC

                            3 Unit Play. #32 Take Over in Cleveland Browns at Philadelphia Eagles (8:30 pm ESPN) The Eagles are not a strong enough team to be laying this kind of wood but Cleveland does not have a quarterback and thus we will focus our attention on the total. For most of the season the over has been money in the bank on Monday night and that trend will continue as this total is way too low. McNabb has shown the ability to breakout against bad teams and that again will be the case today, as Philadelphia put up 30 points and we collect with the over in the process. Philly 31, Cleveland 17.
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                            • Mr. IWS
                              215 Hustler
                              • Sep 2006
                              • 99938

                              #29
                              Re: 12-15-08

                              Andrew Powers Guaranteed Selections
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                              529 UC DAVIS -1 7:00 EST
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                              • Mr. IWS
                                215 Hustler
                                • Sep 2006
                                • 99938

                                #30
                                Re: 12-15-08

                                DOC

                                3-Unit Play #516 Take Sacramento Over Minnesota (10 p.m. EST, Monday) This is less of a pick for the Kings and more of a pick against Minnesota, who is a very bad road team. This team has only won two games all season on the road and they come in having lost nine straight overall. They have lost by double digits in five straight road games. Neither of these teams are very good but the Kings are better offensively and both teams are bad defensively. The Kings have traditionally been a solid home bet but this year that has not been the case but they have faced a lot more tough opponents at home. This is the same court they beat the Lakers on by double digits just last week so we think they will play confidently tonight against a team that they should beat.
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