2-13-16

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LINE DRIVE SPORTS

4* Oklahoma
3* Louisville
3* Kentucky

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Ben Burns

Big game SMU -6 10*

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Root

pin - but
in cir - bay
pp - stan
nl - mich
mill - a&m

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VSI CBB

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY

5 Unit Play. Take #558 Notre Dame -1 over Louisville (4:00p.m., Saturday February 13 ESPN)
A bit confused on this number as I thought Notre Dame would have been -2 or higher! Notre Dame is 12-1 at home this season and the Louisville Cardinals are only 3-4 on the road. We all know that Louisville is pretty much playing for pride only because no tournament for them this season so if I'm Notre Dame take it to them early. The Irish have won back-to-back games against Clemson on the road and at home against UNC and the Irish have won 3 out of their last 4 games. Louisville is coming off a road loss to Duke Monday night and they had to sit on that loss for 5 days and tonight again on the road I see the Irish offense pulling away in the 2nd half. Louisville is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games and Notre Dame is 11-5-1 ATS against ACC teams.

3 Unit Play. Take #659 Over 143 Gonzaga at SMU (10:00p.m., Saturday February 13 ESPN2)
The Moody Coliseum in Abilene, Texas will get to see an outstanding basketball game tonight and tonight we should see tons of offense. Both schools are averaging high numbers as Gonzaga is averaging 80.2ppg while the home team SMU is averaging 79.9ppg. I do see a close game from start to end and with a close game I see late free throws at the end of the game but those late free throws won't be needed because I see a high scoring game tonight. Gonzaga is 9-4 O/U following a SU win and SMU is 5-2 O/U against non-conference games.

4 Unit Play. Take #714 Idaho St -3 over Sacramento St (9:00p.m., Saturday February 13)
Revenge or redemption! What ever you want to call it tonight the Idaho St Bengals will be looking for it. These two teams played each other in Sacramento St as the home team won 82-71 and the Bengals were winning at halftime. Since that win for the Sac St Hornets they have dropped 5 out of 7 games and their last road game the Hornets lost by 13 points. Idaho St since that road loss have won 6 out of 7 games and their last 3 home games were all won by double-digits. Revenge will be taken tonight and the Bengals get another big home win. Sacramento St is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Saturday games and the Bengals are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games. The home team in this series is also a perfect 4-0 ATS.

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Maddux college BB picks for Saturday February 13
10* 539 Rice +13.5
10* 590 UL Lafayette -4
10* 616 Elon -1
10* 617 UTSA +13.5
10* 635 Lasalle +17.5
10* 699 Denver +9
10* 711 Northern Arizona +18

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman CBB

2-Unit Play. Take #646 Valparaiso (-14) over Wright State (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 13)

I lost my wager earlier this week with Valpo over Northern Kentucky. But I am not giving up on this team. Valparaiso is 21-4 on the season and is far and away the best team in the Horizon League. This is a big game against them and it s a revenge game for the Crusaders. They lost on the road at Wright State back on Jan. 22. But now this game is in their home gym and I expect one of Valpo's best efforts yet. The Crusaders are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall and they are catching Wright State at a great time. The Raiders are coming off an ugly loss to Illinois-Chicago. That will rattle this team. Wright State has lost three straight road games and are 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five road games in league play. Chalk up another loss.

2-Unit Play. Take #652 Connecticut (-8) over Tulsa (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 13)

The public likes Tulsa. But I like the Huskies. This team is much better at home than it is on the road. They are coming off a loss on the road at Temple earlier this week. But the Huskies controlled most of that game and blew a 10-point lead. They have to be angry about letting that game get away. And the Huskies really need this win if they have any chance of making it to the NCAA Tournament. Connecticut has done really well after losses this year. They are 5-0 in their last five games after a loss and have covered the spread in four of those games. Tulsa is coming off a real nice upset win over SMU this week. But I don't think that they will get two big road wins in the same week. UConn has revenge after losing at Tulsa this year and they won by 25 points at home against this team last year. I see another big win here.

2-Unit Play. Take #512 West Virginia (-17.5) over TCU (Noon)

WVU is off a loss to Kansas on Tuesday. But now they are back at home and I expect another home blowout. West Virginia has gone 10-1 ATS at home this year and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 at home. They have dominated teams that have come to Morgantown. This is also tough for TCU. The Horned Frogs have to fly to Morgantown and get up for this early morning start. That is very tough to do against WVU's pressing defense. The Mountaineers are also getting Jon Holton back and he should give them a big boost off the bench. West Virginia is 5-2 ATS in their seven games against the Horned Frogs and this one will be another blowout.

2-Unit Play. Take #557 Louisville (+1.5) over Notre Dame (4 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 13)

I will take the points. I think the wrong team is getting points here. I think that this is a game that Louisville wins outright. The Cardinals are too big on the inside for the Irish. The underdog is 8-4 ATS in this series and Louisville has had all week to think about that loss at Duke. The Cardinals are just one game back of first place in the ACC. Louisville can't go to the NCAA Tournament because of sanctions. So the most important thing for them is to win the league title. That means winning this game right here. Notre Dame was lucky to beat North Carolina at home last week. I don't think that they will get lucky two Saturdays in a row. They are just 3-7 ATS after a win and 1-5 ATS after covering the spread in their previous game. I am going against the public with this one and I think Louisville gets the upset.

3-Unit Play. Take #559 Oregon (-6.5) over Stanford (4 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 13)

Oregon was embarrassed at Cal this week. They are going to bounce back. Stanford was just blown out at home against Oregon State. This team has lost four straight and they are now just 11-11 on the season and 4-7 in league play. Stanford is 0-6 ATS in their last six games and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 overall. This team is sinking fast. Oregon is in first place in the conference. Arizona won again on Friday and the Ducks know they have to leave this California trip with at least one win. Dana Altman's team has gone 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after a loss and 6-1 ATS in their last seven league games. The Ducks are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games overall and Stanford is just 7-19 ATS in its last 26 league games. Oregon will come back with a win here.

2-Unit Play. Take #583 Hofstra (-9.5) over Delaware (5 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 13)

I like the Pride here. Delaware just snapped a 15-game losing streak with a win over Drexel. But Drexel is the other team in the basement of the CAA. And Delaware is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after a win. It is rare for them. The Blue Hens have struggled any time that they have played against the top teams in the league. They lost at home by 15 points to William & Mary and by 18 points at home against UNC Wilmington. Delaware can be blown out at home and they will be here. Hofstra has some nice momentum after going on the road and getting the upset over William & Mary. I think that they have too many options in the backcourt for Delaware to guard and I see Hofstra winning this one easily. Lay the points.

5-Unit Play. Take #598 Nebraska (-7) over Penn State (6 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 13)

I love Nebraska in this spot. Penn State was a big overachiever earlier in the year. But now they are really struggling. They have to fly all the way out to Lincoln and I think that the Nittany Lions are going to continue to struggle on the road in Big 10 play. They have lost their last two road games by an average of 22 points per game. Penn State is 1-4 SU in its last five road games and all of their losses have been by at least 17 points. I do not think that Nebraska will win that big. But they are 3-1 ATS in their last four home games and blew out Rutgers and Minnesota the last two times they have been a home favorite. Nebraska played Wisconsin tough earlier this week but didn't get the cover. I think that they are coming back with an easy ATS win and a 10-point victory over Penn State here. Nebraska is outscoring opponents by 10 points per game at home and Penn State has been outscored by an average of 10 points per game on the road. Nebraska is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall and most importantly they are 21-8 at home against teams that are below .500. Take Nebraska big.

2-Unit Play. Take #608 San Francisco (-6) over San Diego (6 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 13)

San Francisco won the first matchup between these two teams and I think that they will get the sweep. That first win was on the road and the Dons easily shut down San Diego. San Francisco has been a much better team on its home gym and they have controlled this series in recent years, going 5-2 SU in the last seven meetings. San Francisco is coming off a real ugly loss to BYU at home. They are going to want to bounce back quickly. This team had won four of five games prior to that blowout loss. They will get it going again. San Diego is just 2-6 SU in its last eight games and this team has been outscored by an average of 15 points per game on the road. Go with the homer here.

5-Unit Play. Take #611 UTEP (-3) over Florida Atlantic (6 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 13)

This UTEP team is one of the hottest teams in Conference USA. They have covered the spread in four straight and they are being underestimated here. They are coming off a win over Florida International as an underdog and I expect them to do the same thing here against a bad FAU team. The Owls are coming off a win but are just 7-18 Su on the season. They have won back-to-back games just one time this year. UTEP won by 15 points in the first meeting this year and I think that they will do the same on the road here. Florida Atlantic is just 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall and the Owls won't be up to the task. UTEP got off to a slow start in league play but they are coming on strong. I had this game at UTEP -6.0 so there is a lot of value on the Miners in this one.

Allen Eastman

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc lawrence 10* michigan+

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Nemo

Ship it - CAL

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Teddy Covers

20* Xavier+3

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We Pick Sports

NCAAB
LSU -2 (-110) 8* 1:00 ET {Diamond Selection}

Butler -2 (-110) 4* 2:30 ET
Duke -2 (-110) 6* 4:30 ET

[golden contender]

GC: NCAAB Play

Saturday the 100% American Athletic Conference Game of the Year is up along with the ACC Game of the Month, a 5* TV Blowout and more. We Continue to rank #1 overall the last 2+ months. NCAAB Comp play below.

The NCAAB Comp play is on SMU. Game 660 at 10:00 eastern on ESPN 2. The Mustangs are 13-3 vs winning teams and 11-0 In Non conference games. SMU is off a stunning home loss here to Tulsa last out. Now they take on a Good but not great like previous years Gonzaga team. The Bulldogs are just 1-6 as a dog and have lost 5 of 7 vs top 100 RPI Scale teams. They are catching SMU at the wrong time. SMU has won 6 of 8 vs teams ranked 51 to 100 in the RPI Scale. SMU is 13-1 at home and Gonzaga has failed to cover 11 of the last 16 on the road. So we will stay at home with SMU. Don't Miss the Massive Saturday card that is led by the 100% NCAAB American Athletic Conference Game of the Year, the ACC Game of the Month, a Huge 5* Blowout and more solid System winners. We are ranked #1 overall the last 2+ months on several top leader boards. Jump on now and put the Most powerful data in the Industry on your side. For the NCAAB Play. Take SMU. GC

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Steve Merril
(3% play) IOWA STATE -5 (vs. Texas) - 8:30 pm ET (time-change) (ESPN) #504

Texas has been a major surprise this season as the Longhorns come into tonight’s game at Iowa State with a 16-8 SU record. The most surprising part of their record is the fact that Texas has been without their best player, Cameron Ridley, since mid-December with a foot injury. The Longhorns were supposed to be in a rebuilding season under new head coach Shaka Smart, but the team has caught many of their opponents off guard. Texas is 7-2 over their last nine games, but they are in a terrible situational spot for this game. The Longhorns come in off a last second 63-60 loss at Oklahoma on Monday night after blowing a 9-point halftime lead. Now they must play back-to-back conference road games for just the second time this season; they lost 76-67 the last time they were in this situation. Texas needed overtime on their home court to beat Iowa State 94-91 earlier this season despite shooting 48.6% (36-74) from the field and being +21 points from three-point land.

Iowa State returns home off back-to-back road games with their last being an 85-82 overtime loss at Texas Tech. The Cyclones have played three of their last four games on the road, and since they also lost their previous home game, we expect a peak performance in this game. Iowa State is 10-2 SU at home where they own an excellent +12.7 point differential on the season. The Cyclones’ defense has been good at home as they are holding opponents to 42.5% shooting from the field and 34.9% shooting from three-point land. Iowa State’s offense has been phenomenal at home where they are averaging 85.8 points per game on 49.9% shooting from the field and 38.4% shooting from three-point land. Iowa State is in a terrific spot for a bounce back win, so we’ll lay the points with the Cyclones in this game on Saturday night.

Play IOWA STATE (-) as a 3% play.

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(3% play) SMU -5.5 (vs. Gonzaga) - 10:00 pm ET (espn2) #660

Gonzaga is once again having a fantastic season as they come into tonight’s game at SMU with a 20-5 SU record. The Zags have been blowing teams out as of late, but tonight’s game against the Mustangs will be their toughest game since playing Arizona way back in early December. Gonzaga is simply in a terrible situational and scheduling spot for this game at SMU. The Zags are playing a meaningless out-of-conference road game in the middle of their West Coast schedule against a very good team that is looking to avenge their 16-point loss at Gonzaga last season. The Zags are also playing their fourth consecutive road game, and they are doing so over a 10-day span. Gonzaga is also playing their sixth road game over their last eight games overall, and with tonight’s result being inconsequential to their season, it’s hard to imagine the Zags being at their best for this game.

SMU is having a tremendous season as they come into this game with a 20-3 SU record. The Mustangs are 12-1 at home where they own an excellent +18.6 point differential. SMU lost their last home game 82-77 to Tulsa on Wednesday night. That was the Mustangs’ worst defensive home performance of the season, and their second worst overall. SMU plays outstanding defense, especially on their home court where they only give up 62.7 points per game on 39% shooting from the field and 31.8% shooting from three-point land. SMU’s offense has been terrific at home where they are averaging 81.3 points per game on 50.9% shooting from the field and 41.5% shooting from three-point land. SMU is banned from post-season play, so this is like a tournament game for them. The Mustangs will bring their best effort, and since they are catching Gonzaga in a terrible spot, we’ll lay the points with SMU in this game on Saturday night.

Play SMU (-) as a 3% play.

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(3% play) UNLV -6.5/-7 (vs. Colorado State) - 10:00 pm ET (ESPN-U) #664

Colorado State comes into tonight’s game at UNLV with a 14-10 SU record, but ten of those wins have come on their home court. The Rams are 3-4 SU in true road games this season, but they’ve been fortunate while facing teams that play their style of basketball. Colorado State’s defense is allowing 78.6 points per game on 48.2% shooting from the field on the road this season. But their recent conference road opponents haven’t been able to take full advantage of that poor defense because those teams wanted to play slow, half-court basketball. That won’t be the case tonight against UNLV. Colorado State beat UNLV 66-65 on their home court earlier this season, but that’s unimpressive considering the Rebels have won just one game all season when held to less than 70 points. The Rams will not keep UNLV’s offense below 70 points in this game, especially with the game being on the Rebels’ home court.

UNLV snapped their 3-game losing streak with a 64-61 home win over San Jose State on Wednesday night. The Rebels won that game despite facing a slow pace and terrible shooting. UNLV hit just 29.4% (20-68) from the field and 20% (4-20) from three-point land. The Rebels’ offense is too good to play that bad again, especially at home. UNLV is averaging 77.5 points per game at home this season. The Rebels will get their preferred fast pace against a poor Colorado State defense, so we expect a much better offensive performance in tonight’s game. UNLV’s defense is only allowing 67.6 points per game on 41.3% shooting from the field and 33% shooting from three-point land at home. We expect a peak performance by UNLV here, so we’ll lay the points with the Rebels in this game on Saturday night.

Play UNLV (-) as a 3% play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive

600 - smu
300 - Iowa st
300 - unlv

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Insider Sports Report


5* Mississippi -3.5 over Arkansas (NCAAB)
Range: -2 to -6


3* St. Bonaventure -2 over George Washington (NCAAB)
Range: -.5 to -4.5


3* Mississippi St. -3.5 over Georgia (NCAAB)
Range: -2 to -6

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Power Play Wins : LSU -2 1/2