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2-Unit Play. Take #846 North Carolina (-10.5) over Pittsburgh (1 p.m., Sunday, Feb. 14)
I like the Tar Heels to win big here tonight. Pittsburgh was blown out at Clemson and Louisville and have lost three of their last four games. North Carolina has lost two of its last three games. But they have played three straight on the road. They will get a big boost from playing in Chapel Hill and have won their home games this year by an average of 20 points per game. The Tar Heels have revenge for back-to-back losses to the Panthers the last two years and I think that they will lay the wood in this one in front of the home crowd.
2-Unit Play. Take #847 Syracuse (-11.5) over Boston College (1 p.m., Sunday, Feb. 14)
Syracuse has been hot. They have been a much better team since Jim Boeheim has been back on the bench and this team is making a strong push toward the postseason after missing the NCAA Tournament last year because of sanctions. The Orange have won four straight and seven of their last eight games. Boston College is in a letdown spot. They nearly beat North Carolina their last time out but gave that game away late with some bad mistakes. This is a young team and the Eagles haven't won since beating New Hampshire in OT back on Dec. 30. The Orange won the first meeting by 22 and I see another big win here.
2-Unit Play. Take #850 Duquesne (-7.5) over Massachusetts (3 p.m., Sunday, Feb. 14)
The Dukes have gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight games and have been playing well. They have lost their last two games but I think they will snap the streak today. Massachusetts has not been good on the road this year, going 2-6. UMass is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 league games and 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games overall. Duquesne is 10-1 ATS against teams with a losing record and 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings in this series and the home team is 4-1 ATS. I'll lay the points.
4 Unit Play. Take #863 Over 155 USC at Arizona (7:00p.m., Sunday February 14)
Both teams are averaging over 80ppg and the last 2 meetings between these two teams both games went over the total. The last meeting went to overtime and USC won at home 103-101 and that game didn't need overtime to go over and tonight I see the same high scoring game. USC is 5-1 O/U in their last 6 road games while Arizona is 6-1 O/U in their last 7 home games
Pick: Your pick will be graded at Pinnacle @ -9.5 -101 Arizona
Expert:Steve Merril
Evaluation:Feb 14 - 8:00 PM
Star Rating:10.0
Reason For Pick:
USC has shocked the Pac 12 so far this season. The Trojans come into tonight’s game at Arizona with an 18-6 record, including a 7-4 mark in conference play. USC was picked to finish tenth in the Pac 12 over the summer because the team is loaded with youth and inexperience. But the Trojans have overachieved thus far, and tonight’s game against a revenge-minded Arizona team will be an extremely difficult challenge. USC will be playing on a back-to-back road set for the fifth time this season; they lost the second game of back-to-backs their four previous times. And those games came against much lesser competition like Monmouth-NJ, Washington, and Oregon State. The Trojans have lost their last three road games by an average of 10 points per game, and Arizona is a better team than all three of the opponents they played. USC’s defense is allowing 78.6 points per game on the road this season.
Arizona is on a 4-game winning streak after going just 3-4 over their previous seven games. One of those losses came at USC when the Trojans won 103-101 in overtime. That was a terrible spot for the Wildcats as they were playing their third straight road game while coming off a close loss at UCLA. Despite the poor spot, Arizona only lost by 2 points on USC’s home court. The difference in that game came at the free throw line where USC was +15 points (26-11) and +17 attempts (33-16). The Trojans won’t get a favorable whistle in tonight’s game, especially since they’ll be playing on Arizona’s strong home court. The Wildcats are 13-1 at home where they own an incredible +20 point differential this season. Arizona is averaging 83.9 points per game on 51.2% shooting from the field and 39.8% shooting from three-point land. The Wildcats’ defense is holding opponents to just 63.9 points per game on 40.8% shooting from the field and 29.4% shooting from three-point land. We’ll lay the points with Arizona in this game on Sunday night.
10* Play ARIZONA (-).
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