
2-25-16
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CAPPERS ACCESS
(CBB) Duke
(CBB) Illinois
(NBA)Thunder -
StatFox Super Situations
NBA | OKLAHOMA CITY at NEW ORLEANS
Play Over - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more
34-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.6% | 21.9 units )
5-3 this year. ( 62.5% | 1.7 units )
NBA | BROOKLYN at PHOENIX
Play Against - Home teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more
85-53 over the last 5 seasons. ( 61.6% | 40.0 units )
14-13 this year. ( 51.9% | -2.3 units )
NBA | HOUSTON at PORTLAND
Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 105 after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )Comment
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StatFox Super Situations
CBB | COLL OF CHARLESTON at NORTHEASTERN
Play Over - All teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%)
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
CBB | TEXAS ST at ARKANSAS ST
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the money line (ARKANSAS ST) revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 points or more
55-63 since 1997. ( 46.6% | 44.3 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.2 units )
CBB | TEXAS ST at ARKANSAS ST
Play Under - Home teams against the total revenging a road loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset win as a home underdog
278-172 since 1997. ( 61.8% | 88.8 units )
12-4 this year. ( 75.0% | 7.6 units )Comment
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Mighty Quinn
Mighty missed with Siena (-2 1/2) on Wednesday and likes Old Dominion on Thursday.
The deficit is 80 sirignanos.Comment
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Sleepy J
3* USC -1.5Comment
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Hockey Crusher
Carolina Hurricanes + Toronto Maple Leafs OVER 5
(System Record: 50-4, lost last game)
Overall Record: 50-62-17
Rest of the Plays
Chicago Blackhawks -147 over Nashville Predators
Ottawa Senators + Vancouver Canucks UNDER 5.5
New York Rangers +118 over St. Louis BluesComment
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Basketball Crusher
Western Carolina +1.5 over Wofford
(System Record: 54-3, won last game)
Overall Record: 54-61-3
Rest of the Plays
Western Kentucky +8 over Middle Tennessee
Elon +1.5 over William & Mary
Nebraska +1 over Penn StateComment
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Soccer Crusher
Vasco Da Gama RJ + Friburguense UNDER 3
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 908-27, won last game)
Overall Record: 908-711-146Comment
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Dave Essler
3* Stanford +2Comment
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Paul Leiner
100* Duke -9
100* Providence +4
100* Thunder / Pelicans Over 221.5Comment
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National Sports
4* NCAAB Utah -11
3* NBA Phoniex +2
3* NCAAB Pacific -2Comment
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Power play wins
power play of the day for thursday 2/25/16
ncaab: Georgia southern -6.5Comment
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Dallas Sports Handicappers
Indiana Hoosiers -6.5
Tennessee Martin Skyhawks -1.5
William & Mary Tribe -1.5
Tennessee Tech Eagles -2.5Comment
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Allen Eastman CBB
2-Unit Play. Take #746 UAB (-5.5) over Marshall (8 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 24)
Big game in CUSA. This one will likely decide who is the top seed in the conference tournament and who wins the regular season title. UAB is the better team and I think that this one could be a blowout. They already won in Huntington earlier this season. Now they are at home where they have a nice home court advantage. UAB is 6-2 ATS in its last eight home games and they always raise their level of play against top teams. UAB is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 games against teams that are over .500 and they are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games against Marshall. Go with the home team.
2-Unit Play. Take #752 Arkansas-Little Rock (-7) over UT-Arlington (8 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 24)
This game is very similar to my wager on UAB. UA-LR is the better team in the conference here in this big game. These are two of the top teams in the Sun Belt but there is a clear difference. Arlington is just 5-5 in its last 10 games and has struggled down the stretch. They are coming off a tough loss to Louisiana-Monroe and that loss exposed some of their flaws, especially on offense. UA-LR already beat Arlington on the road this season and I think that they will get the sweep here.
2-Unit Play. Take #728 Seton Hall (-4) over Providence (7 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 24)
Seton Hall won at Providence this season and I think that they can pull the sweep with a big win here at home. This Seton Hall team has flown under the radar. But they have won six of their last seven games and they are focused on making it back to the NCAA Tournament for the first time in a long time for this storied program. Providence star player Kris Dunn missed practice yesterday with a stomach bug and is not 100 percent. Seton Hall should run him ragged tonight. Providence has lost four of its last five games and their last five wins have all been very, very close by four points or less or in OT. This team's record could be a lot worse and I think they are overrated. Go with the homer here.
2-Unit Play. Take #720 Northeastern (-3.5) over Charleston (7 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 24)
Northeastern nearly knocked off Charleston on the road in the first meeting this year, falling in overtime. But I think that they will make up for it here. Northeastern is 3-1 SU and ATS in its last four games and this team wants to stay above .500 in the hopes that it gets to go to one of the smaller tournaments this postseason. Charleston
3-Unit Play. Take #733 UTEP (+7.5) over Old Dominion (7 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 24)
This is too many points for the home team to be laying out. Old Dominion has been a very average team this year. They are just 15-12 overall and 8-6 in league play. They have a bunch of home losses outright too and I think that UTEP could win this game! I had this spread handicapped at 3.5 so I was surprised to see it so high. UTEP is 6-1 ATS in its last seven and they are 5-2 ATS on the road. ODU is 8-19 ATS in its last 27 games overall and just 1-6 ATS at home. This is way too many points.
3-Unit Play. Take #769 Cal-Fullerton (+8.5) over Cal Poly (10 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 24)
This is another line that is out of whack. Cal Poly is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight games and 3-7 ATS in its last 10. They have been one of the worst bets in the Big West this season and the books have this team all wrong. They lost their last game as a big favorite and nearly lost the game before when laying nine points. They could lose this game to a Fullerton team that has revenge after losing three straight in this series. This is too many points for the home team to cover. I see another close game.
Allen EastmanComment
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