3-11-16

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Oddsworthbetting
Maryland -8 (3)
Geo. Wash. +2 (2)
California +2 (2)

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Teddy covers
20* West Virginia pk
10* Boston -6
10* Nebraska +8
10* Oregon +1.5
10* Fresno State -3

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Alan Boston
LSU

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MARC LAWRENCE COLLEGE TOURNEY MONSTER PLAY -Bowling Green (573) vs. Akron(574) - March 11, 2016 - 6:30 PM

Pick: Your pick will be graded at 5dimes @ -8.5 -105 Akron
Expert:Marc Lawrence
Evaluation:Mar 11 - 6:30 PM
Star Rating:10.0
Reason For Pick:
Play - Akron (Game 574).
Edges - Zips: 16-0 SU and 15-0-1 ATS in this series when not favored by more than 14 points. Falcons: 3-13 SUATS in this tourney versus foe off BB wins, including 0-10 ATS when Bowling Green owns a sub .666 record. The database cements it with this beauty: teams in semifinal round of college conference tourney games off BB SU underdog wins (Falcons) are 1-18 SU when facing a No. 1 seed. Worse these same teams off BB SU underdog wins in this round are 0-5 SUATS the last 25 years as dogs of more than 5 points when playing with same season double loss revenge if the opponent afield to cover the spread in its last game. With No. 1 seeds in the MAC tourney now 27-7 SU and 24-10 ATS the last 14 years, we recommend a strong 10* play on Akron. Thank you and good luck as always.

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LAWRENCE late phones
4-Akron
3's Mia.Fl. And Irvine

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D Esler | CBB Sides - Friday, Mar 11 2016 9:00PM

#536 St. Bonaventure -1.0(-110) Pinnacle vs #535 Davidson triple-dime bet

Analysis: He who hesitates and/or overthinks is lost - I expected to lay -2 or so. Semi shocked at -1 and cannot see why - Not enamored with too many (any at this point) day games yet - but I will at the very least give you an opinion. In this game we've got St. Bonaventure as a "last team in" at the moment, according to at least the ESPN bracket. Clearly THEY are aware of that - and that would translate to "on the bubble" and they need this one. Whether they need it or not, they are simply the better team and obviously rested. Davidson beat LaSalle handily yesterday but they still play pretty quick (expends energy) and LaSalle put them on the FT line a TON - a mistake the Bonnies will not make. St. Bonaventure plays nearly the same pace, so no issue there at all. They've lost once since January 24th when VCU beat them, whereas Davidson has a decent win at home against St. Joe's - but that's it. Let's not forget that Steph Curry doesn't play there any longer, but Davidson is still a three-point shooting team. Here's the rub for me - the Bonnies had the 38th best three point defense % in the nation, and #2 in the Conference. Davidson had the 13th ranked defense is the conference, not backable (yes, I know that is not a word) under any circumstances, and actually the Bonnies shoot for a better % (40%) from deep, or better than Davidson. St. Bonaventure gets to the line more than anyone in the Conference, and shoots 78% from it - those are almost enough stats to take them, let alone the situation - and the geography. St. Bonaventure is in NY (game's in Brooklyn) about five hours away - Davidson is over nine hours. It's a matchup issue - the Bonnies beat them this season, and beat them AT Davidson last season when in fact Davidson was the far be Útter team. Davidson will make a nice NIT team. Even in what looked like a rout, Davidson had three starters play 34+ minutes last night, and they had a 21 point lead shortly into the 2H and STILL had to play most of the game. Bonnies are more rested - need it more (although not desperation), matchup better - have more ways to win than just shooting from behind the arc - and will win the game. Out - for now.

Pick Made: Mar 11 2016 7:43AM PST

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K Thompson | CBB Sides - Friday, Mar 11 2016 9:00PM

#536 St. Bonaventure -1.0(-106) Pinnacle vs #535 Davidson double-dime bet

Analysis: Davidson playing well....rely on Jack Gibbs too much...St. Bonnie's no respect....a win here they are in! No time for BIG Write-ups today...lines moving too fast!

Pick Made: Mar 11 2016 8:06AM PST

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K Thompson | CBB Sides - Friday, Mar 11 2016 9:00PM

#577 Arizona -1.5(-110) William Hill vs #578 Oregon double-dime bet

Analysis:Will be focused trying to ave nge home loss that busted 49 game win streak at McHale Center earlier...AZ will have decisive crowd advantage as half of Tucson is here in Vegas!


Pick Made: Mar 11 2016 8:09AM PST

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K Thompson | CBB ML - Friday, Mar 11 2016 11:30PM

ML #580 Utah (-125) William Hill vs #579 California double-dime bet

Analysis: Utah is focused to get to first Pac 12 Final game in history...Krystowiak addressed it last night after USC win....CAL had tougher game down stretch with Payton and Oregon State than they anticipated.

Pick Made: Mar 11 2016 8:12AM PST

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K Thompson | CBB Sides - Friday, Mar 11 2016 9:00PM

#576 Ohio -1.0(-110) Greek vs #575 Buffalo double-dime bet

Analysis: Bobcats will have big time crowd in Cleveland....swept two games vs. Buffalo during season and are playing best ball of the season

Pick Made: Mar 11 2016 8:14AM PST

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K Thompson | CBB Sides - Saturday, Mar 12 2016 12:00AM

#588 UC Irvine -2.5(-110) William Hill vs #587 Long Beach double-dime bet

Analysis: Anteaters more efficient squad....Ndiaye needs to dominate paint.....Beach more athleticism but they turn it over more....Nelson & Young need to knock down open shots

Pick Made: Mar 11 2016 8:20AM PST

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K Thompson | CBB ML - Friday, Mar 11 2016 11:00PM

Money Line #592 Montana (-162) Pinnacle vs #591 Idaho double-dime bet

Analysis: Experience in this spot is key....Sanders & Callandret will keep it close for Vandals ...that's why a rare money line play....Breunig needs to be dominant in paint for Grizz

Pick Made: Mar 11 2016 8:24AM PST

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K Thompson | CBB Sides - Friday, Mar 11 2016 7:00PM

#570 Kansas -6.0(-110) Greek vs #569 Baylor double-dime bet

Analysis: This game will come down to efficiency on offensive end for Bears...if they can knock down open three's they are good enough to beat Kansas...they are a solid road team so playing in Kansas City is no big deal...but Jayhawks don't beat themselves and just refuse to lose instead of going home early...this team may not lose another game this season if they don't lose here....Baylor has depth and are a freaky squad...Free throws down the stretch should close out Bears

Pick Made: Mar 11 2016 8:28AM PST

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NFAC
$500 UConn +2.5 (-115)
$500 GW – UNDER 144

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GoodFella

3* Conference Game Of The Month
Colorado st +3 1/2