3-17-16

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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | MEMPHIS at MILWAUKEE
Play On - Home teams (MILWAUKEE) revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite
70-33 since 1997. ( 68.0% | 33.7 units )

NBA | DENVER at ATLANTA
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games
84-34 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.2% | 39.1 units )
8-3 this year. ( 72.7% | 3.4 units )

NBA | PHOENIX at UTAH
Play On - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (PHOENIX) a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 105 points or more
67-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )
7-2 this year. ( 77.8% | 4.8 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

CBB | UT-CHATTANOOGA at INDIANA
Play Under - Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after a loss by 6 points or less
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.8 units )

CBB | WICHITA ST at ARIZONA
Play Against - Neutral court teams (WICHITA ST) after a combined score of 125 points or less 3 straight games
169-108 over the last 5 seasons. ( 61.0% | 54.9 units )
6-9 this year. ( 40.0% | -4.4 units )

CBB | FRESNO ST at UTAH
Play Under - Neutral court teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG), after a loss by 15 points or more
78-38 since 1997. ( 67.2% | 36.2 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.8 units )

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Central Michigan (-8 1/2) on Wednesday and likes North Carolina on Thursday.

The surplus is 100 sirignanos.

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Dave Essler

CBB Sides Thu, 03/17/16 - 2:45 PM

721 Yale 6.0 vs 722 Baylor

Analysis: Yale may win this game outright - more later. Here's the premise as I am working on all the teams.

Baylor - Five of their eight conference losses were at home, so they've been a solid bet away from Waco, and of course played Kansas tough in the Big 12 Tournament. Most of THEIR losses were also to teams that force them to play faster than they'd prefer to, and they were knocked out in round one by Georgia State last season in Jacksonville, which about as close to Atlanta (where GSU is from) as Yale is to Providence - actually, Yale is a LOT closer to Providence and Yale is one of the more experienced teams in the nation - and since the Ivy league has no conference tournament, very rested. We might put the Bears on upset alert here.

Yale - Having almost two weeks off is going to either be a huge advantage, or create some rust. Yale did play some quality non-conference games on the road - SoCal, Duke, and almost beating SMU in Dallas, so this being a defacto home game might also help their cause. No Dancing in some time, but two years ago many of these players won four post-season games before losiŠng to Murray State in the CIT finals. If the Bears start looking to Duke, they might leave the door open for Yale to be "that team" this year.

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Dr Bob

NCAAB

2 Miami Florida -13'

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Oskeim

NCAAB

Wichita State

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NFAC

$500 - UNDER 139.5 FRESNO-UTAH

$500- USC +2

Big Moves Consensus $500 - ARIZONA -1 (-115)

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Fat Jack

#721 YALE +5.5
#730 OVER 132 Hampton/Virginia
#732 TEXAS TECH +4
#739 STONY BROOK +14
#741 ARKANSAS LITTLE ROCK +9
#743 IONA +8
#748 SETON HALL +1

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Dave Malinsky

Providence -1.5 (Matt Youmans also gave it out as a Best Bet)

NROPP
5* Providence -1.5
3* Texas Tech +4
3* UCONN -3
3* Baylor -5.5
3* Chattanooga +12
3* Gonzaga Pick
2* Miami -13.5
2* Purdue -8.5
2* UCONN UN 132.5

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Hockey Crusher
San Jose Sharks -160 over Arizona Coyotes
(System Record: 57-5, lost last 2 games and a push)
Overall Record: 57-72-21

Rest of the Plays
Minnesota Wild -145 over New Jersey Devils
Nashville Predators -138 over New York Islanders
Columbus Blue Jackets +111 over Detroit Red Wings

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Basketball Crusher
Seton Hall +1 over Gonzaga
(System Record: 64-3, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 64-72-3

Rest of the Plays
Fresno State +9 over Utah
Connecticut -170 over Colorado
North Carolina-Wilmington +10 over Duke

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Soccer Crusher
Deportivo Cali + Racing Club OVER 2
This match is happening in Conmebol
(System Record: 919-28, won last 3 games and a push)
Overall Record: 919-719-148

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Ken Thomson | CBB Sides - Thursday, Mar 17 2016 12:40PM
732 Texas Tech 4.5(-110) Westgate vs 731 Butler double-dime bet

Analysis:Taking a shot on the old man and his Red Raiders. HC Tubby Smith has had a nice year in Lubbock and if the Big 12 is truly the premier Conference then Tech should be able to hang with the Post Season tested Butler Bulldogs. Big man, 6'9 Norense Odiase has been back for two games now after missing nine games. He gives help in the paint to Zach Smith which was much needed. In his last game Odiase had 10 points and six rebounds in just 19 minutes of action. Meanwhile the Red Raiders need to keep defensive wraps on Kellen Dunham who shoots 43 % behind the arc. If Tech can slow down Dunham and his scoring mate Kelan Martin the Red Raiders have a good chance to move on to Saturday vs. Virginia unless the Cavs ge “t stunned by Hampton. Toddrick Gotcher, Aaron Ross & Devauntah Williams need to take care of the ball, especially out of the gate as Tech needs to avoid a slow start.
This is a good Butler team but if you put them in the Big 12 would they have faired better than Tech's Conference record of ( 9-9 ). Could they beat Iowa State, Baylor & Oklahoma? Maybe....but I don't believe the Bulldogs are much better than the Red Raiders if they are at all. Tip off from Raleigh is at 12:40 PM ET....I'll take a shot on Tubby and the points!


Pick Made: Mar 17 2016 4:11AM PST

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Ken Thomson | CBB Total - Thursday, Mar 17 2016 12:15PM
723 N.C.-Wilmington / 724 Duke UNDER 157.0 William Hill double-dime bet

Analysis: Even at 84-72 Duke, the game stays under the total. UNCW has had several games in which they've score “d into the 80's & 90's but of late 69-73 is they're average. If the lead gets to double digits early for Duke there could be that exchange of baskets to not be embarrassed but I'm looking for Duke to win by double digits and the game to be in the 140's.

Pick Made: Mar 17 2016 3:53AM PST