3-30-16

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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | GOLDEN STATE at UTAH
Play Against - Home underdogs (UTAH) after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half
70-33 since 1997. ( 68.0% | 33.7 units )
4-1 this year. ( 80.0% | 2.9 units )

NBA | ATLANTA at TORONTO
Play Against - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (ATLANTA) after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more
56-28 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.7% | 29.5 units )
11-8 this year. ( 57.9% | 3.5 units )

NBA | PHOENIX at MILWAUKEE
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is greater than 100 in a game involving two good offensive teams (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 120 points or more
54-23 since 1997. ( 70.1% | 28.7 units )
4-4 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.4 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

CBB | MOREHEAD ST at NEVADA
Play Against - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MOREHEAD ST) after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

CBB | MOREHEAD ST at NEVADA
Play On - Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (NEVADA) a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 155 points or more
89-46 since 1997. ( 65.9% | 37.5 units )
9-6 this year. ( 60.0% | 2.5 units )

CBB | MOREHEAD ST at NEVADA
Play On - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (MOREHEAD ST) a good team (+3.5 to +8 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games
122-68 since 1997. ( 64.2% | 47.2 units )
10-11 this year. ( 47.6% | -2.1 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday's six-pack

-- Old Dominion 64, UCSB 49-- Monarchs advance to Vegas 16 final; they'll play....

-- Oakland 104, East Tennessee State 81-- Oakland's opponent tonight will defend.

-- Valparaiso 72, BYU 70-- Crusaders advance to NIT final against........

-- George Washington 65, San Diego State 46-- Surprisingly easy win for GW.

-- Columbia 73, Cal-Irvine 67-- Lions win CBI championship.

-- ESPN said Saint Louis hired Travis Ford as its new basketball coach, then school put out a press release saying "....the process is still ongoing". Alrighty then.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with on BYU (+1) on Tuesday and likes the Hawks on Wednesday.

The deficit is 185 sirignanos.

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Goodfella 3* TOM


Bucks/Suns over 211... play up to 214 fwiw

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Soccer Crusher Extra Bonus Picks:

Boavista RJ + Madureira RJ UNDER 2.5 (Brazil)

Botafogo RJ + Volta Redonda OVER 2 (Brazil)

Friburguense + Resende UNDER 2.5 (Brazil)

[golden contender]

GC: NBA

Hump day Power card has a rare 6* Double perfect system, the CBi tournament system winner and a 5* NBA Simulation model with 5 big angles. NBA Comp play below.

The NBA Comp play is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + 5.5 points at 8:05 eastern. Minnesota is rated as a 3* tonight as they qualify in a solid dog system. We are playing on non division home dogs with a total that is 200 or higher for teams that scored 120 or more points at home in their last game, but did not cover the spread, vs an opponent like the Clippers that were favored in their last game. These home dogs are 9-1 straight up since 1995. The Wolves are 5-0 to the spread if they were favored in their last game and have covered in 12 of the last 16 vs winning teams. They beat the Clippers in LA In the last meeting. We will play them with the points tonight. On Wednesday we have a powerful card with 2 big NBA Plays rated at 6 and 5*. The CBI Tournament side in ESPN U is also up and from a solid college hoops system. Jump on now and get on the Giving end of hump day. for the NBA Free pick. Take the 5 to 6 points with Minnesota. GC

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Nover: cbb
2* Oakland ml -125

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Ken Thomson | CBB ML - Wednesday, Mar 30 2016 9:00PM
ML 520 Nevada (-180) Greek vs 519 Morehead St. triple-dime bet

small tourney G.O.Y.

Analysison't normally do money line like this too often. When you see a lot of back door covers and you know you would've won on money line wager it drives you nuts. Nevada was right there in the opener at Morehead, Kentucky which is where Morehead State is located for those that have enquiring minds. Then the Eagle's Xavier Moon misses two free throws with 31 seconds left which would've stretched the lead back to five points. Moon had made 22 of 22 free throws in the CBI's first three games and cost a cover by missing both throws...if he makes one...most players push or win. Not taking chances on this one...lo “oking at Oliver playing better and the Pack winning to force a Game 3 on Friday night. Marqueze Coleman is back and getting stronger now and I feel him having a big home game at Lawler Event Center in Reno!


Pick Made: Mar 29 2016 11:43AM PST

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Power Play Wins
POWER PLAY OF THE DAY
NEVADA -4

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PAUL LEINER

100* Knicks +5.5
100* Nevada -4

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Root Trust Basketball Service

Wednesday, March 30, 2016
Millionaires
Timberwolves (+6) over Clippers
7:00 PM (EDT) -- Target Center
Game time conditions: | Temp: ° | Wind from the at mph | Cloud cover:

No Limit
Hawks (+1) over Raptors
7:30 PM (EDT) -- Air Canada Centre

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Indian Cowboy

4-Unit Play. #419. Take Under 146.5 Morehead State vs. Nevada (Wednesday @ 9pm est)
We roll with both Unders here today. The first of which is Morehead State as these two teams just hooked up and the score was 86-83 in their last game and a total of 169 points were scored and yet the total listed now is at 146.5 which speaks volumes. You have a great public fade here and Morehead State is likely not to have the same big offensive big production that they had in their first game at home scoring 86 points as this is a team that had the comforts at home and will likely struggle on the road here against Nevada who will be looking for revenge. Nevada is a top 60 team when it comes to defense and they have to be irritated they gave up 86 points in their last game. This team has given up 72, 70 and 75 points in their last 3 post-season games. This is a top 30 team when it comes to opposing field goal percentage who is in the top 30. The key stat here for us is that Nevada is 4-1 coming off a straight up loss to the Under.

4-Unit Play. #521. Take Under 145 Oakland vs. Old Dominion (Wednesday @ 10pm est)
We roll with the Under here and it's tough to do so given how fantastic Oakland's offense is. But, there are metrics that we follow and its hard to ignore the fact that Old Dominion is a top 70 defensive team, top 5 in turnover percentage and outside the top 340 in 3 point field goals. So, you hae a Old Dominion team that is likely to slow the pace down here significantly in order to compete and do well here against Oakland. This is a team that held UC Santa Barbara to just 49 points in their last game and Tennessee Tech to just 59 points. This is a team that held St. Josephs to 66 points and held Purdue to 61 points. The Under is 4-0-1 when the Monarchs face teams with a winning percentage of 60% of more and the Under is 5-1 for the Golden Grizzlies of Oakland when they put up 90 points in their last game.


NBA

5 Plays Today:
3-Unit Play. #501. Take Atlanta +1 over Toronto (Wednesday @ 7:05pm est)
3-Unit Play. #507. Take Over 211.5 Milwaukee vs. Phoenix (Wednesday @ 8:05pm est)
3-Unit Play. #510. Take San Antonio -19 over New Orleans (Wednesday @ 8:35pm est)
3-Unit Play. #511. Take Under 200 New York vs. Dallas (Wednesday @ 8:35pm est)
3-Unit Play. #514. Take Under 203 Golden State vs. Utah (Wednesday @ 9:05pm est)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allan Harris

4 Unit Play. Take #519/520 Morehead St. vs. Nevada Over 146.5 (9:00 PM, Wednesday, March 30, ESPN U)
Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet when the Morehead St. Eagles hit the road to take on the Nevada Wolfpack at the Lawlor Events Center in Reno, NV in Game 2 of the CBI Tournament Finals. The Eagles have posted a 5-2 record to the over in their last seven games overall and they have that same 5-2 record to the over in their last seven games where they faced a non-conference opponent. The Wolfpack have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone over the total in six of their last seven non-conference games. Throw in the fact that Morehead has gone a perfect 5-0-1 to the over in their last six games following an ATS loss and that these two teams put up 169 points when they met on Monday night in Game 1 and that's where we'll have our play as we are expecting the same type of game that we saw on Monday night in Kentucky.