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PATRICK (73-65 +.30) No Selection Today
DAVID (73-69 -4.40) SACRAMENTO +6.5 PHOENIX (10PM)
JEFF (66-63 -4.70) BOSTON -7 CHARLOTTE (730PM)
Mlb
patrick (3-6 -2.65) philadelphia -130 san diego (3pm)
david (6-6 0.00) seattle -172 texas (10pm)
jeff (6-7 -1.10)
milwaukee +141 st louis (4pm)
atlanta/washington under 7.5 -105 (10pm)
Soccer simon (73-63 +4.47)
denmark (under 2.5 -135) esbjerg fb @ fc nordsjaelland (1pm)
italy serie a (under 2.5 -105) bologna fc @ as roma (245pm)
3-Unit Play. Take #904 St. Louis (-170)
over Milwaukee
(4 p.m., Monday, April 11)
I know it is high juice here. But I was really surprised that St. Louis wasn’t over -200 today in their home opener. I mean, how many teams have a better home field edge than the Cardinals? The Brewers are trash. They got slammed by San Francisco and they fluked out wins against the Astros (who just are looking a little hungover out of the gate). Michael Wacha got tore up in his first start. But I definitely think that he’ll bounce back here. The Cardinals are 40-18 in their last 58 games against the Brewers. They dominate this team and will do so here.
3-Unit Play. Take #906 Washington (-1.5, -105)
over Atlanta
(7 p.m., Monday, April 11)
No bet against the Braves is a bad bet. These guys are a train wreck and gave up 12 more runs yesterday. They are going to keep running Bud Norris out there every fifth day and this guy has proven that at his best he is a mediocre MLB starter (which is why he moved into the bullpen in Baltimore). Max Scherzer is as good as it gets and he should dominate this game.
3-Unit Play. Take #910 Chicago Cubs (-1.5, +105)
over Cincinnati
(8 p.m., Monday, April 11)
I released a futures play on the Cubs because I think these guys are the real deal. They haven’t done anything in their first six games to make me think that they’re not. Cincinnati pulled out an absolutely BS win yesterday against the Pirates. There is no way they should’ve won that game, as the Pirates stranded eight runners in the first four innings in a game they should’ve won in a walk. Jon Lester is a stud and he will be amped up pitching in what should be a raucous home opener in Wrigley. Chicago just got done facing Zach Greinke and Shelby Miller. Taking on Brandon Finnegan (who?) is a major step down. Finnegan has less than 10 career starts in his MLB career and the Cubs should get to him. I also think that the Reds are hitting above their weight class against lefties and Lester should help even out those numbers.
1-Unit Play. Take #914 Minnesota (+105)
over Chicago White Sox
(4 p.m., Monday, April 11)
I think that Kyle Gibson has a lot of potential and I think that he is an undervalued starter. I also think that Minnesota, although they have looked awful, is better than they appear. They haven’t won a game yet, but they’ve played what I believe are two of the best teams in the A.L. (Baltimore and Kansas City) right out of the gate, and on the road. Three of their losses are by just one run and I think the Twins will get a little boost playing at home.
2-Unit Play. Take #916 Houston (-130)
over Kansas City
(8 p.m., Monday, April 11)
We see this all the time in sports. Schedule makers love to have teams that met in the playoffs in the previous season matchup right out of the gate the following season. And more often than not the team that suffered defeat in the playoffs gets some small measure of revenge in the ensuing regular season meeting. I think that’s what we’ll see here. Houston also has an edge on the mound today, besides their revenge motivation. Chris Young came back strong and was great for the Royals last year. But is the aging righty goign to have 30+ good starts in him this year? I don’t think so. I think the Astros hit him hard here.
1-Unit Play. Take #918 Oakland (-140)
over L.A. Angels
(10 p.m., Monday, April 11)
This is a great price on Sonny Gray. I don’t think that either of these teams are very good. But Gray is a bona fide ace. And the A’s, as bad as I think they are, do have some early season momentum after their ridiculous sweep in Seattle this weekend. Nicholas Tropeano shut down the A’s twice last year. I am certain they will make adjustments against the young righty here and he is swimming out of his depth going up against a guy like Gray.
1-Unit Play. Take #920 Seattle (-170)
over Texas
(10 p.m., Monday, April 11)
I think the Mariners are this big of a favorite for a reason. They completely outplayed the Rangers in the opening series and jumped all over Colby Lewis. No reason they won’t do so again.
4-unit Play Take #902 Philadelphia Phillies (-125)
over San Diego Padres
(3:05pm EST)
Baseball is a funny sport where a small sample can really make you look foolish. Case in point is the San Diego Padres. They opened the season at home against the Dodgers and were shutout in all three games by a combined score of 25-0. It didn’t take long for people to tag them as the worst offense in the National League. Then they went into Colorado and promptly put up 13 and 16 runs in the first two games of that series – each an easy victory. They dropped the finale, but people are no longer talking about how bad their offense is. In fact, San Diego is now sixth in the league in runs scored so far this season. But ballpark effects are huge in baseball, and games in Coors Field can be discarded almost as much as games played on the moon. The conditions are completely different and you can’t expect any carryover. The Padres travel across country now to Philadelphia to start a series with the Phillies.
Philadelphia is coming off of two straight wins against the Mets and their pitching was sensational in both contests. They were able to hold a pretty good New York lineup to zero runs and two runs in those games. Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Phils today and he might be the best of their young bunch. Nola was great in his rookie season, where he made 13 starts going 6-2 with a 3.59 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. And he certainly looked like he could be even better this season after an impressive performance against the Reds in his 2016 debut. He went seven innings while allowing just four hits and one run, while striking out eight batters with no walks. The Padres are still going to have a really tough time scoring runs in a non-Coors environment, and I think Nola gets the best of them today. Take the Phillies here.
5-unit Play Take #916 Houston Astros (-130)
over Kansas City Royals
(8:10pm EST)
The Houston Astros were just two innings away from going to the ALCS last season and had a four run lead to boot. But the Kansas City Royals didn’t give up and were able to execute one of their patented comeback wins to knock off the Stros. The Houston players have had a bad taste in their mouths for the entire offseason, and today they’ll look to exact some revenge. Collin McHugh takes the ball for the Astros as he looks to rebound from a miserable outing last time out versus the Yankees. He gave up six runs while recording just one out before being pulled in Yankee Stadium. McHugh should be much more comfortable in Houston for the team’s home opener today. He’ll face the Kansas City Royals in game where the Astros match up really well.
The Royals thrive in big stadiums where their speed and defense can take center stage. Kaufman Stadium is the perfect place for them. But when they go on the road, that’s not always the case. Minute Maid Park is a much smaller park built for hitters – power hitters to be exact. And wisely, that’s what the Astros have loaded up on. All nine guys in their lineup can hit the ball hard, and that serves them well at home. The Astros were 53-28 at home last season, which was the best mark in the American League. Making matters worse for the Royals today, they’ll send right-hander Chris Young to the hill. Young is a flyball pitcher who’s style was tailor made for Kaufman Stadium. He could run into some problems against Houston’s lineup of sluggers in a hitter-friendly environment. I like the Astros to win this game in rather easy fashion.
6-Unit Play. #718. Take Phoenix -5.5 over Sacramento (Monday @ 10:05pm est)
We roll with Phoenix here as they roll up against the Sacramento Kings. Long story short here the Suns are playing very hard and its hard to ignore the fact that this team has not quit on the season. If the Suns had quit, then you would not see such solid metrics for them of late. This includes beating New Orleans 121-100 as a 3 point favorite (which we were on as a premium selection), beating Houston 124-115 as a -12.5 point underdog which was a shocker, the fact this team only lost to Atlanta by 13 points, only losing to Washington 7 points and the Celtics by a field goal. This team has covered 6 out of their last 8 games and has a great deal of revenge from losing to the Kings 04-116 back in late March. We like Phoenix here as a quality public fade, with revenge and to continue playing well as they have not given up on the season. We have the Suns by double-digits here as Cousins is not expected to play but frankly regardless of who plays we like the Suns here.
4-Unit Play. #916. Take Houston Astros -132 over Kansas City Royals (Monday @ 8:10pm est)
We roll with the Astros here as they hook up against the Royals. It's always tough to go against the Royals and we understand that but having said that we get a pitching matchup edge that it is important for us to roll with. For starters, you have a pitcher in Young who comes off a loss in which he pitched well in but the Royals just could not score and ended up losing 0-2 to the Mets. Then you have a pitcher in McHugh who won a fantastic 19 games last year who did not get out of the first inning as he only got 1 out and one has to think he will look to bounce-back in a big way today. Plus, you have a Houston team that lost 2-3 to Milwaukee as a -164 favorite which we like, a Kansas City team who they lost to 2-7 last time out and a Royals team that comes off a sweep of Minnesota who is likely in for a let down ehre. Note, the Astros are 18-4 in McHugh's last 22 home starts and 13-3 when McHugh faces a team with a winning record as well.
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