4-14-16

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DAVE ESSLER:

3* Houston / kc over 8.5

PLAY: Houston/Kansas City OVER
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY

Typically we'd wait to see what happens the night before to fire on games - but there are just far too many ways to win this to worry about it. Let's look at the venue - Minute Maid Park. Not only (aside from dead center) is it a hitters' park, but there's great chance the roof will be open meaning the ball carries even further. The we start at the beginning. Doug Fister CAN be a ground ball pitcher but that trend has been fading over the last year, not to mention that the Royals saw a TON of him when he was in the AL - and of course had reasonable success. Now that he IS back in the AL - there's no pitcher to pitch around so we can adjust for that as well. It took him 86 pitches to get through 5 innings at Milwaukee last outing, where he gave one up (a HR) and three earned runs - when he doesn't miss bats - he gets hit, and the Royals are a very tough team to strike out. AND, this is on turf so perhaps ground balls get through a little quicker. Either way, the Royals get to four runs. I seriously considered taking the Royals as well - and may add them for LT clients - but a closer look at Kennedy said THIS is the way to go. He, too, is in the AL now with no pitcher to work around, AND he's in a much smaller park than he's been (San Diego) where he gave up 31 jacks in 168 innings (home and away) - so now what - the Astros who can and do routinely hit them over the fence. He's perhaps a bit over rated after his great first start - against the TWINS who cannot hit. He threw 109 pitches (that's a lot this early) and gave up 10 flyball outs to 7 ground ball outs - so some of these are going over the fence. Back to Houston - who we've just known forever to not have a great back end - and their team bullpen ERA is 6.11 this season. Not cool. The Royals' pen is good, as usual, but hasn't been QUITE as dominant this season (yet), and they've been used more than usual - we can only hope even more on Wednesday. So, the Astros also get to four runs - making the ninth one a winner.

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Goodfella:

3* Kansas City Royals

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Hockey Crusher
Los Angeles Kings -141 over San Jose Sharks
(System Record: 71-5, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 71-82-23

Rest of the Plays
Minnesota Wild + Dallas Stars OVER 5

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Baseball Crusher
Chicago Cubs -160 over Cincinnati Reds
(System Record: 9-0, won last 4 games)
Overall Record: 9-2

Rest of the Plays
Minnesota Twins -119 over Chicago White Sox
Philadelphia Phillies + San Diego Padres OVER 7
Toronto Blue Jays -151 over New York Yankees

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Crusher
Colo Colo + Independiente del Valle UNDER 3
This match is happening in Conmebol
(System Record: 935-28, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 935-728-151

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Steve's Golf Picks

Kuchar 20-1
C.Hoffman 66-1
Kisner 25-1
W.Simpson 80-1
S.Brown 85-1
Donald 55-1

4 unit Match-up

Kisner over Z.Johnson +105 His biggest so far this year

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Dominic Brando Sports NHL Center Ice Club Opening Round Game 1 Isolations (0-0-0 for +/-0.00 Units)
NHL Center Ice Club Regular 1 Unit (10*) Round 1 Game 1 Inner Circle Side: SAN JOSE SHARKS +130 over LA Kings
NHL Center Ice Club Regular 1 Unit (10*) Round 1 Game 1 Inner Circle Side: DALLAS -165 over Minnesota

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | ARIZONA at LA DODGERS
Play Against - Any team (ARIZONA) with an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 on the season against opponent with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.50 or worse on the season
30-12 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.4% | 21.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | BALTIMORE at TEXAS
TEXAS is 46-31 (+30.1 Units) against the money line vs. an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: TEXAS (4.7) , OPPONENT (4.3)

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty was waiting on the Blackhawks on Wednesday and likes the White Sox on Thursday.

The surplus is 46 sirignanos.

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Hondo

Hondo a Tribe man

Hondo squeezed out a victory at Tropicana Field on Wednesday night, collecting with the Indians to bounce the earnings back up to 126 alomars.

Thursday night: Mr. Aitch will play ’em again — 20 units on Salazar and the Native Americans to make Archer quiver.

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Baseball33

USA: MLB

Tampa Bay Rays - Cleveland Indians

Cleveland Indians

Odds: 2.00

[golden contender]

GC: NHL Play

Thursday 100% NHL Total of the Month headlines the card along with a big 64-15 MLB Power system and a dog system that cashes over 85% NHL Totals 36-13 and on a 8-0 run. NHL Playoff comp below.

The NHL Comp play is on the Florida Panthers at 8:05 eastern. The Panthers are hot and have won 4 of 5. They are 6-1 with 3+ days rest and won the season series 2 games to 1 over the New York Islanders. The Panthers are a solid 17-3 at home off a previous home game and have won 3 of the last 4 here vs a New York team that lost their last 2 home games and has not played well of late. Play on the Panthers. On Thursday the lead plays are the 100% NHL Playoff Total of the Month, a 64-15 MLB Power system side and a MLB Dog system hitting over 85%. Mesage to Jump on now and put our exclusive data on your side. For the NHL Free pick. Play on the Florida Panthers. GC

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Marco D'Angelo

4% Astros
3% Twins

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Greg Shaker (MLB)

TRIPLE DIME MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK
39-20 MLB TRIPLE DIME WIN STREAK

Triple Dime - Under 8.5 Rangers/Orioles