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3-unit Play Take #906 Cincinnati Reds (-105) over Milwaukee Brewers (7:10pm EST) Two awful starting pitchers will take the mound in today's game between the Brewers and Reds. Chase Anderson and Alfredo Simon are struggling mightily and are two of the most unreliable guys in the NL at the moment. If we call that a virtual wash, I think the Reds are the better team otherwise. Despite some early season struggles, they should score more runs than the Brewers with a nice middle of the order of Phillips, Votto and Bruce. The Reds also play good solid defense, something that isn't always reflected in the betting lines. Both bullpens are a mess, but long-term I trust the pieces that the Reds bring to the table. These are two rebuilding teams, but the Reds roster gives them a better shot in 2016. Take Cincinnati today.
3-unit Play Take #919 Seattle Mariners (+100) over Houston Astros (8:10pm EST) The Astros are struggling out of the gate with a 10-18 mark thru 28 games. They'll eventually figure out as they're just too talented to struggle long-term. But right now, they aren't producing much offense and their pitching staff has been horrendous. That pitching mess has forced Houston to take Chris Devenski from the bullpen and place him into the rotation. It was a move that the Astros didn't anticipate making this early, so I question whether Devenski is really ready for this role. He hasn't put up great numbers in the minors and he still has a lot to learn at the big league level. The Mariners are a nice early season surprise and I think they're here to stay. New GM Jerry Dipoto turned over half of the roster in the offseason and his moves are paying off already. He's stressed on-base percentage and defense - two areas where you can sometimes find undervalued players. These new guys have jelled well together early on and I think Seattle has a legitimate chance to win the AL West in 2016. Wade Miley gets the ball for them today versus the Astros. Miley has a bulky 5.06 ERA, but his peripheral numbers are much better. He's also coming off of a complete game shutout last time out versus the Royals. It was his most impressive outing in a couple of years, so that should be a nice confidence booster for Miley. Take Seattle in this one.
7-Unit Play. Take #909 NY Mets (-1.5, -105) over San Diego (10:10 p.m., Thursday, May 5)
The Mets got off to a slow start to their season but they have turned things around and are getting solid contributions from their hitting and their pitching. They have won 13 of their last 16 contests scoring 89 runs while bopping 31 home runs, including 4 more last night. Jacob DeGrom (3-0, 1.02 ERA) has won all 3 of his starts this season allowing just 2 earned runs over 17.2 innings, but he hasn't gone past the 6th inning in any of them and I think he breaks that trend tonight. He should be able to limit a Padres offense that has struggled for most of the season. San Diego was shut out again last night for the 8th time this season which is by far the most in the majors. Colin Rea has never faced the Mets and I think he is going to have his hands full with their line up. The Mets are 6-1 in their last 7 road start versus a right-handed starter and 9-0 in DeGrom's last 9 starts when their opponents score 2 runs or fewer. This is the first game of a season high 11 game road trip for New York and I think they start it off with a W.
Thursday, May 5, 2016
Millionairs
Detroit Tigers {M. Fulmer} (+115) over Cleveland Indians {T. Bauer}
6:10 PM (EDT) -- Progressive Field
take these 3 games....detroit +115, washington +130 and colorado at +125 . a $300 bet will return over $3000
Game time conditions: Mostly Cloudy | Temp: 52.0° | Wind from the North at 12.0 mph | Cloud cover: 78% | Heat Index: 52.0°
Millionaire
Colorado Rockies {C. Rusin} (+125) over San Francisco Giants {M. Cain}
7:15 PM (EDT) -- AT&T Park
Game time conditions: Slight Chance Thunderstorms , Slight Chance Light Rain Showers | Temp: 58.0° | Wind from the WSW at 10.0 mph | Cloud cover: 54% | Heat Index: 58.0°
Millionaire
Washington Nationals {J. Ross} (+130) over Chicago Cubs {K. Hendricks}
7:05 PM (EDT) -- Wrigley Field
Game time conditions: Clear | Temp: 52.0° | Wind from the North at 4.0 mph | Cloud cover: 25% | Heat Index: 52.0°
My 20 Dime selection is the Raptors over the Heat. The current line on this game is -4 1/2 in Vegas and offshore. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.
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