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7-Unit Play. #711. Take Over 220.5 Golden State vs. Oklahoma City (Sunday @ 8pm est)
We roll with the Over here for hopefully our 6th straight winner in the NBA for a 6-0 Run for +$2200. Note, we took a pass yesterday despite having a lean on the Under as you are aware and we have not stepped out during the process in these 5 straight winning days as we felt no need to. Note, we have posted +$4300 in the season this year, $7300 in college basketball this year and now we sit at 5-1 in the WNBA for +$1240 already. Note, we have posted more profit in the NBA over the last 3 years than anyone has including +$25,000. One of the reasons is we step out repeatedly when we feel our spreadsheets have firmed up (such as in the NHL where we are 4-0 now and will step-out soon). The first two games in this series have gone under. We took OKC in the first game for the outright win and we took the Under in Game 2 but for Game 3 we expect a much more fervent pace. Note, OKC comes off getting routed and they know only 1 gear off a loss and that is a very fast paced tempo. Plus, you have Golden State that will keep pace as well and note that we like the Over as the Thunder are just a +3 underdog here at home. We like them to be an active underdog and likely send this game over the posted total. The Over is 5-2 for the Thunder when they face a team with a winning road record at home and the Over is 6-1 in the last 7 games in Oklahoma CIty as well. We like OKC to be an active underdog, we like them to speed up the pace here but we also like Golden State to have their offense clicking as they play very well on the road and especially since they lost home court advantage.
4-Unit Play. #972. Take Chicago White Sox -124 over Kansas City Royals (Sunday @ 2:10pm est)
We look to make it back to back winners on the docket with a win today. Note, we were on this very series yesterday as we took the Royals and now we take the White Sox here in the American League at home today. Both games in this series have been close thus far with the Royals coming out on top 2-1 and 4-1 in the first two games but we believe the White Sox have quality motivation not to get swept here. Note, the White Sox has struggled a bit of late but they still have 25 wins on the year to their credit which is still 3 more than the Royals so don't use the slump against them too much. Rodon is 1-4 with a 4.73era but outside of the start against Texas, he has pitched well against Houston and Boston in 2 out of his last 3 starts and the fact he hasn't picked up a win in quite some time and his pitching is better than what his numbers have shown. Combine that with Ventura has given up 17 earned runs in his last 4 starts in about 20 innings of work over his last 4 starts, we like the White Sox to likely to get to him here and avoid getting swept in this series. The Royals are 3-7 in their last 10 games when they face a team with a winning record on the road when Ventura starts and the White Sox are 9-4 in their last 13 games when facing a right handed pitcher of late as well.
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