6-10-16

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Indian Cowboy


EURO CHAMPIONSHIP PREDICTIONS, STARTS JUNE 10TH



7-Unit Play. Take Germany to reach the Semifinals (-110)

Germany are pretty much golden for the reaching the semifinals. The Germans have reach at last the semifinals in each of the last five major tournaments: 2006 World Cup (3rd place), Euro 2008 (2nd place), 2010 World Cup (3rd place), Euro 2012 (3rd place) and 2014 World Cup (1st place). I don't see four teams proving themselves better than Germany at this summer's tournament, so that would put Germany in the last four of this summer's Euro 2016. Germany are reigning world champions after their conquest on South American soil two summers ago. They'll want to make the same statement at this European Championship. Germany make the semis and put themselves in prime position to again compete for another major international trophy.


3-Unit Play. Belgium to win Euro 2016 (+1200)

No doubt hosts France are considered the out and out favorites of this tournament. But make no mistake about it, perhaps too much credit is being given to the host team before they prove it. And while I know teams like Germany and Spain are also on everyone's mind, we are going a bit left of field to make a statement. Belgium was looked at as a dark horse and potential surprise team two years ago in Brazil at the 2014 World Cup. Well, a perfect group stage got them into the knockout round. Belgium then advanced to the quarterfinals but eventually lost to would-be runners up Argentina. I'm high on them again at this tournament for all the right reasons. At the end of the day, talent rarely wins out as the lone component. But if we were to argue talent wise, the Belgians have as much talent as any team in Europe. They are young, they are motivated and more than anything this group of players want to prove they are just as good as any on the world's stage. The value is there on this bet and the talent will back it up. Play Belgium with these strong odds to win Euro 2016.


3-Unit Play. Take Belgium to reach the Quarterfinals (-137)

Same as the above, we are strong on Belgium to make their mark in Europe this summer. Don't consider this bet doubling down on our first bet. Instead this is an added incentive for us to cash with them as they advance in the tournament and not place as much pressure only to win it all or bust. Belgium reached the quarterfinals of the 2014 World Cup up against a much deeper field in a tougher environment in South America. Now playing in neighboring France with even more confidence, the same result, at the very least, is definitely achievable. Belgium to the quarterfinals at the very least.


1-Unit Play. Take Antoine Griezmann as Euro 2016 Top Goalscorer (+1000)

France are the favorite at Euro 2016, and Griezmann's efforts is a main reason why. This French winger bursted onto the scene at the 2014 World Cup when Franck Ribery was injured and ruled out. Griezmann started in his place and his been on a roll ever since. That includes the domestic league season he just completed in Spain with Atletico Madrid and his 32 goals scored in all competitions. We're looking for another value bet here, and I think this is it. Griezmann is playing with all-time confidence individually, and you combine that with him playing on home soil in this major tournament for what should be another coming out party for the young Frenchman.
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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | GOLDEN STATE at CLEVELAND
Play Under - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, on Friday nights
248-157 since 1997. ( 61.2% | 75.3 units )
28-22 this year. ( 56.0% | 3.8 units )

NBA | GOLDEN STATE at CLEVELAND
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games
186-81 since 1997. ( 69.7% | 63.1 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 2.3 units )

NBA | GOLDEN STATE at CLEVELAND
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 very good shooting team - shooting >=48% on the season
197-117 since 1997. ( 62.7% | 68.3 units )
14-8 this year. ( 63.6% | 5.2 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | LA DODGERS at SAN FRANCISCO
Play On - Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) excellent defensive catchers - allowing <=0.35 SB's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts
376-243 since 1997. ( 60.7% | 111.4 units )
17-17 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.7 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | TEXAS at SEATTLE
TEXAS is 93-70 (+40.4 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: TEXAS (5.0) , OPPONENT (4.5)

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Hondo

Hondo’s Ray of sunshine

Hondo made it two straight victories by cashing with the Rangers on Thursday to expand the wad to 359 mcgriffs.

Friday night: With several open stalls available in the Stable of Stalwarts because of a recent cold spell, Mr. Aitch will give Andriese a tryout — 20 units on the Rays.

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Ben Burns

Cavs/GS Over the Total

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baseball33

MLB 2016
Minnesota Twins - Boston Red Sox

Boston -1

Odd: 1.83

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Goodfella
NBA
Cleveland Cavs ML -125 GOM triple dime

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Stephen Nover

NBA
DUBS / CAVS over 206 double dime

MLB
Mets / Mil under 8 double dime

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VSI

7 Unit Play. Take #903 Over 8 -110 St. Louis at Pittsburgh (7:05p.m., Friday June 10)
What a weekend it will be at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and this weekend I smell a lot of runs crossing the plate. Both teams have been cashing OVER tickets and when these two teams met in early May 2-straight games went over the total. St. Louis comes to Pittsburgh winners of 4 out 5 games and 4 out of their last 5 games went over the total. Pittsburgh played last night in Colorado and the Bucks pitching staff gave up 11 runs. Pirates last 6 home games 4 of them have gone over and if you can grab early runs against Pittsburgh they usually go over the total. Cardinals throw out Michael Wacha tonight and Wacha last 3 starts he is 0-2 with an ERA 9.00 and his last road starts they lost to Washington 10-2 and that game easily went over. Pirates starter is Gerrit Cole tonight and his last home start the Bucks lost 5-4 and his last 2 home starts both games went over the total. St. Louis is 10-0-1 O/U in Wacha's last 11 road starts against a team with a winning record. Pittsburgh is 8-2 O/U in their last 10 home games and the Pirates are 8-3-1 O/U against NL Central teams.

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Strike Point Sports

4-Unit Play. Take #921 Boston (-150) over Minnesota (8:10 p.m., Friday, June 10)
Boston has had a weird week with having days off on Monday and Thursday as they flew across the country for a quick two game set with San Francisco. The good news for them is that David Ortiz should be fresh after sitting out those two games against the Giants and will return to the lineup as they face the Twins tonight. Steven Wright will look to continue his stellar season as he has won his last three starts not allowing more than 2 runs in any of those. His offense has given him plenty of support as they have scored 23 runs over those contests and Wright has been pretty stingy on the road this season going 3-3 with a 1.79 ERA. Tyler Duffey will be pitching for Minnesota and he has been knocked around in his last 4 starts yielding 20 runs with the Twins winning just one of those contests. The Red Sox are 4-1 in Wright's last 5 starts versus a team with a losing record while the Twins are 5-15 in their last 20 games at home. I like Boston to pick up the win tonight in Big Papi's final series where his career started.
Best of Luck

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Allen Eastman

7-Unit Play. Take #918 Toronto (-125) over Baltimore (7p.m., June 10)
Going with the better pitcher in this game. Estrada has allowed 12 hits in 31 innings over his last four starts, lasting exactly eight frames in three of those outings. The 32-year-old is 2-1 with a 1.30 ERA in five home starts and allowed a run in five innings while striking out a season high-tying nine in his first meeting with the Orioles on April 21 in Baltimore. The Orioles' starting lineup from Thursday is a combined 16-for-81 (.198) with 27 strikeouts against Estrada.

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WISEGUY INSIDER

3* Cleveland Indians -120

3* Cleveland Cavaliers -2

3* Los Angeles Dodgers -155

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Paul Leiner:

2000* NBA Over 206 Warriors/Cavs
100* MLB Over 7.5 Angels/Indians
100* MLB Blue Jays -130
100* MLB Mets -130

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Sleepy J
CAVS - 1.5 triple dime