6-15-16

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Billy Coleman

3* Yankees Nova -115

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Computer Sports Locks

Wednesday plays:
Seattle
Dodgers under
Cubs
St Louis
Texas
White Sox

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Vernon Croy 7 unit MLB

YOUR TOP SELECTION:

7-Unit Play. Take #974 Oakland -140 over Texas (Wednesday, June 15 at 10:05 PM ET)

TEX: Derek Holland (5-5, 4.87)

OAK: Sonny Gray (3-6, 5.34)

Take Oakland on the moneyline as my 7-Unit MLB Smash for Wednesday night. This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and I have Oakland winning this game big here tonight. The Athletics faced a lefty last night and now face another lefty here tonight while the Rangers face a righty starter tonight after facing a lefty last night. The Athletics are 8-2 in their last 10 games when facing a lefty starter and the Rangers are just 1-4 in Holland's last 5 starts on the road. The Athletics are 6-1 in their last 7 home games and 6-1 in Gray's last 7 home starts when facing a team with a winning record. Gray pitched great in his last outing going 7.2 innings with 5 hits and 2 earned runs, and I expect another solid start from him tonight. The Rangers have hit just .210 as a team lifetime against Gray, who is finally starting to find his stride. Holland has struggled on the road this season with an ERA of 5.97 and also an ERA of 5.26 in night games with opponents hitting .275 against him. This is the 4th game in a row that the Athletics have faced a lefty starter and they averaged 8.6 rpg in their previous 3 games. Oakland has averaged 5.9 rpg against lefties this season while hitting .300 as a team and I would not want to be Holland tonight. Play Oakland ML with extreme confidence as we move to 7-1 in MLB the last 6 days after tonight

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Vegas Line Reader

San Diego Padres -110

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VSI

7 Unit Play. Take #980 St. Louis -120 over Houston (7:15p.m., Wednesday June 15)
Last night we were torn between playing either Texas (Texas won 10-6) or playing the Cardinals at home against Houston. Houston won last night in St. Louis 5-2 and that loss for St. Louis snapped a 5-game winning streak. Tonight the Cards will throw out Adam Wainwright who Wainwright is coming a no decision over the Reds on the road and his last home start he lost to the Giants 5-1 but tonight I see the Cards giving Wainwright early run support and the Cards even up this 2-game series. Houston throws out Collin McHugh and his last road start he lost to Texas 5-3 and what I have seen with McHugh either he is really good or he misses his spots and gets hit early. If McHugh misses his spots look for St. Louis to push over early runs and make Houston use their bullpen early. Houston is 2-5 when McHughs last 7 road starts and the Cardinals are 6-1 in their last 7 Interleague games. Also, the Cardinals are 14-1 when Wainwrights last 15 starts against the Houston Astros.

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FERRINGO

1-Unit Play. Take #959 Pittsburgh (+165) over N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 15)
If they Mets can't score, they can't win. They have been horrible against lefties and the Pirates are the much better team here. If Locke can match Syndergaard today - a tall task, but doable - then the Pirates will jump all over the Mets bullpen and win this game late. I think the Pirates will do exactly that.

2-Unit Play. Take #974 Oakland (-135) over Texas (10 p.m., Wednesday, June 15)
Sonny Gray gets the check above Derek Holland. Gray is the type of guy that can dominate a game. Holland is a guy that needs run support, and he is unlikely to get it. The Rangers have been on a tear lately. But I think they are running out of steam on this road trip. This pitching matchup justifies this price and this play.

2-Unit Play. Take #980 St. Louis (-120) over Houston (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 15)
Adam Wainwright is a guy that, like Gray, is starting to come around. And I think that the Cardinals will be a little desperate after losing last night's game. This Cards team is woefully underachieving. But they have dominated Houston for the better part of two decades and I can't see them giving away a series right off the bat like this.

1-Unit Play. Take #970 Kansas City (+130) over Cleveland (8 p.m., Wednesday, June 15)
I love the value with the Royals as a home underdog. They punched Cleveland in the gut with two late runs yesterday and that had to have taken some of the wind out of the Indians' sails. I know Ian Kennedy is no match for Corey Kluber. But I think that this will be another close, low-scoring game between the two best teams in the division and I think that the Royals are a great value play here.
Today's Totals (I do not write up totals because they are based on proprietary systems.)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 9.0 Miami at San Diego (3:40 p.m., Wednesday, June 15)

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 12.5 N.Y. Yankees at Colorado (3 p.m., Wednesday, June 15)

5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 7.0 Pittsburgh at N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 15)
I think that Jeff Locke is a lot better than his numbers look. He got demolished out in Colorado in his last start, allowing 11 runs. But that's Colorado; all kinds of crazy numbers are coming out of there. But kick out that start and I see a guy that had six of eight quality starts prior to that meltdown. The Mets were getting no-hit last night against some kid that's been in the Majors for 12 minutes. They are No. 26 in the Majors against lefties and have scored the second-fewest runs against southpaws this season. The Mets just can't hit. Eight straight of Locke's games have gone 'over'. And there is another key part of my system here that is a bizarre 2-8 in its last 10 situations. Both of those numbers - for Locke and for my system - are just begging for a regression. Add in one of the best pitchers in baseball, Noah Syndergaard, who is a beast, and I see another low-scoring game in the 3-2 or 3-1 area.

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 9.5 Baltimore at Boston (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 15)
2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 8.5 Houston at St. Louis (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 15)
2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 8.0 Cleveland at Kansas City (8 p.m., Wednesday, June 15)
Carpe diem. Good luck.

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Allen Eastman

7-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 8.5 Cincinnati at Atlanta (7 p.m., Wednesday, June 15)
Big winner yesterday! Let's get another one today and go for No. 9 in a row! I am going right back to this series. The Braves offense is really struggling. They scored eight runs in the first game in this series. That was the only time this month they have scored over six runs and they have been held to two or less in three of their last four games and five of their last 10 games. Anthony DeSclafani looked great in his first outing this year and I think that he will be able to hold the Braves down. Atlanta is going with Bud Norris and he is very familiar with this Reds lineup from his time in Houston. Norris has been very sharp since returning to the rotation from the bullpen. He has only allowed two runs in 12 innings in his two starts. Both starts came against very good lineups in the Cubs and Dodgers. I think that he will be able to post a quality start against the Reds here today. The 'under' is 6-2 in the last eight matchups in Atlanta and the 'under' is 3-10 in the last 13 meetings between these teams overall. Let's play 'under' again!

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Strike Point Sports

7-Unit Play. Take #969 Cleveland (-140) over Kansas City (8:15 p.m., Wednesday, June 15)
Kansas City is looking to sweep the first place Indians but I don't think that will happen, especially since Cleveland let one slip away last night in the 8th inning. Having Corey Kluber taking the mound has to give Cleveland a good feeling. Kluber is 4-2 with a 2.96 ERA on the road this year including winning his last three away from home, not allowing more than two runs in any of those starts. He shut out Kansas City on June 5th in his only start against them this season, going 6 innings yielding just 2 hits in a 7-0 win at home. Ian Kennedy will have the ball for the Royals and even though he has pitched well at home this season he hasn't pitched well lately. He has allowed 12 runs and 6 home runs in losing his last two starts and one of those starts was against the Indians where he allowed five runs on eight hits over six innings of a 7-1 loss. Cleveland has won five of the last seven matchups between these two teams and they are 5-1 in their last 6 games after losing the first two games of a series while the Royals are 2-7 in their last 9 games versus a right handed starter. I like Cleveland to do enough to pick up the win tonight.
Best of Luck

[BuygroupIdea]

Burns
10* Washington -136
10* Oakland -138

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Steve's Golf Picks (US OPEN)

Brooks Koepka 40/1 - Brooks posted another runner up yesterday and now will enter his 4th career US Open on the heels of back to back 2nd’s. The FSU Product is extremely long off the tee (11th on Tour) and that helps him hit plenty of Greens in Regulation (67.87%). Not only is Brooks long but he is known as a guy with a good short game (39th in Sand Save % and 37th in Strokes Gained through Putting). People may think that the US Open will be too big of a jump for a guy like Koepka but they are completely wrong. He has now placed in the Top 18 in each of his two US Open’s, and Top 33 in his last 6 majors. He has played very well on challenging courses throughout his career, and should really enjoy this week.

Justin Rose 24/1 - Rosey returns from a minor back injury this week. He said he took extra time because he wanted to be 100% for the US Open. We had Justin three years ago when he claimed the US Open (Merion), and his game fits this event perfectly. Justin is long enough off the tee (19th on Tour) which helps him hit the 5th most Greens in Regulation. Rosey is the 3rd best Sand player on the PGA Tour and has proven his ability to putt well on hard greens throughout his career (has finished in the Top 33 in 15 of his last 17 majors, including 9 Top 14’s). Rose has finished inside the Top 27 in each of his last 4 US Opens (includes his win), and finished T10 the last time the event was held at Oakmont in 2007.

Hideki Matsuyama 32/1 - With Hideki I do not need to go into much detail about why we are selecting him. He is one of the worlds most accurate players (6th in Strokes Gained Tee to Green) and has finished inside the Top 18 in 4 of his last 5 majors. He has finished inside the Top 11 in 4 of his last 5 stroke play tournaments. He is ready for his first major win.

Matt Kuchar 40/1 - Speaking of ready for his first major win, Matt Kuchar is far too talented to not have won a major (speaks volumes to how difficult it is). He has finished inside the Top 28 in each of his last 6 US Open starts and that is mainly thanks to his very accurate game (and solid putting). He is also one of the most mental sound players on Tour, which I feel will really bode well for him at Oakmont. Possibly the biggest thing Kuchar has going for him is that he enters playing incredible golf. The Georgia Tech Alum has finished inside the Top 6 in each of his last 4 tournaments.

Webb Simpson 125/1 - Many people forget that Webb in a United States Open Champion (2012) (not sure how anyone could forget that trophy ceremony but they do). His worst finish in his 5 US Open starts is T46 and this has been by far his best major event. Simpson has found his game in recent weeks placing inside the Top 11 in each of his last two tournaments (A 3rd at the Dean/Deluca in there). Simpson ranks 18th in Strokes Gained Approach-the-Green, 22nd in Strokes Gained Around-the-Green, and 20th in Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green. Simpson is the perfect example of why I dont want to focus too much on Putting Stats this week because he has shown over the years that he loves difficult courses and their greens, yet his stats this year are terrible with the flat stick. He is a grinder though and that is what we want this week. I hope we get to hear the guy making bird calls in Webb Simpson;s second US Open trophy ceremony.

Lee Westwood 95/1 - Westwood is the guy who can't seem to win a major. We are taking him this week though! He enters playing great and I really like his game for this course. Westy has Top 15’s in each of his last 4 starts and has really been hitting his irons great. He is known as one of the best iron players in the world and I feel that is exactly what will vault him into contention this week. He is long enough that he can throttle down on some holes this week, another thing that will help. Westy has finished in the Top 23 in 6 of his last 8 US Opens. His short game has been his question mark but I love the way he is playing and I really think his iron game is going to carry him.

Head to Head

2.5 Units on Matt Kuchar (-125) over Bubba Watson
2.5 Units on Webb Simpson (-115) over Shane Lowry

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Soccer Crusher Extra Bonus Picks:

Ponte Preta SP + Atletico Paranaense UNDER 2.5 (Brazil)

Coritiba PR + Palmeiras SP OVER 2 (Brazil)

Cruzeiro MG + Flamengo UNDER 2.5 (Brazil)

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Insider Sports Report

4* Minnesota (Duffey)/L.A. Angels (Santiago) OVER 8.5
Range: 8 to 9

3* N.Y. Yankees (Nova) -110 over Colorado (Bettis)
Range: +110 to -130

3* St. Louis (Wainwright) -140 over Houston (McHugh)
Range: -125 to -165

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We Pick Sports - (+8* Tues.)

MLB:( Season -5.95*, 17-6 last 23 for +53.1*)
NY Mets (-170) 2 units 7:10 ET


NYY/Colorado over 12.5 (-110) 3 units 3:10 ET

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Johnny Goodtimes - (-1.5* Tues.)


Single: (MLB Season +3.77*)
Washington Nationals {-140} 1 unit 4:05 ET



Double:
Detroit Tigers/ Chicago White Sox over 9 {-125} 2 units 8:10 ET

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Greg shaker

3* seattle over 8
2*Atlanta. Under 8.5
2* Minnesota. Over 8.5