7-7-16

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France v Germany (2000BST, Marseille)

Opta facts:

• This will be the fifth encounter between Germany and France at a major finals tournament, their first in the European Championships. France won the first meeting (6-3 in 1958) whilst Germany came out on top in the next three (on penalties in 1982, 2-0 in 1986, 1-0 in 2014).
• Alain Giresse is the last French player to score against Germany at a major finals tournament; coming in the 1982 World Cup semi-final.
• France have never kept a clean sheet in their four meetings with Germany at major finals tournaments.
• France and Germany's last head-to-head dates back to 13 November 2015. Didier Deschamp's men won 2-0 in a friendly at the Stade de France.
• France are unbeaten in their last 17 major tournament games played on home soil, winning 15 and drawing two. Their last defeat dates back to July 1960 in the inaugural European Championships against Czechoslovakia (0-2).
• France are the top scorers at EURO 2016 with 11 goals in five games. They hadn't netted that many in a major tournament since EURO 2000 (13).
• Thomas Müller hasn't scored a single goal in 10 games at the EURO - he also missed his penalty in the shoot-out against Italy last Saturday. He has 10 goals in 13 World Cup games.

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Indian Cowboy






2-Unit Play. #26254. Take Germany PK over France (Thursday @ 3pm est)


(If this game ends in a Draw after 90 Minutes + Injury Time then it is a Push).




There is a reason why Germany are the current World Cup champions, they are currently in a resurgence of their golden age. Though they looked less than world class during the penalty shootout with Italy, Germany come into this match having played one of the best teams in the tournament and will be in a much better mind frame coming into this match. France come in having ended Iceland's dream run having put five goals away. The ESPN sports power index has France as huge favorites, but teams often have a bit of lag coming off big wins and playing lesser opposition. ESPN shows France as a 66 percent favorite over Germany. France have the tournament's leading scorer in Antoine Griezmann (4) and two others with three goals - Oliver Giroud and Dimitri Payet, though Giroud is a question for this match through a knee injury. France's last match was the first time this tournament that they came out of the blocks to press its opposition and score early. Iceland were never really in this match, but it will take a great deal of mental focus for France to put themselves in the mind frame coming into this match to beat the powerful Germany. The current World Cup holders will be without Mats Hummels through suspension and there is a possibility that Sami Khedira, Mario Gomez, and Bastian Schweinsteiger may all miss this match through injury, but Germany still have one of the deepest benches and should not miss a beat without these players. Germany still have Mario Gotze and Mesut Ozil who can fill in and are dangerous. Germany and Italy put on the most exciting match of the knockout stages and see this match of tournament favorites equal that. When it comes down to it Germany really are the better team regardless of France being the host and their last result. Germany hold on late and win 2-1 through another amazing performance by Manuel Neuer.

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StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | MINNESOTA at CONNECTICUT
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after a combined score of 165 points or more
98-51 since 1997. ( 65.8% | 41.9 units )
5-5 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.5 units )

WNBA | MINNESOTA at CONNECTICUT
Play Against - Home underdogs vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=44% on the season, after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or higher
92-32 since 1997. ( 74.2% | 0.0 units )
8-3 this year. ( 72.7% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | MINNESOTA at CONNECTICUT
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 with a winning record on the season, in July games
231-140 since 1997. ( 62.3% | 77.0 units )
0-3 this year. ( 0.0% | -3.3 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | SAN DIEGO at LA DODGERS
Play On - Home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (LA DODGERS) with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season, with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL)
158-80 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.4% | 57.4 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.6 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | SEATTLE at KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 31-12 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in Home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: KANSAS CITY (4.6) , OPPONENT (3.5)

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the A’s on Wednesday and likes the Nationals on Thursday.

The deficit is 580 sirignanos.

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Hondo

Hondo piles on Padres

Hondo dropped a squeaker with the Rangers at Fenway Pahk on Wednesday night, which partially offset his afternoon delightful gain with the Tigers and left him with 2,735 rettenmunds in the account.

Thursday night: Mr. Aitch expects Hyun-Jin Ryu to be rusty in his first start in 640 days — 20 units on Pomeranz and the Padres to prevail in L.A.

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MLBTotal

St.Louis Cardinals/Pittsburgh Pirates

Over 8

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Here are the upcoming system bet(s):

Oakland {A} bet - This is an unofficial official bet because of the RPI filter


Remember to bet on the +1.5 run line if it is offered, or the money line if it is not offered.

Make sure to observe the following Exterminator system guideline:

In June, July, and August: Pass on any series where the first game of a rematch series between the 2 teams happens more than 60 days after their most recent game (after the last game of the original 3-game series or the second game of an intermediate confirmatory 2-game series). So for example, let’s say Boston was swept in a 3-game series versus the NY Yankees that ended on April 14. A 3-game series rematch between these 2 teams happens again on starting on June 15. The fact that it has now been more than 60 days since these 2 teams last played will disqualify this series from eligibility under the Exterminator MLB system. One of the reasons why the MLB system is most accurate as the season begins, and then slowly becomes less accurate as time goes on is due to the fact that revenge series happening earlier in the season always occurred within a 60-day time frame of their most recent games. There’s evidence to suggest that the original MLB system never lost in April from 2006 to 2013 because all the revenge games occurred within a short time window. By only betting on games where a revenge series begins within a 60-day time frame of their last meeting, we will be limiting our risk, and betting more efficiently than before.

Also, please keep in mind the following filters of the system:

- Do not bet on a team whose road record winning percentage is in the bottom 10% in the league if they are playing on the road

- Play is only official if the RPI value of our team is no more than .015 lower than opponent's.

- Play is only official if our team is not playing against a top 2 highest ranked RPI team

Note that the system plays are official only when they pass all the filters above. If they fail to pass any filter, then the play is considered unofficial.

Good luck,

The "Champ" Team

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Dave Essler

3* minn ml

2* pitt ml

1* over 10.5 min/ Texas

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dk from banker sports has his 5 1/2 unit on tampa bay and the angels over 9

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vip-picks
Germany – France
Tip: France +0, 0.5 (+0.25)
Over 2
Hjk – Atlantas
Tip: HJK -1, 1.5 (-1.25)

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expressvip
Europa League
Folgore – AEK Larnaca
Prediction: ITB2 (2.5)

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Gp from Vegas
Angels/Rays F5 Over 4.5 -120 $1000

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betinvest99
Euro – Play Offs – Semi-finals
Germany – France
France 0
Ireland Premier Division
Bohemians – Bray
Bohemians