If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Milwaukee Brewers (2:10 EST). After getting crushed 8-1 yesterday, I’m expecting the home side Brewers to respond this afternoon. The visitors hand the ball to the volatile Robbie Ray (5-9, 4.53 ERA) who gave up six runs off six hits and one walk over five innings in a setback to the Reds on Saturday. Ray has continued to regress as the season has progressed and has failed to post a quality start in five of his last six outings. The home side counters with Zach Davies (7-4, 3.64) who comes in off a gem vs. the Cubs on Saturday, allowing one run off three hits while striking out four over 6.1 innings. Davies has now allowed just three runs over his last 20 innings of work and he’s got to be feeling confident today that he can keep the momentum rolling as he’s 5-3 with a very respectable 3.56 ERA in front of the home town crowd to date. Arizona has struggled with offensive consistency all season, yesterday’s explosion is definitely an outlier. All things considered, I think we’re getting great value on Davies and the Brewers in this situation. Good luck…Larry
8* play on the Minnesota Twins (7:10 EST). This is a great situational play. Baltimore was supposed to have Thursday off before starting a crucial series vs. the the Blue Jays in Toronto over the weekend, but instead the team has to play a make up game vs. the Twins. All things considered, I think we’re getting great value on the home side in this spot. I simply find it impossible for the Orioles to not get caught “looking ahead” to their matchup vs. Toronto as they sit just two games ahead of the Jays for first place in the AL East. And unfortunately sending confirmed “gas can” Ubaldo Jimenez (5-9, 7.38 ERA) to the mound is never conducive in trying to post a winning result, most recently he was shelled for five runs in just 1 1/3’s innings vs. the Angels on July 8th (Jimenez hasn’t even pitched since that dud). The home side counters with Kyle Gibson (3-6, 4.67 ERA) who enters off perhaps the best start of his career vs. Boston on Friday, giving up just two hits and one run over eight innings, while not allowing a hit after the first frame. I think there are enough factors working in favor of lowly Minnesota today to pull the trigger on the home side in this matchup. Good luck..Larry
10* play on the Chicago White Sox (8:05 EST). I think this is another great “situational” play. After his recent tirade and team imposed five-game suspension, all eyes will be on White Sox’ ace Chris Sale today. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting the southpaw to respond with a big effort this evening. Sale (14-3, 3.18 ERA) last piched on July 19th and went eight scoreless, allowing just one hit to go along with six K’s in an unfortunate no-decision vs. the Mariners. Sale has to be feeling pretty confident today as he’s 7-1 with a 2.08 ERA on the road to date. The home side counters with John Lackey (7-7, 3.79) who after a great start to the 2016 campaign, has steadily regressed, most recently he was shelled for four runs off six hits over eight innings in a setback to Texas on Sunday. Lackey has now given up at least four earned runs in four of his last five starts. This is a stage and a matchup that favors Sale and I look for him to answer the bell. Play on the White Sox. Good luck…Larry
Good win off St. Louis. We were at +20 units before losing the 3 in a row on Tuesday, but this is how we grind through the season without stressing since we've got a strategy for the big picture and most others don't.
MLB PLAY OF THE DAY
Minnesota Twins ML (-105)
Risking 2.98 units to win 2.84 units
7:10pm start
Gibson, Jimenez must start
Minnesota has been a bad team this year but they get enough hits to warrant a play against a terrible pitcher in Ubaldo Jimenez. Baltimore looks to avoid 3 losses in a row in this make up game with Baltimore flying in from home last night and flying out to Toronto after this game in Minnesota while the Twins remain home from their last series that ended yesterday and into tomorrow's series against the White Sox. Baltimore is 1-4 on the road in their last 5 and 1-7 when Jimenez starts on the road. Minnesota scored 7 runs yesterday after being down 7-0 with 13 total hits in a 9-7 loss to the Braves while the O's managed only 6 hits in a 3-1 loss to the Rockies. Gibson was great in his last turn with 1 run given up in 8 innings. Jimenez has given up 11 runs in his last 2 starts in only 5.2 innings of work. 5 or more runs given up in 10 starts this season has got to have us feeling like Jimenez is just a throw away pitcher in this make-up game with the faintest of hopes that he can contain the bats of Minnesota at home. Take the Twins.
Comment