8-19-16

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB*|*MINNESOTA*at*KANSAS CITY
Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MINNESOTA) poor fielding team - averaging 0.75+ errors/game on the season, in August games
59-47*over the last 5 seasons.**(*55.7%*|*36.4 units*)
1-6*this year.**(*14.3%*|*-4.8 units*)


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB*|*TEXAS*at*TAMPA BAY
TEXAS is 80-67 (+37.4 Units) against the money line in Road games in all games*over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: TEXAS (4.3) , OPPONENT (4.3)

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StatFox Super Situations

CFL*|*CALGARY*at*BRITISH COLUMBIA
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 56 with a good rushing D - allowing 90 or less rushing yards/game
35-10*since 1997.**(*77.8%*|*24.0 units*)
2-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*2.0 units*)

CFL*|*MONTREAL*at*OTTAWA
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (OTTAWA) excellent offensive team (>=420 YPG) against a poor offensive team (315 to 345 YPG)
25-20*since 1997.**(*55.6%*|*0.0 units*)
1-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*0.0 units*)

CFL*|*EDMONTON*at*TORONTO
Play Against - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (EDMONTON) excellent passing team - averaging 325 or more passing yards/game
24-4*since 1997.**(*85.7%*|*19.6 units*)
1-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*1.0 units*)

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Hondo

Hondo’s grrreat pick

Hondo was denied a vault over the 4,000 barrier Thursday night when the Mariners capsized in Anaheim to end his latest winning streak at four and lower the earnings to 3,879 cochranes.

Friday night: Mr. Aitch hopes to keep his Big Green Investment Machine purring with a play on the Tigers — 20 units on Fulmer.

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GloryTips

Free Tip

England Premier League

Manchester United vs Southampton

Manchester United Win

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alex blasscyk

cowboys -3

washington nationals ml & rl

cubs rl

laa ml

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Stephen Nover

MLB game of the year: AZ D'backs

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SSIWINS

Risked 5 units to win 3.97 Cleveland Indians -126 vs Toronto Blue Jays

Risked 3 units to win 2.8 UNDER 40 -107 vs Washington Redskins
Risked 3 units to win 2.94 Dallas Cowboys -3 -102 vs Miami Dolphins
Risked 5 units to win 3.88 Kansas City Royals -129 vs Minnesota Twins
Risked 3 units to win 2.91 San Diego Chargers -1 -103 vs Arizona Cardinals

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Anthony Michael
FRIDAY NIGHT TV WINNER IN NFLX ACTION!!!

#413 New York Jets +3.5 (7:30 edt) CBS
The Jets are 39-23 ATS as pre-season underdogs and they have covered 6 of their last 7 game 2's in the pre-season. Washington was not great on offense last week and now they are laying 3.5 points here - that sounds like a tough task against a Jets team that loves this spot.

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Winning Angle---FRIDAY (All plays listed---Read Entire Email)

OLYMPIC BASKETBALL----MENS

Play Spain +13.5 over United States
Play Serbia +5 over Australia

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NFL FOOTBALL----PRESEASON

Play New York Jets +3.5 over Washington
7:30 PM EST

New York has covered the spread in 29 of the last 46 preseason road games and they have covered the spread in 29 of the last 49 preseason games when playing as an underdog. New York has covered the spread in 40 of the last 71 preseason non-conference games and they have covered the spread in 20 of the last 31 preseason games after allowing 14 points or less in their last game.


Play Miami +3 over Dallas
8:00 PM EST

Dallas has lost 34 of the last 54 preseason games against the spread when playing as a favorite and they have lost 28 of the last 49 preseason home games against the spread. Dallas has lost 31 of the last 44 preseason games against the spread coming off an OVER the total in their last game and they have lost 46 of the last 63 preseason games against the spread when the total posted is between 35.5 and 42 points.

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CANADIAN FOOTBALL

Play Ottawa -9 over Montreal
7:00 PM EST

Montreal has lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread when playing as an underdog and they have lost 11 of the last 14 games against the spread after having lost two of the last three games. Montreal has lost 7 of the last 10 games against the spread when revenging a home loss vs an opponent and they are only averaging 18 points a game on offense this season.


Play Calgary +3 over British Columbia
10:00 PM EST

Calgary has covered the spread in 9 of the last 13 games when the line posted is between +3 to -3 and they have covered the spread in 14 of the last 22 road games. Calgary has covered the spread in 18 of the last 28 games vs. division opponents and they are only allowing an average of 21 points a game on defense this season.

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BASEBALL

Play Pittsburgh -175 over Miami
7:00 PM EST

Gerrit Cole has won 39 of the last 57 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 24 of the last 36 home games. Gerrit Cole has won 14 of the last 18 games when pitching on a Friday and he has won 12 of the last 16 games vs. NL East Division Opponents.


Play Saint Louis -165 over Philadelphia
7:00 PM EST

Adam Wainwright has won 75 of the last 110 games when pitching as a favorite of -150 or higher and he has won 78 of the last 126 road games. Adam Wainwright has won 35 of the last 53 games vs. NL East Division Opponents and he has won 78 of the last 131 games coming off a team win.


Play Arizona -130 over San Diego
10:00 PM EST

Zack Greinke has won 26 of the last 36 games vs. division opponents and he has won 8 of the last 10 games when pitching on a Friday. Zack Greinke has won 53 of the last 77 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 25 of the last 36 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season.


Play San Francisco -150 over New York Mets
10:00 PM EST

Johnny Cueto has won 46 of the last 70 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 41 of the last 62 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Johnny Cueto has won 33 of the last 46 home games and he has won 12 of the last 15 night games.

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HORSE RACING

Heading to Gulfstream today so I will list the entire card as well as the card for Saratoga. There are some nice “live” dogs today at Saratoga---Let’s get these winners and kick off the weekend by cashing these tickets.

As always---I recommend a WIN/PLACE/SHOW wager on all top plays listed and then I have listed the exacta and trifecta box for those who like to wager on the exotic wagers.

GULFSTREAM PARK---POST TIME 12:50 PM EST

RACE 1---#7 Tropicat (7-1-3-6) Box

RACE 2---#5 Inkspired (5-2-3-4) Box

RACE 3---#4 Big Money Machine (4-1-2-5) Box

RACE 4---#7 Lottery Ticket (7-2-3-6) Box

RACE 5---#4 Miss Dude (4-1-6-7) Box

RACE 6---#5 Israel’s Dream (5-1-2-3) Box

RACE 7---#7 Twin Stars (7-4-5-6) Box

RACE 8---#2 Sir Magu (2-3-4-7) Box

RACE 9---#8 We’re All Set (8-1-4-6) Box

RACE 10---#2 Landing (2-1-6-7) Box

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SARATOGA---POST TIME 1:00 PM EST

RACE 1---#2 One More Round (2-1-3-6) Box

RACE 2---#4 Steve’s Image (4-1-2-7) Box

RACE 3---#6 Iron Mane (6-1-3-5) Box

RACE 4---#7 Burndines (7-3-10-11) Box

RACE 5---#4 Transparent (4-1-2-6) Box

RACE 6---#6 Chipit (6-1-3-7) Box

RACE 7---#8 Picco Uno (8-3-9-10) Box

RACE 8---#8 My Kinda Gal (8-3-4-9) Box

RACE 9---#3 Adirondack Dancer (3-2-9-10) Box

RACE 10---#6 Silvertoni (6-1-3-7) Box

RACE 11---#1 Melodramatic Miss (1-2-6-7) Box

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

FRIDAY

MLB BASEBALL

Play Saint Louis -165 over Philadelphia--Top Play (500 Units)

Adam Wainwright has won 80 of the last 126 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season and he has won 82 of the last 128 games when pitching as a favorite of -125 to -175. Adam Wainwright has won 48 of the last 73 games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and he has won 22 of the last 34 road games.

EXTRA MLB BASEBALL PLAYS

Play Pittsburgh -175 over Miami (100 Units)
Play Kansas City -135 over Minnesota (100 Units)

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CANADIAN FOOTBALL

Play UNDER 48.5 Ottawa/Montreal---Top Play (1000 Units)

Montreal has gone UNDER the total in 21 of the last 29 games when playing as an underdog and they have gone UNDER the total in 12 of the last 16 games when playing on a Friday. Montreal has gone UNDER the total in 15 of the last 20 games vs. division opponents and they have gone UNDER the total in 19 of the last 29 games coming off an UNDER the total in their last game.


Play UNDER 56 British Columbia/Calgary---Top Play (1000 Units)

British Columbia has gone UNDER the total in 78 of the last 144 games when playing as a home favorite and they have gone UNDER the total in 89 of the last 159 games coming off a non-conference game. British Columbia has gone UNDER the total in 83 of the last 154 games coming off an UNDER the total in their last game and they have gone UNDER the total in 66 of the last 123 games after having won two of the last three games.


EXTRA FOOTBALL PLAYS

Play Ottawa -9 over Montreal (500 Units)
Play Calgary +3 over British Columbia (500 Units)
Play New York Jets +3.5 over Washington (500 Units)
Play Miami +3 over Dallas (500 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASI

Mlb
patrick (109-84 +10.76)
texas -132 tampa bay (7pm)
toronto/cleveland over 9.5 +100 (7pm)
jeff (98-97 -5.44)
oakland/chicago whitesox under 9.5 +100 (8pm)
arizona/san diego under 7.5 -110 (10pm)
david (95-95 -.13)
cincinnati +150 la dodgers (7pm)

NFL PRESEASON
JEFF (2-3 -1.30)
ARIZONA/SAN DIEGO OVER 40.5 (9PM)
DAVID (0-3 -3.30) No Selection today
LARRY (2-3 -1.30)
MIAMI/DALLAS OVER 41 (8PM)

Cfl
jeff (9-5 +3.50)
8/19
calgary +3 -105 b.c. Lions (10pm)

SOCCER
SIMON (178-156 +.84)
Friday 8/19
DENMARK - SAS LIGAEN
(OVER 2.5 -105) RANDERS FC @ FC NORDSJAELLAND(12PM)

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Cappers Access

Redskins -3.5
Dolphins +3
Red Sox +106

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Here are the upcoming system bet(s):

LA Angels {A} bet - This is an unofficial bet because of the RPI filter.


Remember to bet on the +1.5 run line if it is offered, or the money line if it is not offered.

Make sure to observe the following Exterminator system guideline:

In July and August, only wager on qualifying [A] and [C] bets under the original MLB system, and risk 5% less than what you’d normally have. For example, if you’re a highly conservative bettor whose stake size per wager is 5% of your bankroll, then that means you can just choose to sit out of betting from July going forward. An average bettor would decrease his risk from 10% to 5%, and an aggressive risk taker would decrease that risk from 15% to 10%. You should bet that same percentage amount for all the [A] and [C] bets that qualified under the original MLB system.

Also, please keep in mind the following filters of the system:

- Do not bet on a team whose road record winning percentage is in the bottom 10% in the league if they are playing on the road


- Play is only official if the RPI value of our team is no more than .015 lower than opponent's.


- Play is only official if our team is not playing against a top 2 highest ranked RPI team


Note that the system plays are official only when they pass all the filters above. If they fail to pass any filter, then the play is considered unofficial.

Good luck,

The "Champ" Team

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mvp club lock

MLB Washington-140