8-20-16

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Greg shaker


3*
Denver -4.5

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Nelly's 1* #963 Arizona Diamondbacks (Ray) -125 over San Diego Padres (Richard) 7:40 PM CT
Buried behind a 6-11 record and a 4.47 ERA is elite strikeout numbers for Robbie Ray, posting 10.9 K/9. His 3.63 FIP is very respectable and a
challenging home ballpark to pitch in has contributed heavily to his mediocre numbers as his ERA on the road is only 3.80. Pitching in San Diego
could provide a big boost for Ray as he has allowed 17 home runs this season and has been burned by a .359 BABIP. At Petco Park extra-base
hits are much less likely and Ray could have a lot of success against a Padres lineup with the second highest strikeout rate in baseball. Clayton
Richard was an effective reliever for the Cubs last season but he struggled for the most part in 2016 even with the glowing first half for Chicago.
He was released in early August and returned to San Diego where he had the best success of his career as a starter including 14-win seasons in
2010 and 2012. After a pair of relief appearances he was stretched out to make his first start last week and it was a bit of a success with just three
hits and two runs allowed in five innings. Richard still owns a 5.75 ERA with a 5.22 FIP for the season and he has just one more strikeout than
walk in over 20 innings of work in 2016. Richard got through five innings on just 74 pitches in his first start which will be tough to repeat and San
Diego owns a 7.20 bullpen ERA in the last 10 games. Arizona has as many road wins as San Diego has home wins heading into tonight Arizona’s
great struggles this season have come almost exclusively at home where the Diamondbacks are 21-40. In 15 of the last 30 games the Padres
have been held to two or fewer runs and this is a modest favorite price on a much more dangerous Arizona lineup with a far higher ceiling starter
on the mound. Last night Arizona out-hit San Diego in the extra-innings defeat getting a monster game from second baseman Ryan Schmipf.

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Maddux NFL picks for Saturday August 20
Adding:


10* Carolina pk

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Indian Cowboy

7-Unit Play. #126. Take Under 53 Edmonton vs. Toronto (Saturday @ 4pm est)
We roll with the Under here as Toronto is well aware of the 38 points they gave up to this very same Edmonton team last year that they faced them. Combine that with Edmonton giving up just 12 points to Montreal and 23 to Ottawa on the road, both games in which they covered, we like the Under here as they likely step up with their respective strong defense. Plus, we like Toronto to bounce-back from their 37 points that they gave up to Winnipeg in a game in which they were favored by 4 points and played horribly. Prior to that game, they had given up 37 points combined in their previous 2 games. We roll with the Under on Saturday.

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ASA: 6* Astros/O's over 9 1/2

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James Jones - (-5.9* Fri. Now -18.13* in August)

3 Units: (972) Cleveland Indians -106
2 Units: (954) Pittsburgh Pirates -123

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Dave Aquino

Aug20 - NFL (preseason) (totals): panthers/titans under 39.5, giants/bills over 40.5, ravens/colts under 40.5, buccaneers/jaguars under 41, 49ers/broncos over 40, chiefs/rams over 39

Aug20 - MLS (totals): Montreal/Chicago over 2.5

Aug20 - MLS: Montreal (ML-156)

Aug20 - MLB (POD):

*** More MLS will be released by 7:00 pm EST.

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newworldinsiders

BOSTON INSIDER: Redsox OV 9

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Here are the upcoming system bet(s):


LA Angels {B} bet - This is an unofficial bet because of the RPI filter.




Remember to bet on the +1.5 run line if it is offered, or the money line if it is not offered.


Make sure to observe the following Exterminator system guideline:


In July and August, only wager on qualifying [A] and [C] bets under the original MLB system, and risk 5% less than what you’d normally have. For example, if you’re a highly conservative bettor whose stake size per wager is 5% of your bankroll, then that means you can just choose to sit out of betting from July going forward. An average bettor would decrease his risk from 10% to 5%, and an aggressive risk taker would decrease that risk from 15% to 10%. You should bet that same percentage amount for all the [A] and [C] bets that qualified under the original MLB system.



Also, please keep in mind the following filters of the system:

- Do not bet on a team whose road record winning percentage is in the bottom 10% in the league if they are playing on the road


- Play is only official if the RPI value of our team is no more than .015 lower than opponent's.


- Play is only official if our team is not playing against a top 2 highest ranked RPI team


Note that the system plays are official only when they pass all the filters above. If they fail to pass any filter, then the play is considered unofficial.



Good luck,

The "Champ" Team

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ARTHUR RALPH SPORTS

Super Pk Royals w/ Kennedy -135

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Joe gavazzi

NFL

4% New Orleans +2-

3% KC PICK




MLB

4% KC -145

3% Tampa Bay -105

3% Boston -120

3% Toronto -105

3% NY Yankees EVEN

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Cleveland Blue's Football August 20, 2016
2016 NFLx Record: 5-3 (+170)

-Plays range from $100 to $400

Today's Picks
New York Giants +3
-Risk $110 to win $100

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SSIWINS
Risked 3 units to win 2.54 OVER 39.5 -118 vs Tennessee Titans
Risked 5 units to win 3.38 Kansas City Royals -148 vs Minnesota Twins
Risked 3 units to win 2.94 Houston Texans -2.5 -102 vs New Orleans Saints
Risked 3 units to win 2.73 Denver Broncos -6 -110 vs San Francisco 49ers

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Steve Budin - CEO

Saturday's Play

The Cali-Cartel has a 25 Dime Play on the Kansas City Royals at home against Minnesota. They are noting both starting pitchers: Kennedy for KC; Santiago for Minnesota. The Royals are -145 as I put my site live at 8:40 AM Eastern.

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Don Anthony - 5* MMA UFC 202 MAX BET

5* MMA UFC 202 MAX BET

Conor McGregor -130

Plain and simple, the UFC needs McGregor to win this fight. Conor is one of their last superstars. Jon Jones and Rousey are near after thoughts. Also from a conspiracy theorist point of view, their is nothing better than a rematch that the contender wins, so it sets up the 3rd fight.

Most people talked about Diaz taking the fight on just 10 days notice, but so did McGregor. Conor McGregor went out guns blazing in the first fight and it backfired. He landed a ton of punches but wore himself out. You can't do that to Diaz. He isn't the most technical fighter but he can take a beating. McGregor now has the chip on his shoulder and has plenty of time to prepare. I expect McGregor to keep this fight standing and use his excellent striking ability to take timely shots and save his energy. Too many things point to the UFC's golden boy winning this fight. Just think, he was -500 the last fight and is now -130...ton of value here.

BONUS: I do lean the OVER 2.5 rounds. Diaz rarely gets knocked out and if he does, it shouldn't be quick. Also, I believe there is some value on the fight to go to decision at +380.