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Oakland {A} bet - This is an unofficial bet because of the RPI filter.
Remember to bet on the +1.5 run line if it is offered, or the money line if it is not offered.
Make sure to observe the following Exterminator system guideline:
In July and August, only wager on qualifying [A] and [C] bets under the original MLB system, and risk 5% less than what you’d normally have. For example, if you’re a highly conservative bettor whose stake size per wager is 5% of your bankroll, then that means you can just choose to sit out of betting from July going forward. An average bettor would decrease his risk from 10% to 5%, and an aggressive risk taker would decrease that risk from 15% to 10%. You should bet that same percentage amount for all the [A] and [C] bets that qualified under the original MLB system.
Also, please keep in mind the following filters of the system:
- Do not bet on a team whose road record winning percentage is in the bottom 10% in the league if they are playing on the road
- Play is only official if the RPI value of our team is no more than .015 lower than opponent's.
- Play is only official if our team is not playing against a top 2 highest ranked RPI team
Note that the system plays are official only when they pass all the filters above. If they fail to pass any filter, then the play is considered unofficial.
Oakland has lost 92 of the last 152 games when playing as an underdog of +100 to +150 and they have lost 35 of the last 63 home games. Oakland has lost 45 of the last 76 games when playing in the month of August and they have lost 52 of the last 94 games vs. AL Central Division Opponents.
EXTRA MLB PLAYS
1000* Play Pittsburgh -145 over Houston
1000* Play Boston -140 over Tampa Bay
Winning Angle---MONDAY (All plays listed---Read Entire Email)
BASEBALL
Play Boston -140 over Tampa Bay
7:00 PM EST
David Price has won 81 of the last 117 games vs. division opponents and he has won 77 of the last 133 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season. David Price has won 44 of the last 66 road games when pitching as a favorite of -125 or higher and he has won 68 of the last 112 games coming off a team loss.
Play Cleveland -150 over Oakland
10:00 PM EST
Carlos Carrasco has won 22 of the last 37 games when pitching as a favorite of -125 to -175 and he has won 31 of the last 51 road games. Carlos Carrasco has won 34 of the last 58 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has an ERA of 1.69 vs. Oakland over his career.
Play Chicago Cubs -220 over San Diego
10:00 PM EST
Jon Lester has won 43 of the last 51 games when pitching as a favorite of -200 or higher and he has won 88 of the last 145 games coming off a team loss. Jon Lester has won 23 of the last 32 games when pitching on a Monday and he has won 10 of the last 14 games when pitching in the month of August.
We love Monday’s at Saratoga---Enjoy the races. Let’s start the week off right!!
As always---I recommend a WIN/PLACE/SHOW wager on all top plays listed and then I have listed the exacta and trifecta box for those who like to wager on the exotic wagers.
SHARPEST EDGE SPORTS
MLB
Rockies/Brewers Over 9 – 2 Units
Baltimore Orioles -0.5 (1st 5 Innings) – 1 Unit
Arizona Diamondbacks – 1 Unit
Chicago Cubs -1.5 – 1 Unit
Dave Aquino - (2-6-2 Sun. 5 Inning RL are 6-12) (POD is now 3-5, 0-1 Sun.)(MLS Totals are 21-13, 0-1 Sun.) (MLS Sides are 12-6, 1-0 Sun.) (MLS Draws are 1-8, 0-1 Sun.)
Update - All of the first five innings selections are (RL-1/2) plays unless marked otherwise, (ML). The record keeping will only show the won/lost record.
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