8-30-16

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Winning Angle---TUESDAY

BASEBALL

Play Washington -215 over Philadelphia
7:00 PM EST

Max Scherzer has won 83 of the last 116 games when pitching as a favorite of -150 or higher and he has won 47 of the last 70 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Max Scherzer has won 34 of the last 53 road games and he has won 30 of the last 42 games vs. division opponents.


Play Saint Louis -165 over Milwaukee
8:00 PM EST

Adam Wainwright has won 78 of the last 120 games vs. division opponents and he has won 81 of the last 128 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season. Adam Wainwright has won 79 of the last 127 road games and he has won 83 of the last 130 games when pitching as a favorite of -125 to -175.


Play Chicago Cubs -220 over Pittsburgh
8:00 PM EST

Kyle Hendricks has won 29 of the last 41 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season and he has won 28 of the last 43 games coming off a team win. Kyle Hendricks has won 25 of the last 35 home games and he has won 31 of the last 47 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher.

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XpertPicks

TUESDAY

MLB BASEBALL

Play Saint Louis -165 over Milwaukee--Top Play (500 Units)

Adam Wainwright has won 76 of the last 112 games when pitching as a favorite of -150 or higher and he has won 21 of the last 30 games vs. division opponents. Adam Wainwright has won 79 of the last 133 games coming off a team win and he has won 23 of the last 35 road games.

EXTRA MLB BASEBALL PLAYS

Play Detroit -200 over Chicago White Sox (100 Units)
Play Cleveland -200 over Minnesota (100 Units)

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SSIWINS
Thursday
Risked 3 units to win 2.83 Western Kentucky -16 -106 vs Rice
Risked 3 units to win 2.88 Minnesota U -13 -104 vs Oregon State


Friday
Risked 3 units to win 2.94 Colorado State +7.5 -102 vs Colorado (n)
Risked 4 units to win 3.77 Stanford -15.5 -106 vs Kansas State

Saturday
Risked 4 units to win 3.77 Houston U (n) +11 -106 vs Oklahoma
Risked 3 units to win 2.83 Miami Ohio +27.5 -106 vs Iowa
Risked 4 units to win 3.92 Penn State -21.5 -102 vs Kent State
Risked 3 units to win 2.8 Tulsa -5.5 -107 vs San Jose State
Risked 4 units to win 3.77 USC +11.5 -106 vs Alabama (n)
Risked 4 units to win 3.77 BYU +1 -106 vs Arizona U (n)


Sunday
Risked 3 units to win 2.61 Texas +3.5 -115 vs Notre Dame

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10 Top Side Play · [976] Houston Astros
The Killer Move Tue Aug 30th, 2016 8:10pm EDT

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ASI

MLB
PATRICK (120-90 +14.86)
New York Yankees -131 Kansas City Royals (815PM)
JEFF (104-103 -5.72)
Washington Nationals/Philadelphia Phillies OVER 8 +105 (7PM)
Chicago White Sox/Detroit Tigers OVER 10 -110 (8PM)
DAVID (101-102 -2.44)
Texas Rangers -154 Seattle Mariners (8PM)

WNBA
JEFF (20-28 -11.80)
Indiana Fever +1 Phoenix Mercury (7PM)
CHARLIE (9-14 -6.50)
Connecticut Sun -8.5 San Antonio Stars (7PM)

Soccer
simon (203-172 +7.52)
brazil - serie b
(under 2 -105) luverdense mt @ avai sc (615pm)

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Billy Coleman

4* Mets with Lugo

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SB Professor Original MLB Picks 8/30

Milwaukee +138
Baltimore +134

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Mike Davis
Game Of The Year
8* Minnesota Twins +190

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We Pick Sports - Nothing Since 8-24 - (-3* then, now -84.8* Season)

MLB
New York Yanks (-135) 6* 8:15 ET

Arizona (+145) 3* 10:15 ET
Cincinnati (+125) 5* 10:05 ET
Houston (-165) 8* 8:10 ET {Diamond Selection}

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Goodfella (MLB) - Triple Dime Colorado Rockies

3* on COLORADO ROCKIES

Listed Pitchers

I really like this spot for these Colorado Rockies on Tuesday Night. These Rockies have won three straight ballgames, including last nights blow out win over these Dodgers (8-1). They smacked around the Dodgers bullpen later in the game to pile on the 8 runs they plated. For tonight, the Rockies send out talented 26 year old Tyler Anderson. He's been very solid this season in his 14 starts. He's done his best work when taking the ball at HOME. In his 9 home starts, he's (4-1) with a very good (3.45) ERA. A strong (4 to 1) K/BB ratio, striking out 54 batters in 57 1/3 IP. He has a solid (1.20) WHIP overall for the season & simply does not walk many batters (20 walks in 83 IP). He won his lone start vs these Dodgers earlier this season. He pitched 7 strong innings, striking out 6, yielding just 6 hits & 2 runs. I do expect him to limit this Dodgers offense again tonight. The facts are that these Dodgers really struggle vs LH pitching. They are dead last in .OPS (.641) vs south paws. They're also just (16-17) vs LH pitching for the season. The Dodgers are just so much more potent vs RH pitching & their struggle vs LH pitching could lead to their downfall in the playoffs (if they hang on and make the playoffs). The Dodgers give the ball to Rich Hill. He returned from the DL in his last start. He pitched well vs the SF Giants. He went 6 innings and did not give up a run. However, he is on a 80-85 pitch count limit. Hill is not familiar with pitching at Coors Field, and that coupled with his pitch count limit, could be an issue for him and the Dodgers this evening. These Rockies hit left-handed pitching very well. They rank 4th in the National League in .OPS (.784). The bottom line for me here, is that I really think these Rockies are an extremely live home dog in this spot. I'm all over the COLORADO ROCKIES at plus money in this spot on Tuesday Night.

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Allan Harris WNBA

3 Unit Play. Take #604 Indiana Fever +1 over Phoenix Mercury (7:00 PM, Tuesday, August 30)

The Indiana Fever will look for their fourth win in their last five games when they take o the Phoenix Mercury at Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN on Tuesday night. Indiana has posted a perfect 4-0 ATS record in their last four games following a straight up loss and they have that same 4-0 ATS record in their last four games where they faced a team from the Western Conference. They have also been good against the number in their last eight games overall, going 6-2 ATS. The Mercury, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games versus a team from the Eastern Conference and they have gone an awful 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games where they faced a team with a losing record dating back to the 2015 season. They have also gone just 1-8 ATS in their last nine games played on a Tuesday for whatever reason and they have failed to cover the number in four of their last five games following an ATS win. Throw in the fact that the Fever have gone 5-1 ATS in the last six head to head meetings between the to teams and we'll take the point or so with them here to get the home win and cover in Indy on Tuesday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Finn

BASEBALL PLAYS
MLB GAME OF THE WEEK (9-2 RUN)
Game: (977) New York Yankees at (978) Kansas City Royals
Date/Time: Aug 30 2016 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Kansas City Royals +128

View Analysis

We have made hay on the Kansas City Royals the last three weeks cashing on four of the five plays we have released with the Ned Yost led troupe. The Royals and the Yankees remain in the playoff this 2016 and while it isn't a surprise that KC has found their health and their mojo the same can't be said about the Yankees. This is a group that has youth a less talented bullpen than a month ago due to trades and have a handful of player personnel in the everyday starting lineup that are hitting less than .240 and only two teams in all of baseball do a poorer job of hitting with RISP than does New York.

Yankees send Masahiro Tanaka (11-4, 3.11 ERA) to the hill at the "K" to oppose Royals Edinson Volquez (10-10, 4.88)

Tanaka pitched a gem against the Mariners in Seattle yesterday, working seven innings and allowing no earned runs along with five strikeouts. Tanaka has a 3.28 FIP for the year and has been fortunate to continue his success with a declining strike out ratio. His K-rate is down to 7.7 per 9 but has remained healthy despite suffering some serious statistical regression since his “rookie” season. Tanaka recent success has come via limiting his free passes. The Bronx right-hander has issued just one walk while recording 30 strikeouts in his last 28 frames (his four game winning streak). The righty received a no-decision in his lone career start against the Royals. His style isn't a perfect fit against a Royals offense that doesn't walk and excels against pitchers that work the strike zone. In that lone start against KC Tanaka allowed six runs and seven hits over seven innings of work, this back in early May.

Volquez has not lost in four consecutive starts and despite being the victim of poor defense by his mates, something that doesn't happen often to a Yost squad, allowed two unearned runs and three hits over five innings in a victory at Miami. Despite an ERA that is a run and a half higher than last season, and nearly two runs higher than 2014, Volquez has not suffered or offered evidence that he is a different pitcher with declining peripherals, not according to his charted xFIP. Volquez' xFIP totals for the past six seasons, with his ERA --- are in parentheses -- and as follows: 4.08 (5.71), 4.20 (4.14), 4.07 (5.71), 4.20 (3.04), 4.26 (3.55), 4.44 (4.95) and ignoring his inconsistent ERA (not worthy of one minute of my attention) and focusing on his xFIP is what my investing style is all about.

The key in tonight’s' game is multi-leveled. The Royals are playing with a swagger, a confidence that made them world champs a year ago, and Eddy V faces a flyball heavy Yankees lineup at the K, along with a group that strikes out at a high percentage since the All-Star break trade deadline. Pitcher friendly Kauffman, combined with the Royals outfield defense, makes the Royals a nightmare matchup for New York.

Tonight we get the best of both worlds. We receive Tanaka who is not a good fit against the free swinging Royals lineup, a red hot one at that, and Volquez' ground ball tendencies against a fly-ball hitting Yankee lineup in a pitcher friendly park -- AND at an underdog price

Tanaka's K's have dipped steadily each year he's been in the majors and the one variable that the Royals have excelled in this year is against pitchers that throw to contact, which is what Tanaka has become.

KANSAS CITY ROYALS +128

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Johnny Goodtimes - Nothing Since 8-24 - (-4.8* Then, Now -6.01* Season)

Double:
Atlanta -159


Triple:
Tampa Bay +171

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James Jones - (+5* Mon. Now -21.88* August)

3 Units: (954) New York Mets Over 8
2 Units: (962) Colorado Rockies +105

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Dave Aquino - (3-0 MOn. 5 Inning RL are (3-0) (26-27) (MLB 5 Inning ML are (0-0)( 5-6-3) MLS Totals (0-0) (24-15) MLS Sides (0-0) (15-9) MLS Draws (0-0) (3-9) NFLX Totals (0-0) (6-9) WNBA Totals (0-0) (22-17)

Update - All of the first five innings selections are (RL-1/2) plays unless marked otherwise, (ML). The record keeping will only show the won/lost record.

Aug30 - MLB (f5): Washington (RL-1/2), NY Mets (RL-1/2), NY Yankees (RL-1/2), San Francisco (RL-1/2)