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172 Appalachian State +3.5 vs MIA
187 Texas A&M/Auburn Under 54½
201 Hawaii/Arizona U Over 63*
206 California +7.5 vs Texas
#128 Michigan UNDER 56
#137 UNLV OVER 55
#194 Mississippi UNDER 54.5
NCAAF Week 3 #8
Game: (117) FLORIDA STATE at (118) LOUISVILLE*
Date/Time: Sep 17 2016 12:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: FLORIDA STATE -2.5 (-110)
View Analysis
***I added a half bet (1.5%) to FSU PK -113. Disagree with the moevement, have an even bigger edge at PK now and am taking advantage of it.
Good to -3, there are a few other +$ 3s that can be bought down to similar price on a -2.5. Wouldn't lay more than -117 on the 2.5 though, better off just taking -3 at that point.
FSU's starting safety is out which is why the number has dipped under 3 a bunch of places. I like the spot playing a VIlle team that everyone has seen on TV twice against weak opposition light up the scoreboard (and getting a number that is still short anyway, I made this -4). The Ville defense still has plenty of question marks and struggled at times vs. the Syracuse offense throughout that game Week 2. So not only will Lamar Jackson and the offense finally see a defense worht a damn, but the Ville defense is in for a wake up call as well.
SPREITZER:NCAAF SAT MORNING MASSACRE
Game: (171) MIAMI FLORIDA at (172) APPALACHIAN ST
Date/Time: Sep 17 2016 12:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: MIAMI FLORIDA -3.0 (-110)
View Analysis
PLAY: 171 MIAMI OF FLORIDA -3
I'm laying the points with Miami-Florida on Saturday. Appalachian State was impressive when they gave highly ranked Tennessee a scare. But Tennessee overlooked the Mountaineers, something Hurricanes' HC Mark Richt will use to keep his team motivated and focused on the task at hand. Also, the 'Canes have nothing standing in the way of complete focus with a bye week on deck. Miami has not only tuned-up their experienced offense in their first two games, (albeit against out-manned opponents), but they have also played a very stingy brand of defense. We believe Miami's pedigree and talent will wear down ASU in the second half. The Mountaineers have jumped out fast in each of their first two games, but have scored a grand total of seven second half points, failing to score against the Vols, while scoring one TD after intermission in a 31-7 win over Old Dominion. The offensive line has new faces and should struggle here against a solid defensive front seven. Mark Richt-coached teams are 21-9 ATS on the road after holding their previous two opponents to no more than 17 points each.
Meanwhile, ASU is on a 0-5 ATS slide after a SU win.
Finally, and more importantly, my ratings make Miami 8 points better than ASU at this venue. I'm backing Miami, my Morning Massacre.
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