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470 MIA -9.5 (-110) Southpoint vs 469 CLE
Analysis: Huge step down in class for Miami after just missing at Seattle and making a nice comeback in the loss to New England. The Dolphins should not have much trouble breaking into the win column here a‚s they play their home opener against a bad and beat up Cleveland squad. I don't see the Browns being competitive as they have to go with Cody Kessler at QB. They also lost Corey Coleman to an injury this week, and Josh Gordon is still suspended. My only worry would be overconfidence in a flat spot for Miami, but with the Dolphins being 0-2 out of the gate, it's tough to imagine they're not ready to play here. There's even a really nice tech angle here, as 0-2 teams giving a touchdown or more have a phenomenal record against the spread. No problem laying the points here in what should be a Dolphins romp.
Wager $1800 to win $1000
These in state Rivals do not play each other often, only once in the past 5 years which Pittsburgh and Big Ben won. I believe its a short trip where one-third of the fans will be Steelers as their fan base travels well.The Steelers seem well focused this year with improved play on the Defensive side of the ball led by the now healthy Ryan Shazier. Keith Butler their D coordinator now has 2 weeks of game film to study Carson Wentz and should be able to put a effective game plan in place. Lets give the rookie his credit with a 2-0 record, hitting 60% and 3 TD`s with no picks. However he did it against teams that are 0-4 and heavily favored to be 0-6 by days end. Now he goes up against the 2-0 Steelers
with Shazier & co. along with Big Ben and his offense should be more of a challenge for the also improved Philly D. Bottom line here is Eagles are 1-6 after a MNF game and 0-10 off back to back
straight up and ATS wins when playing a non division foe. Now this is a different eagles team with new coach and QB and they have exceded almost every ones expectations so far. This is the game where I believe they come back to earth. There is no doubt I believe Pittsburgh is the better team, with better coach, QB, RB, WR, etc. Even if this a close game Big Ben will find a way to will his team to a victory. Steelers will roll to 3-0 and keep pace with AFC rival NE.
Against the spread Selections: Last week 3-0 Season Record- 6-0
Minnesota Vikings +7 – I see Carolina`s 12 game home winning streak in jeopardy here. The Panthers are just 2-10 ATS in their 2nd of back to back home games and 0-4 ATS the week before Atlanta the past 2 years. Not having Jonathan Stewart could also hurt them in this match up. The Vikings on the other hand under coach Zimmer are 9-1 ATS the last 10 times they have been an underdog. Zimmer is also 10-1 ATS after a division game. Forget about the injuries Sam Bradford looked pretty dam good last week and Jerrod Mckinnon and Matt Asiata are capable replacements for Adrian. The bottom line is Carolina has some holes in its Defensive secondary and Minnesota`s Defense is quickly becoming elite. They are young, fast, aggressive and most important can force turnovers. Cam doesn't like to be hit & pressured(See past 2 games VS. Denver) which Minnesota can do consistently. I also believe the police shooting in Carolina has served as a distraction for the home Panthers. A long time ago I learned the hard way, anytime you have a elite Defense getting points you take the points. I also believe the Vikings have an excellent chance to win this game put the Super Bowl losers in some real adversary.
Los Angeles Rams +3.5 - Should Tampa Bay be favored by 5.5 points over anyone? Hell No! Maybe that`s why the line has dropped to 3.5. Its still a play for me. Tampa Bay has lost their last 3 Home Openers, Id say that goes to 4. They are also 5-13 ATS as home favorites. They are down top running back Doug Martin which could hurt them in short yardage situations in this match up. Also tight end Jenkins was arrested for DUI for the second time in 2 years on Friday morning at 5:17 am which could be a big distraction for them as well and released from the team later that day. So their Offense in down 2 starters.. Jeff Fisher not only has Seattle's number he also has Tampa Bays number. Dirk Koeter is 1-1 as a NFL coach. Jeff Fisher is 8-1 Lifetime against Tampa Bay alone including 4-0 as rams coach beating them once each of the last 4 years, 2X at home and 2X in Tampa, 3 of the 4 games decided by double digits. Forget that the rams havent scored a TD this year, they hung 28 points in the first 3 quarters on the bucs last year and Todd Gurley is ready to breakout and so are the Rams. Take the points.
New York Giants -3 - The line has moved in our favor here as most think Washington will be the more desperate team, However the Giants and Eli seem to have Washington`s Number. Eli is 12-4 SU last 4 years, 3-0 ATS last 3 years at home vs. their division rival. Furthermore when you look deeper into this weeks match up
you will find a Washington team that is playing with no chemistry right now vs. a Giants team playing with plenty of it. Eli will spread the ball all around and the Giants D should contain the Skins non running game and Kirk Cousins. Bottom line Give me Eli and the Giants to make a team they own misery even worse. The Giants are 5-1 ATS as HF before a MNF and 14-4 VS a division foe in a back to back home game. G-Men make amends for not covering last week and continue to roll.
NFL
20* BEARS / DALLAS OVER
Over is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 5-1 in Bears last 6 vs. NFC.
Over is 13-3 in Bears last 16 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
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