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Play Stanford +3.5 over Washington---Top Play (NCAA) (1000 Units)
Washington has lost 81 of the last 152 games against the spread when playing as a favorite and they have lost 109 of the last 197 games against the spread vs. conference opponents. Washington has lost 53 of the last 94 games against the spread after having lost two of the last three games against the spread and they have lost 115 of the last 209 games against the spread when playing after the first month of the season.
Play Toledo +4 over BYU---Top Play (NCAA) (1000 Units)
Toledo has covered the spread in 22 of the last 36 games coming off a game with no turnovers and they have covered the spread in 44 of the last 77 games after scoring 37 points or more in their last game. Toledo has covered the spread in 39 of the last 65 games coming off a win by 17 points or more in their last game and they have covered the spread in 38 of the last 67 games when playing in the month of September.
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MLB BASEBALL
Play Saint Louis -180 over Pittsburgh (100 Units)
Play Detroit -140 over Atlanta (100 Units)
Play Stanford +3.5 over Washington (Contest Play)
9:00 PM EST
Stanford has covered the spread in 77 of the last 139 games when playing as an underdog and they have covered the spread in 54 of the last 86 games coming off two or more wins. Stanford has covered the spread in 46 of the last 82 games when playing in the month of September and they are only allowing an average of 12 points a game on defense this season.
Play Toledo +4 over BYU (Contest Play)
10:15 PM EST
Toledo has covered the spread in 20 of the last 26 games coming off a home win of 28 points or more in their last game and they have covered the spread in 26 of the last 35 games coming off two games where they forced one or less turnovers. Toledo has covered the spread in 8 consecutive games when playing in the 1st half of the season and they are averaging 42 points a game on offense this season.
For starters, just a personal preference of mine, spend the extra 10 cents and but the line down to -3 from 3.5. In no way does that mean I am not confident in the game. I just do not like being on 3.5, 7.5, 10.5. If you are up 10 late in game, maybe we give up a BS touchdown and it could cost us.
That being said, I do not like this spot at all for Stanford. They played a hard fought, physical game at UCLA Saturday night and now have to turn around and go on the road again with one day less to prepare. This is a huge home game for Washington. They will be pumped and ready to go. The home field advantage will be huge in this game but the speed advantage will be even bigger.
Washington is simply the faster team. They have great play makers on the outside and their defense is dominant. Stanford has more experience and in fairness, they probably have the best player on the field but one player will not win this game tonight.
Washington will cause pressure on defense all night long and Stanford will not be able to run with the skill players the Huskies have on offense.
I feel this is a 10 to 17 point home win for Washington tonight as they are faster and more athletic overall and they catch Stanford in a bad spot on back to back road games with one less day of preparation.
Great spot for Washington to show everyone they are back to national prominence.
When the Pac-12's 2016 football schedule was released, every Husky fan circled Sept. 30 on their calendars, knowing that Washington's home game against Stanford had enormous potential to become one of the most enticing matchups of the entire college football season.
Washington's big advantage is the depth of their D-Line. Stanford wants to wear you down with their rushing attack and big bodies. But they haven't yet played a team that can rotate 8 deep on the D-Line. If Stanford goes for the "body blow" strategy, they may never wear the Huskies out. Stanford’s quarterback Ryan Burns is inexperienced and will be facing the most daunting defense in the Pac-12, in a hostile environment.
Expect the Husky defense to feed off of the home crowd and its energy - it will be up to the offense to take advantage of all the three-and-out along with the turnovers that this Husky defense will produce. In the end, the Huskies' defense and the home field advantage are able to rattle Ryan Burns just enough to force a Stanford mistake or two that allows Washington to pull out a win and cover. The secondary for the Cardinal is banged up and will prove to be their Achilles Hill for a difficult matchup like this. This will be a game where the team who makes the fewest mistakes wins and the Huskies at home should minimize their own miscues while taking advantage of Ryan Burns' blunders.
T.G.I.F And the 100% PAC 12 Power system Play of the Month on ESPN headlines along with a Powerful MLB Diamond cutter system + early NCAAF for Saturday. MLB Comp play below.
The MLB Comp play for Friday is on the NY.Mets at 7:05 eastern. The Mets fit a power system that is cashing over 85% long term and plays on road favorites off a road dog win vs an opponent off a road dog loss that scored 2 or less runs with no errors. The Mets are averaging over 9 runs the past week and are surging toward a wild card berth. They have won 18 of the last 26 here in Philly and have R. Gsellman and his superb 2.53 Era on the mound. He has been solid vs the Phillies with a 2.77 era. The Phillies counter with Asher who has a dismal 7.97 Era vs the Mets and they are 12-27 vs winning teams. Look for the Mets to take the opener. On Friday the PAC 12 Perfect system play of the month is up and has several big Angles. There is also early College Football releases and another MLB diamond cutter system on the card. Jump on now and put this industry leading data on your side. For the MLB Free pick. Play on the NY. Mets. GC
MLB
PATRICK (138-102 +19.57)
New York Mets -170 Philadelphia Phillies (7PM)
JEFF (123-121 -6.43)
Pittsburgh Pirates/Saint Louis Cardinals UNDER 7.5 -110 (8PM)
DAVID (124-117 +4.45)
Colorado Rockies -170 Milwaukee Brewers (8PM)
SOCCER
SIMON (238-215 -11.85)
Friday September 30th
BELGIUM - JUPILER LEAGUE
(UNDER 2.5 +104) ST. Truidense VV @ KV Oostende (230PM)
POLAND - EKSTRAKLASA
(UNDER 2.5 -149) Lech Poznan @ Gornik Leczna (230PM)
BRAZIL - SERIE B
(UNDER 2.5 -134) Criciuma SC @ Bahia BA (615PM)
WNBA PLAYOFFS
JEFF (2-1 +.90)
Phoenix Mercury /Minnesota Lynx UNDER 169.5 (8PM)
CHARLIE (2-1 +.90)
Chicago Sky +11.5Los Angeles Sparks (10PM)
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