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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369677

    #16
    Indian Cowboy

    5-Unit Play. #264. Take Houston Texans -5 over Tennessee Titans (Sunday @ 1pm est)
    The Texans are without Watt and we like them to rally as a squad here. This team has a fantastic coaching staff that gets the most with the least it seems and we like Houston to show some heart here at home. This is a team that was embarrassed on national television last week and scored 0 points. Similar to how Minnesota has done well without Peterson and remained focused and determined, we like the same here for Houston who will rally and likely do well this week. This team is still 2-1 and Houston has a lot of depth in the defensive side of the ball as well. Remember, this is the same Head Coach that did a monumental job at Penn State when they were on probation. The Titans are 3-23-1 ATS when facing the AFC South and the Texans are 5-1 ATS when facing the AFC South of late as well. The Texans are also 6-2 ATS at home and they come together as a squad and get it done this week.


    3-Unit Play. #254. Take Washington Redskins -7.5 over Cleveland Browns (Sunday @ 1pm est)
    The Redskins let's face it were given a gift last week. The gift of Eli. Manning choked late in yet another game and Washington picks up a much needed - possibly season saving win. We like Washington to use that as a catalyst and get it done here over Cleveland who comes in feeling good after a great effort against Miami who was winless going into that game. But, we like Washington to get back on track here and get their first comfortable and possible rout of a win here. The Browns are banged up still at the quarterback position and the Redskins can be a stout defense at home as they continue to make changes and are well aware here that a strong week puts them at a 2-2 mark and still very much into the thick of things in a fluid division. This Redskins team beat a very good Giant team with a new ballcoach and this team is definitely improving each week. We like Washington by double-digits this weekend.


    3-Unit Play. #274. Take Arizona Cardinals -8.5 over St. Louis Rams (Sunday @ 4:25pm est) (Currently -7.5 at Sportsbook)
    Arizona continues to rebound well and this week should be no different. This is the same organization whose GM stated that it is unacceptable to lose to a Tom-Bradyless Patriot team and he was clearly livid after the loss in the first week of the season. What does this team do? They host the Bucs and rout them. Then this team goes on the road and gets routed by Buffalo who just fired their offensive coordinator in what was a must win for them. What will this team likely do? Likely rout the Rams at home. Note, the Rams come in playing well having won their last two games but this is a Arizona Coaching Staff that has had Jeff Fisher's number for quite a while now and with a mind like Arians not much Fisher will do will surprise him. Arizona comes out focused and gets it done this weekend.


    3-Unit Play. #266. Take Baltimore Ravens -3.5 over Oakland Raiders (Sunday @ 1pm est)
    Baltimore was surprised last time when Oakland rolled in and beat them and that will not happen this time around. Look for Baltimore who comes off a horrendous year under Harbaugh last year (a rarity) be focused and gets it done this year as they will not be overlooking this team. Oakland has played very well this season but they will not faced a defensive front with an offense that is capable as the Ravens thus far and we like Baltimore in what is a decent public fade to boot to get it done and have a strong weekend.


    3-Unit Play. #276. Take Pittsburgh Steelers -5 over Kansas City (Sunday @ 8:30pm est)
    Finally the Steelers. The Steelers were routed in ugly fashion in their last game in what was a battle for Pennsylvania if you will and it was not much of a battle. It was ugly and this team was embarrassed. This team was not even in the game after the half way point it seemed as they were out coached and out classed. Now, this team looks to bounce-back after a poor offensive and defensive performance and face a Chiefs team who is still a bit fickle on the year. Sure, the Chiefs beat the Jets in their last game but New York has not looked that great and you have a Pittsburgh team that will be highly motivated this week to get it done and we like them to get back on track this week and pick up the win.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369677

      #17
      Fezzik NFL 10/2
      3* Steelers -5
      Browns/Skins o45.5
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369677

        #18
        Marc Lawrence NFL

        Jags
        Cle
        Bal
        Tam

        close call play : Saints, Chiefs
        Last edited by Can'tPickAWinner; 10-02-2016, 06:05 AM.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369677

          #19
          INT Picks

          NFL

          #252

          1 Star

          9:30 AM ET

          Indiana @ Jacksonville

          Take Jacksonville +2.5

          #256

          2 Stars

          1:00 PM ET

          Buffalo @ New England

          Take New England -7

          #253

          1 Star

          1:00 PM ET

          Cleveland @ Washington

          Take Cleveland +7.5

          #262

          1 Star

          1:00 PM ET

          Detroit @ Chicago

          Take Chicago +3

          #267

          1 Star

          4:05 PM ET

          Denver @ Tampa Bay

          Play Over 42.5

          #270

          2 Stars

          4:25 PM ET

          Dallas @ San Francisco

          Take San Francisco +2

          #275

          2 Stars

          8:30 PM ET

          KC @ Pittsburgh

          Take KC +4

          MLB

          #922

          1 Star

          3:05 PM ET

          Tampa Bay @ Texas

          Take Texas ML (-148)

          #925

          2 Stars

          3:10 PM ET

          Minnesota @ Chicago WS

          Play Over 8 (-110)

          Free Pick

          NFL

          #259

          1 Star

          1:00 PM ET

          Carolina @ Atlanta

          Take Carolina -3
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369677

            #20
            StatFox Super Situations

            WNBA*|*MINNESOTA*at*PHOENIX
            Play On - Home favorites (PHOENIX) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
            163-94*since 1997.**(*63.4%*|*59.6 units*)
            5-7*this year.**(*41.7%*|*-2.7 units*)

            WNBA*|*LOS ANGELES*at*CHICAGO
            Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team
            24-8*over the last 5 seasons.**(*75.0%*|*0.0 units*)
            2-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*0.0 units*)

            WNBA*|*MINNESOTA*at*PHOENIX
            Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
            145-82*since 1997.**(*63.9%*|*54.8 units*)
            11-5*this year.**(*68.8%*|*5.5 units*)
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369677

              #21
              StatFox Super Situations

              NFL*|*CLEVELAND*at*WASHINGTON
              Play Against - Home teams (WASHINGTON) after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after a loss by 6 or less points
              41-15*over the last 10 seasons.**(*73.2%*|*24.5 units*)

              NFL*|*KANSAS CITY*at*PITTSBURGH
              Play On - Home favorites of -160 to -475 vs. the money line (PITTSBURGH) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team
              27-2*over the last 5 seasons.**(*93.1%*|*0.0 units*)

              NFL*|*INDIANAPOLIS*at*JACKSONVILLE
              Play Under - Any team where the first half total is 25 or higher after playing a game at home, in the first half of the season
              54-23*over the last 10 seasons.**(*70.1%*|*28.7 units*)
              2-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*2.0 units*)

              NFL*|*CAROLINA*at*ATLANTA
              Play Under - Any team where the first half total is 25 or higher after playing a game at home, in the first half of the season
              54-23*over the last 10 seasons.**(*70.1%*|*28.7 units*)
              2-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*2.0 units*)

              NFL*|*NEW ORLEANS*at*SAN DIEGO
              Play Under - Any team where the first half total is 25 or higher after playing a game at home, in the first half of the season
              54-23*over the last 10 seasons.**(*70.1%*|*28.7 units*)
              2-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*2.0 units*)
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369677

                #22
                StatFox Super Situations

                MLB*|*DETROIT*at*ATLANTA
                Play On - Any team (DETROIT) poor offensive team - scoring <=4.7 runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent allowing 4.8 or more runs/game on the season (NL)
                96-49*over the last 5 seasons.**(*66.2%*|*40.6 units*)
                39-23*this year.**(*62.9%*|*9.9 units*)


                StatFox Situational Power Trends

                MLB*|*TAMPA BAY*at*TEXAS
                TEXAS is 95-65 (+32.0 Units) against the money line in all games*this season.
                The average score was: TEXAS (4.8) , OPPONENT (4.7)
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369677

                  #23
                  Mighty Quinn

                  Mighty missed with Michigan on Saturday and likes the Jaguars on Sunday.

                  The deficit is 1085 sirignanos.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369677

                    #24
                    Hondo

                    Hondo draws the Curtain

                    Hondo survived in Death Valley on Saturday night, scoring with Clemson over Louisville to raise the earnings to 3,801 lamberts.

                    Sunday night: Mr. Aitch expects the Curtain to close early on the Chiefs — 20 units on the Steelers.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369677

                      #25
                      Arthur Ralph Sports

                      Super pick: Carolina panthers
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369677

                        #26
                        WAYNE ROOT

                        MILL--Baltimore -
                        No Limit--Buffalo +
                        Perfect Play--San Francisco +
                        -------------------
                        Inner Circle--Chicago +
                        This is an ugly game. Make no mistake in that. There's an old adage when betting the NFL. 'If the team you're about to bet makes you sick, then you're on the right side. If betting the other side make you feel all warm and fuzzy, then you usually are booking a loser'. This game shows 75% of the bettor's are feeling all "warm and fuzzy". Wayne is the "great contrarian". Loves to bet games that no one else dares to bet. Vegas does not make it easy to walk up and get free money. Running the ball was a chore for the Lions last week as they played their first game without Ameer Abdullah. They had no success running the ball in their first game without Abdullah last week (just 50 yards on 23 carries). Riddick is the Lions’ starter with Abdullah on injured reserve, but his 10-carry, nine-yard performance last week didn’t convince anyone he’s ready to handle the lead role. The Bears rank 10th in the NFL in pass defense (214.3 ypg) and hope to stop the run and force the Lions into a passing game. For Chicago, Brian Hoyer is expected to start at quarterback in place of Cutler, who’s doubtful with a thumb injury, and rookie Jordan Howard takes over at running back for the injured Langford. Jeffery had a huge game against the Lions at Ford Field last year and is one of the top receivers in the NFL. Tight end Zach Miller leads the Bears with 15 catches, and tight ends have killed the Lions this year. Detroit won’t have Levy or top pass rusher Ansah up front so the pass rush should help Hoyer. Soldier Field can be a tricky place to play and the Bears are a desperate team, the public is rarely right and laying point on the road in a division game usually has a bad outcome for the road team.
                        -------------------
                        Pinnacle--Tampa Bay + NFL Underdog of Month
                        This game has the oddsmakers and sportsbooks begging and enticing you to take Denver. The reigning Super Bowl champions should be two touchdowns better than a non-playoff team, but you never know in the NFL how things will shake loose on game day. The public can't lay 3 points fast enough. But hold all tickets, this game is certainly a game on the Broncos game schedule that could produce a huge letdown. The Broncos have played at a high level their first three games and that pressure will show in this game. Trevor Siemian posted an unbelievable QBR last week against a strong Cincinnati defense, so it is easy to think the Broncos will have a comfortable win against the Bucs. However, we must not forget the Bucs have been building up their defense, and Siemian almost was picked off 4 times last week. This is a bit of a trap game. The hardest part of the schedule has passed, so there could be a hint of overconfidence in the air. Add to that the big time performance of the offense and it could become an equation for an upset. Any given Sunday and all. The Broncos will eventually be upset when their defense can’t make up for Trevor Siemian’s mistakes. The Bucs hope to keep what the had last week and build somewhat at home. Last week, Jameis Winston set carer highs in yards (405), attempts (58), and completions (36). The squad went at it without injured starting running back Doug Martin. Charles Sims filled in and finished with 124 total yards, with 55 of those coming on the ground. Two different receiver went over 100 yards with Mike Evans pulling in 10 passes for 132 and a score while Adam Humphries hauled in nine receptions for 100 yards. The oddsmakers think this game will have some mistakes and turnovers and played between the twenty's resulting in a low scoring contest bringing the points into play.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369677

                          #27
                          Scott Rickenbach

                          8* - Colts Over
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369677

                            #28
                            SkyBlue 10/2


                            Chicago Bears +3
                            Baltimore Ravens -3.5
                            San Francisco 49ers +1.5
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369677

                              #29
                              Carlo Campanella

                              Iron Horse 20* NFL Blowout of the Year: Broncos -3.
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369677

                                #30
                                Tony George

                                Detroit
                                Houston
                                Carolina
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