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4 Unit Play. Take #901/902 Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Over 7.5 (4:05 PM, Monday, October 10, MLB Network)
Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet when the Washington Nationals hit the road to take on the Dodgers at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA on Monday afternoon. Gio Gonzalez (11-11, 4.57 ERA, 1.34 WHIP) will get the start for the Nationals and he will be opposed by Kenta Maeda (16-11, 3.48 ERA, 1.14 WHIP), who is scheduled to get the call on the hill for the Dodgers. Washington has posted a 5-1 record to the over in their last six games following a game where they allowed two runs or less and they have gone an excellent 8-1 to the over in their last nine games following a win. They have also gone a perfect 4-0 to the over following a game where they scored five runs or more and they have gone over the total in nine of Gonzalez's last thirteen starts where he got the call in Game #3 of a series. The Dodgers have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here today as they have posted a perfect 4-0 record to the over in their last four Game #3's of a series and they have gone over the total in five of their last six games following a loss. They have also gone 5-2-1 to the over in their last eight games overall and they have gone over the total in ten of Maeda's last fourteen starts. Throw in the fact that these two teams have gone 4-1 to the over in their last five head to head meetings and that's where we'll have our play as both starting pitchers have been struggling and we expect the both offenses to put some runs on the board this afternoon in LA.
4 Unit Play. Take #904 San Francisco Giants -105 over Chicago Cubs (9:35 PM, Monday, October 10, FS1)
The San Francisco Giants will look to keep their season alive when they take on the Chicago Cubs at AT&T Park in San Francisco, CA on Monday night. Madison Bumgarner (16-9, 2.64 ERA, 1.01 WHIP) will get the start for the Giants and he will be opposed by Jake Arrieta (18-8, 3.10 ERA, 1.08 WHIP), who is expected to get the call on the hill for the Cubs. San Francisco has posted a 9-4 record in their last thirteen home games where they faced a team with a winning record and they have gone an excellent 6-1 in their last seven playoff home games. They have also gone 5-1 in their last six games following a loss and they have won thirteen of Bumgarner's last sixteen starts where he faced a team from the NL Central. The Cubs, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone just 2-7 in their last nine playoff road games and they have lost five of their last seven games where they faced a left handed starter. Throw in the fact that the Giants have won five of their last six games versus the Cubs where MadBum was on the hill and we'll take them at the pickem or so price here tonight to get the home win and send the series to a Game 4 on Tuesday night in the Bay Area.
4 Unit Play. Take #905 Cleveland Indians +135 over Boston Red Sox (6:05 PM, Monday, October 10 TBS)
The Cleveland Indians will look to complete a sweep of the Boston Red Sox when the two teams meet at Fenway Park in Boston, MA on Sunday afternoon. Josh Tomlin (13-9, 4.40 ERA, 1.19 WHIP) will get the start for the Indians and he will be opposed by Clay Buchholz (8-10, 4.78 ERA, 1.33 WHIP), who is scheduled to get the call on the hill for the Red Sox. Cleveland has posted a perfect 4-0 record in their last four games following a win and they have gone an excellent 14-5 in Tomlin's last nineteen road starts. They have also gone 5-1 in their last six Divisional Playoff games and they have gone a lights out 13-3 in their last sixteen games where they faced a team with a winning record. The Red Sox, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here this afternoon as they have gone just 1-5 in their last six games following a loss and they have that same 1-5 record in their last six games where they faced a right handed starter. Boston is also just 1-4 in Buchholz's last five starts versus a team from the AL Central and they have lost 22 of his last 32 starts at home. Throw in the fact that the Indians have won thirteen of their last sixteen games following a day off while the Sox are just 6-16 in their last 22 games after losing the first two games of a series and we'll take Cleveland at the nice underdog price to get the road win in Boston and advance to the ALCS to face the Toronto Blue Jays.
3 Unit Play. Take #932 Boston -140 over Cleveland (6:05p.m., Monday October 10)
Yesterday's game was PPD because of rain and for the Red Sox bullpen that was probably a good day off. The Boston Red Sox come home trailing 2 game in this best of five series and tonight I see the home team continuing to win. Clay Buchholz takes the mound tonight for the Sox and he has pitched well in his last couple of starts going 2-0 with an ERA 1.42. The Indians have outscored the Red Sox 11-4 in two games and tonight I see the Red Sox bats scoring first and putting pressure on Tribe pitcher Josh Tomlin. Boston has won 5 out of their last 7 home game and the Red Sox are 5-1 when Buchholz starts. Cleveland is 1-4 in their last 5 meetings at Fenway.
2-Unit Play. Take #931 Cleveland (+135) over Boston (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 9)
Clay Buchholz has been very unreliable for the Red Sox. I think he could have one of his terrible outings here today. He has an ERA near 5.00 this year. He has been a little better since his trip to the bullpen. And he was strong down the stretch with his last three starts. But I don't think it is going to last. Buchholz has faced the Indians twice this year and has given up nine runs in 10 innings. I think that Cleveland has all the momentum in this series and I think that they are going to stun the Sox and get the sweep today. The strong underdog price seals it. Play the Indians.
8-Unit Play. Take Toronto Blue Jays (-115) TO WIN American League
I'm all in on the Blue Jays. They are going to the World Series and, frankly, I think they have a great chance to win it all. This is a team that boasts the best lineup remaining in baseball. There's just not an easy out anywhere. And right now they have the most important commodity in October: momentum. We've seen this before several times with teams in the National League; the Wild Card team wins that one-game playoff and then goes on a savage, surprising run all the way to the Series. I think that will be the case here. Boston doesn't have enough pitching and their young stars are wilting in their first time on the biggest stage. Cleveland is on borrowed time and beating the Red Sox will be like their pennant. But Toronto picked up valuable experience last season and right now they just seem like they are all rowing in the right direction. I love how their pitching staff looks and they will be well-rested against whomever they play in the next round. I think this is the best price we can hope for and I just don't see any of the two remaining A.L. teams being able to beat that lineup four times in one series.
Today's Totals (These plays are based on proprietary systems and thus no writeups.)
3-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 7.5 Washington at L.A. Dodgers (4 p.m., Monday, Oct. 10)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 6.0 Chicago Cubs at San Francisco (9 p.m., Monday, Oct. 10)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 9.5 Cleveland at Boston (6 p.m., Monday, Oct. 10)
7 Unit Play. Take #481/482 Edmonton Eskimos vs. Montreal Alouettes Over 51.5 (1:00 PM, Monday, October 10)
Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet when the Edmonton Eskimos hit the road to take on the Alouettes at Percival Molson Memorial Stadium in Montreal, QC on Monday afternoon. Edmonton has posted a perfect 5-0 ATS record in their last five games following a straight up win and they have gone an excellent 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall. They have also gone over the total in eight of their last ten games following a game where they covered the spread. The Alouettes have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here on Monday as they have gone 4-1-1 to the over in their last six games following an ATS win and they have gone over the number in four of their last five games after a game that they won by 20 or more, which they did last week in a 38-11 win over Toronto. Throw in the fact that these two teams have gone over the total in eight of their last ten head to head meetings and that Edmonton is both the second highest scoring team and second worst defensive team in the league and that's where we'll have our play in a game that our numbers have turning into a shootout on Monday afternoon in Montreal.
150 DIME Raise The Bar Monday Night Game of My Career
Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the road underdog against Carolina.
At 5:00 am Vegas time, the Bucs are the +6 point underdogs. If your line happens to be anywhere from +6 1/2 to +7, I suggest buying the half point up on the Buccaneers.
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