10-14-16

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Aquino

Oct14 - WNBA: Minnesota +1.5, lynx/sparks over 159 (Sides 1-1. Totals 1-2)

Oct14 - NHL: hawks/predators over 5 (Season 0-1)

Oct14 - CFL: Winnipeg +5, rough riders/tiger cats over 52.5 (Sides 1-0, Totals 0-3)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Exodus to Black
MLB
Cleveland-145
CFB
Louisville-35

[Can'tPickAWinner]

James Jones - (+3* Thurs. Now +6.48* Oct.)

3 Units: (107) Duke +35
2 Units: (901) Toronto Blue Jays Over 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Merril
(3% play) BYU -7 (vs. Mississippi State) - 10:15 pm ET (ESPN) #112

Mississippi State is 2-3 SU on the season, but this team is much worse than that record indicates. The Bulldogs’ two wins have come against a terrible South Carolina team, and an inferior Massachusetts team that is relatively new to FBS football. Mississippi State was unimpressive in those wins; they beat South Carolina 27-14 and only beat Massachusetts 47-35. The Bulldogs lost at home to South Alabama and Auburn, and they were dominated at LSU where they trailed 23-6 with less than five minutes to play before scoring two backdoor touchdowns to make the final score look respectable at 23-20. Mississippi State’s offense is only averaging 25.6 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. They will now face a BYU defense that has given up only 25.8 points per game versus offenses that have averaged 29.4 points per game this season.

BYU comes into this game with just a 3-3 SU record on the season, but their three losses have come by a combined 7 points. The Cougars have played a difficult schedule with games against Arizona, Utah, UCLA, West Virginia, Toledo, and Michigan State. All six of those teams are better than Mississippi State, so BYU is taking a step-down in class tonight. BYU has a well-balanced offense that averages over 200 yards per game on the ground and thru the air. Overall, BYU is averaging 28.2 points per game on 5.8 yards per play versus defenses that only allow 23 points per game on 5.4 yards per play this year. Mississippi State’s defense is giving up 29 points per game on 5.7 yards per play on the road this season. We’ll lay the points with BYU in this national TV home game on Friday night.

Play BYU (-) as a 3% play.