10-29-16

[Can'tPickAWinner]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns | CFB Side Sat, 10/29/16 - 12:00 PM
triple-dime bet
156 Oklahoma St. 3.0 (-115) Pinnacle vs 155 West Virginia Analysis: I'm playing on OKLAHOMA STATE. With a 6-0 record, the Mountaineers and their fans are starting to get pretty excited. I expect them to suffer their first loss this week though. After a slow start, the Cowboys have turned the corner. They've won three straight, starting with an 18-point win over Texa‚s and ending with a 24-point win last week over Kansas. While that may not have been as impressive as WVU's 24-point over TCU, the Cowboys are still a team full of confidence right now, one which is excited at the prospects of handing WVU its first loss. Keep in mind that the Mountaineers have only played one "true" road game (Texas Tech) all season. They're 6-5 SU (5-6 ATS) their last 11 on the road, while the Cowboys are 13-5 SU at home, during the same time. Including an upset loss against the Cowboys (at WVU) last October, the Mountaineers are just 4-7 ATS in October the last 2+ seasons. While the Mountaineers, who weren't ranked to begin the season and who weren't expected to be this good, have been tough on both sides of the ball, the Cowboys can score with the best of them. They're strong on special teams and very well-coached. Grab the points but don't be surprised to see an outright upset.


Pick Made: Oct 24 2016 7:45AM PST


Ben Burns | CFB Side Sat, 10/29/16 - 12:00 PM
double-dime bet
192 Missouri -4.5 (-106) Pinnacle vs 191 Kentucky Analysis: I'm playing on MISSOURI. The‚ Wildcats have the superior overall record and were the more successful team last time out. They upset Mississippi State while the Tigers were upset by Middle Tennessee State. However, I believe that Missouri is favored for good reason. Homefield has proven significant in recent meetings. The Cats won by eight at Kentucky last season. The Tigers won by 10 here at Missouri the previous season. Including that result, note that the Wildcats are a dismal 5-15 ATS their last 20 as underdogs in the 3.5 to 10 range. They're also just 6-14 ATS their last 20 on turf. While both offenses are very capable, both defenses have struggled. Both teams have played some tough opposition and both will be looking at this as a winnable game, one which they need. Kentucky is looking to become bowl elligible this season while Missouri just needs a conference victory. The Cats have yet to win a road game though, getting outscored by an average of 39.5 to 6.5 away from Kentucky. (In fairness, they played at some very tough venues.) Still, the Cats' road woes go back a long time, they're only 1-10 SU their last 11 on the road. Missouri, on the other hand, is still outscoring teams by an average score of 53-25 here this season and is still 12-3 SU its last 15 here. Look for homefield to again make the difference, the Tigers rising to the occasion and delivering a deadly blow to the Cats' dreams of winning the SEC East.


Pick Made: Oct 24 2016 7:56AM PST


Sat, 10/29/16 - 8:05 PM

double-dime bet
ml 62 MIN (-145) Pinnacle vs 61 DAL Analysis: I'm playing on MINNESOTA. Analysis before noon ET 10/29




Pick Made: Oct 28 2016 12:34PM PST


Ben Burns | CFB Side Sat, 10/29/16 - 5:00 PM
triple-dime bet
202 Oregon -7.5 (-120) Pinnacle vs 201 Arizona St. Analysis: I'm playing on OREGON. For the first time in two decades, the Ducks have lost five straight. However, I expect this to be the week where they "get healthy" again. While the defense remains a concern, Oregon has found its QB; Justin Herbert threw six TD passes last game, the Ducks scoring 49 points. Sure, it resulted in a tough 52-49 loss, at Cal. The Ducks showed a lot of heart though, rallying from 21-0 and 34-14 deficits. As that was a Friday game, they've had an extra day to recover and prepare for this one. The Sun Devils, who are also "defensively-challenged" and who are also off b2b losses of their own, are banged-up on both sides of the ball, including at the QB position. Starting QB Manny Wilkins has been banged-up a lot and he got hurt again last game. While his status remains uncertain as of this writing, it appears entirely possible that he could miss the game. With their backup QB already out, that means inexperienced true freshman Sterling-Cole would get the call. Regardless of who is behind center for the Sun Devils, it looks like they may also be without their starting center once again. A.J. McCollum missed last week's game due to a persona matter. Regardless, I expect the Sun Devils to have trouble keeping up with Herbert and the rejuvenated Oregon offense. With three of their final four on the road - and the lone remaining home game coming against Stanford - the Ducks know they aƒbsolutely need to take advantage of this winnable game. I expect them to do just that, pulling away for a double-digit "blowout" win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

NCAAF
Washington st / Oregon st over 57 triple dime
Michigan st + 24 1/2 triple dime
Purdue + 14 free play
Wake forest -7 dime
Tulane ML -145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad diamond
Acc game of the week is on Florida State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spartan
3* Iowa St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WAYNE ROOT

MILL--Utah +
No Limit--TCU -
__________________
Perfect Play--Florida State +
Clemson opened up at -2 and the line moved to -4.5. But this is not your 2015 team with a quarterback sent from the heavens. The Tigers have not won in this stadium since '06. Clemson hasn't showed that it knows how to protect the ball for turnovers and struggles with dropped balls. Deshaun Watson is not his last years self. For Florida State, running back Dalvin Cook's return to form has been a factor in the Seminoles' rebound from a 1-2 start to the season. He has rushed for 900 yards for the season, is coming off a 115-yard effort in last week's victory over Wake Forest, and rushed for 194 yards and scored the Seminoles' only touchdown in last year's loss to Clemson. After two horrible games to start the season, the most encouraging sign for Florida State is their recent resurgence on defense. Back to Clemson, the offensive line ranks 125th nationally in Football Outsiders’ power success rate which should make the defensive efforts of the Noles an improved lot. The Seminoles have a standout defensive line and can disrupt Clemson’s attack at the line of scrimmage with a big night from end DeMarcus Walker and tackle Derrick Nnadi. This season, the teams that can generate a pass rush – Auburn, Louisville and NC State – have had the most success in keeping Clemson’s offense within check. The Tigers were not impressive in the Week 7 win over NC State (24-17) and will have their hands full against Cook, Francois and an active Florida State defensive line.
__________________
Inner Circle--Texas +
First stat: Baylor has not played anybody that has a decent team so it is fairly difficult to give them proper measure. For example, they defeated a 1-5 Iowa St team 45-42. ISU is horrible and that was one of their toughest opponents to date. The Bears haven't been tested this season playing a weak nonconference schedule, and they tout a strength of schedule that ranks 126th out of 128 FBS teams. Texas plays hard!! Losing games is part of the job with a recent coaching change and different recruits playing. But they play hard for 60 minutes. Coach Charlie Strong is getting Texas closer to living up to the lofty expectations. Any win helps Strong keep his job, and I’m going with the Longhorns to pull this one out and shake up the Big 12 race as Baylor loses its first game of the year. This week, the Texas President get Strong a vote of confidence so the boosters would give him breathing room. This Texas defense has struggled mightily, and it will give up a ton of yards, but I think the ‘Horns defense can stymie the Bears offense in the red zone, and Shane Buechele will have a big day through the air. This will be a four-quarter game, with the Horns slipping by after a late score. Grab a cigar for Strong and Co. with this win. The quick-tempo attack is idling too often, even though there’s a strong balance with an ultra-efficient passing game and, thanks to D’Onta Foreman, a killer ground attack. This is an emotional game and Texas gets the upset on their heart alone and Charlie Strong's last two weeks influence on the defensive side of the ball as he took over the coordinators role. Russell will put up his yards, Foreman will put up his, it’ll be a shootout, and at home under all the pressure, Texas will come up with a close win it so desperately needs. And Charlie Strong will be around for another week.
__________________
Pinnacle--Ole Mississippi + ****College Underdog of Year
Hint-Hint: Betting rule 101. Bet the original favorite. The oddsmakers made it the favorite but the public got involved and moved the line to where the other side is favored. Ole Miss opened -1 and now Auburn in -4.5 because of the 56-3 blowout of Arkansas last week. This means that the sports books are going to pay 86% of the public with no questions asked? NOT! It’s still the SEC, and it’s a road game against an Ole Miss team with talent. It’s not going to be a run in the park and Auburn has to deal with the Rebel's talented QB. There’s an opportunity the Ole Miss O clicks on all cylinders and scores like it did against Georgia in the 45-14 win. Marquis Haynes was a disruptive force in the Rebels’ 27-19 victory last year, when he made a season-high 6 tackles. He’s been Ole Miss’ best defensive player, leading the Rebels with 5 sacks and 7 tackles for loss. Remember that Ole Miss was ahead by three TD's against Florida St and Alabama (lost both tho). If the Tigers fall behind, QB White is averaging only 14 completions. He reached his season-highs for completions (19) in Auburn’s 18-13 victory over LSU last month. That's not good enough and the beginning recipe of an upset. Look for Mississippi's Akeem Judd to balance the Ole Miss offense with his running and Kelly's best in the SEC passing game. Ole Miss has to be one of the most frustrating teams in the country and looking to take it out on a Tiger team that's in the spotlight. With Chad Kelly, Evan Ingram and a defense featuring several legitimate NFL prospects, this team has the talent to be fighting for a playoff spot instead of fighting for bowl eligibility. This feels like a Chad Kelly game, so expect 40-45 throws from the Rebels signal-caller and the basis of this upset. Ole Miss should get big games from their talented receiving corps. Damore’ea Stringfellow and Quincy Adeboyejo are big, fast options on the outside while freshman Van Jefferson is a smooth route-runner in the slot. Put 25% of you bet on the money line for added profits.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Simon

Mary 5
stanford 5.5
wash 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Freddy Wills

Miami -1.5 5.5% NCAAF POD.

Ole MIss +10.5 / Nebraska +15.5 4.4% Teaser.

TEXAS +155 2.5% PLAY.

Michigan State +24.5 3.3% / Mich St +1475 0.25%.

Connecticut +7 2.2% play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux college football picks for week 9


Saturday


10* Duke/Georgia Tech over 48.5
10* Army +7
10* Miami FL +1
10* Georgia +7.5
10* TCU -7
10* Baylor/Texas over 69.5
20* Louisiana Tech -24
10* Ohio State -23
10* Tulsa +7
10* Oregon State +15.5
10* Washington State/Oregon State under 61.5
10* UNLV -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

6 Unit Play Take# 132 Wake Forest -7 over Army (3:30pm est)
4 Unit Play Take #155 West Virginia -3.5 over Oklahoma State (12:00pm est)
4 Unit Play Take #120 Eastern Michigan -7 over Miami Ohio (3:30pm est)
3 Unit Play Take #152 Iowa State +6.5 over Kansas State (12:00pm est)
3 Unit Play Take #169 Northwestern +27.5 over Ohio State (3:30pm est)
3 Unit Play Take #138 'under' 68 Kansas/Oklahoma (7:00pm est)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

6-Unit Play. #136. Take TCU -9 over Texas Tech (Saturday @ 3:30pm est)
3-Unit Play. #131. Take Army +7 over Wake Forrest (Saturday @ 3:30pm est)
3-Unit Play. #178. Take Florida -7.5 over Georgia (Saturday @ 3:30pm est)
4-Unit Play. #164. Take Tulane -2.5 over Southern Methodist (Saturday @ 4pm est)
3-Unit Play. #202. Take Oregon -8 over Arizona State (Saturday @ 5pm est)
3-Unit Play. #138. Take Oklahoma -40.5 over Kansas (Saturday @ 7pm est)
3-Unit Play. #172. Take Wisconsin -8.5 over Nebraska (Saturday @ 7pm est)
3-Unit Play. #149. Take Clemson -4.5 over Florida State (Saturday @ 8pm est)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports cheetah 5% for this weekend.

NCAAF Week 9 #2
Game: (163) SMU at (164) TULANE
Date/Time: Oct 29 2016 4:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 5%
Play: TULANE 2.0 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin:

130 Temple -7
131 Army +6.5
161 Tulsa +6.5
205 New Mexico +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Megalocks

auburn -3
Nebraska +9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Zach Cimini
Army +6
Tulane -3
Temple -7.5
Baylor -3.5
Texas A&M -43.5