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Football
10 Utah +10.5 ov Washington 3:30pm
6 Oklahoma State +3.5 ov West Virginia 12:00pm
6 Clemson -4 ov Florida State 8:00pm
6 Arkansas State -20.5 ov UL Monroe 7:00pm
5 Indiana -3.5 ov Maryland 3:30pm
5 UTSA -3.5 ov North Texas 7:00pm
Baseball
3 Cleveland +120 ov Chicago 8:08pm
Miami Florida comes into this game with a 4-3 SU record, but they are on a 3-game SU and ATS losing streak.* The Hurricanes will play back-to-back road games, and they will also be on the road for the fourth time in their last six games.* Miami’s offense is in terrible current form as they’ve scored 19 points or less in each of their last three games while scoring a total of just 48 points in those games.* Overall, Miami is averaging 33.7 points per game on 6.8 yards per play, but they’ve played a terrible group of opposing defenses that are giving up 31.6 points per game on 5.9 yards per play.* The Hurricanes will now play a Notre Dame defense that is only allowing 27.7 points per game on 5.5 yards per play.* That’s -3.9 points per game and -0.4 yards per play less than the defenses Miami has faced this season.
Notre Dame has had a disappointing season to say the least.* The Irish come into this game with a poor 2-5 SU record, but they’ve been a competitive bunch.* All five of Notre Dame’s losses have come by 8 points or less with their defeats coming by a total of 28 points.* The Irish are off back-to-back losses, but they are also off a week of rest, so we expect a peak performance in this game.* Notre Dame is averaging 30.3 points per game on 6.0 yards per play versus defenses that only gave up 26.8 points per game on 5.7 yards per play.* Those numbers show Notre Dame is a much better team than their record indicates.* We’ll back Notre Dame in this game on Saturday afternoon.
Arizona State and Oregon match-up well for a high-scoring game on Saturday.* The Sun Devils have a potent offense that is averaging 35.7 points per game versus defenses that give up 31.6 points per game on 5.8 yards per play.* The Sun Devils will now face a woeful Oregon defense that is giving up 43.3 points per game on 6.2 yards per play versus offenses that average 35.8 points per game on 6.0 yards per play.* Arizona State scored 55 points on 742 yards of offense against the Ducks last season.* QB Manny Wilkins is doubtful with an arm injury today, but he has mediocre numbers this season and the backup quarterback is more than capable of still moving the ball against this terrible Oregon defense.* This total is also several points lower now because of the injury which has created line value.
Oregon also has a potent offense.* The Ducks are averaging 38.6 points per game on 6.6 yards per play versus defenses that are only giving up 28.6 points per game on 5.8 yards per play.* Oregon will now face an Arizona State defense that has been atrocious this season.* The Sun Devils are giving up 34.4 points per game on 6.4 yards per play versus offenses that average 33.5 points per game on 6.3 yards per play.* Oregon scored 61 points on ‘just’ 499 yards of offense against the Sun Devils last year.* Look for a high-scoring game between Arizona State an Oregon on Saturday.
Play OVER (Arizona State/Oregon) as a 3% play.
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(3% play) *FLORIDA STATE +4.5 (vs. Clemson) - 8:00 pm ET (time-change) (ABC) #150
Clemson is a perfect 7-0 SU on the season, but they’ve only played two ‘real’ opponents so far.* The Tigers struggled mightily at Auburn in their season opener; they won that game 19-13.* Their other tough game ended in a 42-36 come from behind home win over Louisville.* The Tigers’ offense is averaging 36.6 points per game on 6.2 yards per play, but they’ve put those numbers up against a poor slate of opposing defenses.* Clemson will now face a Florida State defense that only gives up 17.0 points per game on 5.6 yards per play at home.* That’s 19.6 points and 0.6 yards per play of production that Clemson has too make up in order to reach their seasonal averages.
Florida State comes into this game with a 5-2 SU record, including a 2-1 home record where they’ve won by a combined score of 69-14.* The Seminoles are averaging 34.9 points per game on 6.3 yards per play versus defenses that give up 28.4 points per game on 5.3 yards per play.* Clemson has good defensive numbers, but they’ve faced offenses that average 30 points per game on 5.8 yards per play.* Florida State’s running game averages 213 yards per game on 4.9 yards per rush.* Clemson allowed Louisville to run for 273 yards, and the Tigers trailed in that game 36-28 on their home field late in the fourth quarter.* The look-ahead line was Florida State -3 when this season began, so recent results have now created solid value with the Seminoles.* This game will be close throughout, so we’ll take the points with Florida State as a home underdog on Saturday night.
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