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Larry Ness' 10* Sunday NFL Wk 8 Las Vegas Insider
My 10* NFL Week 8 Las Vegas Insider is on the Ind Colts at 1:00 ET
The Colts’ Andrew Luck had arguably his best game of his 2016 season last Sunday, completing 27 of 39 for 353 yards with three TDs in Indy's 34-26 win at Tennessee. He diT throw for 385 yards with four TDs in Week 1 but the Colts lost that game plus his QB rating was 119.5 in Week 1, compared to the 123.1 he earned last Sunday. The victory allowed the Colts to climb with in a game (3-4) of reaching .500 and it sure didn’t hurt that Houston also lost Monday night 27-9 at Denver, as the Texans fell to 4-3. The Chiefs won 27-21 in Week 7 to move to 4-2, surviving despite Drew Brees completing 37 of 48 for 367 yards with three TDs. KC was outgained 463-326 in yards by the Saints but two New Orleans TOs (to none by KC), evened things out, especially Brees’ lone interception getting returned 48 yards for a TD.
Luck is averaging 296.3 YPG through the air (64.9% completions with a 14-4 ratio) and should be chomping at the bit to get at the KC secondary. It’s also good news for the Colts that after averaging just 90.0 YPG on the ground through their first five games, the Colts have run for 242 yards (121.0 per) the last two games. Indy’s defense is a problem (28.6 PPG) but the Colts can surely match points with a KC offense led by Alex Smith here at home. Smith hardly misfired last Sunday, completing 19 of 22 for 224 yards but he didn’t have TD throw. He got unexpected help from RB Ware (taking over for the still not healthy Jamaal Charles), who ran for 131 yards on 5.5 YPC. However, let’s note that in KC’s first five games, the Chiefs averaged just 72.2 YPG on the ground.
KC is 3-0 at home in 2016 but outside of a surprising 26-10 win in Oakland, the Chiefs lost at Houston (scored just 12 points) and were routed at Pittsburgh 43-14, when a healthy Big Ben torched that KC secondary by completing 22 of 27 for 300 yards with five TDs and no INTs, earning a QB rating of 152.5! Again, doesn’t Luck have to be ‘licking his chops?’ I conclude with the following. In Luck’s first three seasons (when fully healthy), he led the Colts to a 19-5 SU record at home and Indy is 2-1 SU and ATS at home this year. However, of even more important note is the Colts have been a home dog just eight times since Luck has been the team's starting QB (beginning in 2012) and they are a PERFECT 8-0 ATS! “Case closed,” as Archie Bunker made famous.
My 10* NFL Week 8 Las Vegas Insider is on the Ind Colts at 1:00 ET
The Colts’ Andrew Luck had arguably his best game of his 2016 season last Sunday, completing 27 of 39 for 353 yards with three TDs in Indy's 34-26 win at Tennessee. He diT throw for 385 yards with four TDs in Week 1 but the Colts lost that game plus his QB rating was 119.5 in Week 1, compared to the 123.1 he earned last Sunday. The victory allowed the Colts to climb with in a game (3-4) of reaching .500 and it sure didn’t hurt that Houston also lost Monday night 27-9 at Denver, as the Texans fell to 4-3. The Chiefs won 27-21 in Week 7 to move to 4-2, surviving despite Drew Brees completing 37 of 48 for 367 yards with three TDs. KC was outgained 463-326 in yards by the Saints but two New Orleans TOs (to none by KC), evened things out, especially Brees’ lone interception getting returned 48 yards for a TD.
Luck is averaging 296.3 YPG through the air (64.9% completions with a 14-4 ratio) and should be chomping at the bit to get at the KC secondary. It’s also good news for the Colts that after averaging just 90.0 YPG on the ground through their first five games, the Colts have run for 242 yards (121.0 per) the last two games. Indy’s defense is a problem (28.6 PPG) but the Colts can surely match points with a KC offense led by Alex Smith here at home. Smith hardly misfired last Sunday, completing 19 of 22 for 224 yards but he didn’t have TD throw. He got unexpected help from RB Ware (taking over for the still not healthy Jamaal Charles), who ran for 131 yards on 5.5 YPC. However, let’s note that in KC’s first five games, the Chiefs averaged just 72.2 YPG on the ground.
KC is 3-0 at home in 2016 but outside of a surprising 26-10 win in Oakland, the Chiefs lost at Houston (scored just 12 points) and were routed at Pittsburgh 43-14, when a healthy Big Ben torched that KC secondary by completing 22 of 27 for 300 yards with five TDs and no INTs, earning a QB rating of 152.5! Again, doesn’t Luck have to be ‘licking his chops?’ I conclude with the following. In Luck’s first three seasons (when fully healthy), he led the Colts to a 19-5 SU record at home and Indy is 2-1 SU and ATS at home this year. However, of even more important note is the Colts have been a home dog just eight times since Luck has been the team's starting QB (beginning in 2012) and they are a PERFECT 8-0 ATS! “Case closed,” as Archie Bunker made famous.
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