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5* - Michigan -24 over Indiana ...... 3:30 EST Start Time
I'm laying the points with Michigan on Saturday. This line opened as high as 28 in Las Vegas. The number was adjusted when it was announced QB Wilton Speight would miss the rest of the regular season with a collarbone injury. HC Jim Harbaugh said as recently as Thursday morning that Speight may play. However, we highly doubt he'll be able to take the field on Saturday. John O'Korn is likely to start this week's game with Indiana and we believe the Wolverines' offense is in quality hands. As Harbaugh said, O'Korn exudes confidence and his teammates believe he can get the job done. You'll remember he threw for more than 3,100 yards in his first season at Houston, with 28 TD passes and 10 INTs. He's obviously surrounded by better talent than he was then, including no less than four RBs who have rushed for at least 405 yards each, led by De'Veon Smith, who has rushed for nearly 600 yards on the season. The U-M defense is the stingiest in CFB in total yards allowed per game, passing yards allowed per game, and points allowed per game. They're also strong against the run and we note that the Hoosiers are on a 2-9 ATS slide against teams that allow no more than 3.25 yards per carry. Indiana has allowed 108 points in their last three games, but won two contests thanks to the offense. We suspect they'll be unable to "keep up" in this one. Michigan enters on a 7-1 ATS run off a SU loss. And while they have Ohio State next, last week's loss to Iowa, and the fact they're still in the top-4 in the playoff rankings should keep them focused on the task at hand. I believe the line has been over-adjusted and I'm laying the points with Michigan on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
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