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NFL*|*DENVER*at*KANSAS CITY
Play Under - Home teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team
41-15*over the last 10 seasons.**(*73.2%*|*24.5 units*)
2-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*2.0 units*)
NFL*|*DENVER*at*KANSAS CITY
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (DENVER) off a home loss, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season
44-21*over the last 10 seasons.**(*67.7%*|*0.0 units*)
4-1*this year.**(*80.0%*|*0.0 units*)
NFL*|*BALTIMORE*at*PITTSBURGH
Play Under - Home teams against the total versus division opponents, off a win against a division rival
41-15*over the last 5 seasons.**(*73.2%*|*24.5 units*)
3-3*this year.**(*50.0%*|*-0.3 units*)
CBB*|*SAN FRANCISCO*at*SAN DIEGO ST
Play On - Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (SAN DIEGO ST) an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more
54-23*since 1997.**(*70.1%*|*28.7 units*)
CBB*|*SAN FRANCISCO*at*SAN DIEGO ST
Play Against - Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (SAN FRANCISCO) hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, a top-level team (>= 80%) playing a good team (60% to 80%)
372-122*since 1997.**(*75.3%*|*100.5 units*)
3-3*this year.**(*50.0%*|*-3.3 units*)
CBB*|*ILLINOIS ST*at*TULSA
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, in December games
73-35*since 1997.**(*67.6%*|*34.5 units*)
6-3*this year.**(*66.7%*|*2.7 units*)
NBA*|*LA CLIPPERS*at*LA LAKERS
Play Over - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less
84-42*since 1997.**(*66.7%*|*37.8 units*)
7-2*this year.**(*77.8%*|*4.8 units*)
NBA*|*MINNESOTA*at*OKLAHOMA CITY
Play On - Any team vs the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, on Sunday games
53-30*over the last 5 seasons.**(*63.9%*|*30.1 units*)
6-2*this year.**(*75.0%*|*4.8 units*)
NBA*|*GOLDEN STATE*at*CLEVELAND
Play Against - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (CLEVELAND) off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite
29-8*since 1997.**(*78.4%*|*20.2 units*)
1-1*this year.**(*50.0%*|*-0.1 units*)
Oh, come all ye HondoNation faithful, joyful and triumphant — at least you were until Week 15 when Hondo found himself caught in a mini-polar vortex that put a 7-8-1 chill in his recent hot streak.
Nevertheless, if you gather ’round the Bettor’s Guide pages and feast your eyes on the wonderful presents below, chances are you’ll log your share of winners.
Steelers over Ravens: According to Richard Johnson, a movie script about Monica Lewinsky’s romping White House internship is being shopped in Hollywood? One thing is for sure, the role of the Portly Pepperpot can’t be played by someone weak in the knees.
Chiefs over Broncos: Obama, speaking at his get-away day press conference before leaving for Hawaii last Friday, claimed he issued a stern warning to Vladimir Putin in September about trying to influence the election by hacking, telling him “to cut it out” or face “serious consequences.” When Putin heard that he no doubt laughed and responded, “What are you going to do, Barack, draw a red line?”
Lions over Cowboys: The ’Boys haven’t covered in a month, and Hondo has the losses to show for it. They will win, but it will be a late Christmas miracle produced by the missile toe of Dan Bailey.
Best Bets: Patriots, Packers, Steelers.
Thursday: Giants (L).
Merry Christmas to all and to all a big bunch of Week 16 winners.
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