12-31-16

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Shaker

273 Ohio St. / 274 Clemson UNDER 61.0 WestgateAnalysis: We have the #5 and #9 Defense Teams in Division 1 squaring off in this game and there is no doubt of course that this is a Big Game for each as the winner will play for all the Marbles. It's hard to imagine why Odds Makers have set this one as high as they have considering the facts above. Both of these teams have strong defensive team speed. Ohio State especially has been very stingy with points allowed this season. What is most interesting is that this will be the highest Posted Point Total for Michigan over their last 10 games played. We love this game to go UNDER and all 4 of our CFB Totals Models agree with us. Those Models actually pick totals differently but each of them project Mid 50's for this game. I am not ready to tell you what you can play this number down to because there are some injury situations to go over but the current number is good enough for us.

Tuesday 12/27 Update: For now this is a 3% Play to 58.5 but that could change downward and if it does I will let you know..

Thursday 12/29 Update: Recommending now for 3% to 58 and the final adjustment. Anything below that and this play will be a NO GO..


Pick Made: Dec 11 2016 6:55AM PST

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Computer group

2* Kent over

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WAYNE ROOT


MILL--Kentucky +
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No Limit--Ohio State -
Clemson, Ohio State and Alabama have become staples of the reconstituted holiday Final Four. The Fiesta winner will advance to the title game Jan. 9. Ohio State's only loss came when Penn State blocked a punt and a field goal in the fourth quarter, returning the blocked field goal for a touchdown in a 24-21 comeback victory on Oct. 22. The Buckeyes are well tested this season. They have been here before, taking care of business to tie things in regulation against Michigan and Wisconsin, before winning in overtime, and also beating Michigan State and Northwestern in one-score games. For Clemson, Deshaun Watson has thrown 15 interceptions and against OSU's secondary and the added pressure of this game, those stats will change. Ohio State’s Malik Hooker is one of the best safeties in the country. The sophomore has 6 interceptions, returning three for touchdowns. Ohio State’s standout defense did not allow an opponent to score more than 30 points in 2016. Ohio State ranked third nationally in turnover margin with a plus-16 mark this fall. The Buckeyes gained 25 turnovers and only lost nine in 12 games. On the other sideline, Clemson ranked 68th nationally. Offensively for Ohio St, Quarterback J.T. Barrett, running back Mike Weber and athletic runner/receiver Samuel helped Ohio State average 480 yards and 40.2 points a game. Junior Barrett has passed for 2,428 yards and 24 touchdowns and rushed for 847 yards and nine touchdowns. He is 26-3 as a starter. It will be a great game with Ohio St coming out on top.
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Inner Circle--Washington +
The Bama point spread opened at -14. Then it went to -15 and then -16. The public couldn't stop betting on them. Then the smart money got involved moving the line back to -14 where it currently stands. To cover this, look for Washington to use their ground game to get yardage and eat up the clock. Huskies sophomore Myles Gaskin fuels the running attack with 1,339 yards and 10 touchdowns. Junior backup Lavon Coleman sports a stellar 7.8 average while rushing for 836 yards and seven touchdowns. The Huskies have more speed than Bama has seen all season. Additionally, the SEC has not had to come up against great passing quarterback like Washington has on the field. Good QB's don't end up in the SEC because those great defenses will slaughter them. Sophomore quarterback Jake Browning passed for 3,280 yards and a school-record 42 touchdowns while winning Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Year honors. He threw a school-record six touchdown passes twice this season, and is considered to be just scratching his potential. This is a very balanced quick team. Special teams could enter the picture in a big way and favor the PAC-12 representative. Washington hopes to get a big play in the return game. Junior receiver John Ross, who caught 76 passes for 1,122 yards and 17 touchdowns, has four career kickoff-return touchdowns. Junior wideout Dante Pettis (14 touchdown catches this season) has five career punt-return scores. These are the type of plays that have the underdog cover a double-digit spread. We have read and seen just about every play and every highlight on Sportscenter for the entire season on Alabama. No need to tell you that 70% of the country loves them.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NHL*|*ARIZONA*at*CALGARY
Play Against - Any team against the money line (CALGARY) after a game where they failed to cover the spread against opponent after failing to cover the spread in 6 or more consecutive games
45-27*over the last 5 seasons.**(*62.5%*|*32.5 units*)
2-1*this year.**(*66.7%*|*2.4 units*)

NHL*|*ARIZONA*at*CALGARY
Play Against - Any team against the money line (CALGARY) after 1 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 6 or more consecutive losses
45-27*over the last 5 seasons.**(*62.5%*|*32.5 units*)
2-1*this year.**(*66.7%*|*2.4 units*)

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StatFox Super Situations

NBA*|*NEW YORK*at*HOUSTON
Play Against - Home teams (HOUSTON) after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, on Saturday games
111-62*over the last 5 seasons.**(*64.2%*|*42.8 units*)
10-6*this year.**(*62.5%*|*3.4 units*)

NBA*|*MILWAUKEE*at*CHICAGO
Play On - Any team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games
77-49*since 1997.**(*61.1%*|*38.0 units*)
2-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*2.2 units*)

NBA*|*NEW YORK*at*HOUSTON
Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 105 hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days
29-8*over the last 5 seasons.**(*78.4%*|*20.2 units*)
1-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*1.0 units*)

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StatFox Super Situations

CBB*|*GONZAGA*at*PACIFIC
Play Over - All teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games
46-18*since 1997.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
2-1*this year.**(*66.7%*|*0.9 units*)

CBB*|*WI-MILWAUKEE*at*CLEVELAND ST
Play On - Road underdogs vs. the money line (WI-MILWAUKEE) after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record
122-162*since 1997.**(*43.0%*|*75.7 units*)
2-2*this year.**(*50.0%*|*0.7 units*)

CBB*|*LOUISVILLE*at*INDIANA
Play Under - Neutral court teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 after allowing 80 points or more against opponent after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game
112-60*since 1997.**(*65.1%*|*46.0 units*)
2-3*this year.**(*40.0%*|*-1.3 units*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INTPICKS

Saturday, December 31, 2016
(lines are current as of 2:45 AM ET)

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

#270
2 Star
11:00 AM ET
Kentucky vs Georgia Tech
Take Georgia Tech -3


#267
1 Star
11:00 AM ET
LSU vs Louisville
Take LSU -3


#272
3 Star
3:00 PM ET
Washington vs Alabama
Take Alabama -14
(3 Stars up to -16)


#274
2 Star
7:00 PM ET
Ohio St vs Clemson
Take Clemson +3


NBA

#506
2 Stars
7:05 PM ET
Milwaukee @ Chicago
Take Chicago -2


#507
1 Star
8:05 PM ET
NY @ Houston
Play Over 221


COLLEGE BASKETBALL

#607
1 Star
1:00 PM ET
W Illinois @ INDPU
Take WIU +11


#586
2 Stars
6:00 PM ET
Colorado St @ Boise St
Take Boise St -6

Free Pick

COLLEGE BASKETBALL
#599
1 Star
12:00 PM ET
Tennessee St @ Murray St
Take Tennessee St -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

CFB*|*IOWA*at*FLORIDA
Play On - Any team (IOWA) after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games
46-18*over the last 5 seasons.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
7-5*this year.**(*58.3%*|*1.5 units*)

CFB*|*IOWA*at*FLORIDA
Play Against - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (FLORIDA) after allowing 37 points or more last game against opponent after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points
27-9*since 1997.**(*75.0%*|*0.0 units*)
2-1*this year.**(*66.7%*|*0.0 units*)

CFB*|*OHIO ST*at*CLEMSON
Play On - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CLEMSON) after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season
72-37*since 1997.**(*66.1%*|*0.0 units*)
1-1*this year.**(*50.0%*|*0.0 units*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Blue RIBBON Saturday Bowls:

Clemson + 3,

Kentucky + 4,

LSU -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports NCAA BB Selections for Saturday, December 31st
500,000* College Football Playoffs Super Lock of the Year!!!!!
Ohio State Buckeyes - 2 1/2

You Win or we'll email you Sunday's Early NFL Update Free of Charge!!!

NCAA FB Best Bets
LSU - 3
Kentucky + 3 1/2
Washington + 14
Kentucky/Georgia Tech under 62 1/2
Washington/Alabama under 52 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports NBA Selections for Saturday, December 31st
500,000* NBA Western Conference Lock of the Month!!!!!
Utah Jazz - 10

You Win or we'll email you Sunday's NBA Update Free of Charge!!!

NBA Best Bets
Cleveland - 2
Milwaukee + 2 1/2
Houston - 9
Oklahoma City - 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports NCAA BB Selections for Saturday, December 31st
500,000* College Basketball on CBS Lock of the Month!!!!!
Indiana Hoosiers + 2 1/2

You Win or we'll email you Sunday's NCAA BB Update Free of Charge!!!

NCAA BB Best Bets
Notre Dame + 1
Marshall - 4
Wisconsin-Milwaukee + 5
Miami-Florida - 6

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The Stratosphere Release for Early Saturday, December 31st

The Stratosphere Release!!!!

LSU/Louisville under 59 1/2

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The Stratosphere Release for Late Saturday, December 31st


The Stratosphere Release!!!!!

Ohio State/Clemson under 58 1/2