3-10-17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns | CBB Total Fri, 03/10/17 - 12:00 PM double-dime bet 525 Davidson / 526 Dayton UNDER 144.5 Sportsbook.ag

Analysis: I'm playing on Davidson and Dayton to finish UNDER the total. These teams played a relatively high-scoring game against each other a few weeks. With this being a tourney game, I'm expecting more defensive intensity in this afternoon's rematch.This will be just the second time this season that the Wildcats played two games in two days. The first time it happened was back on 11/18. After being involved in a high-scoring game against Clemson the previous day, Davidson had an O/U line in the high 150s for their game against Missouri. Yet, the Wildcats delivered a dominant defensive performance, keeping the Tigers to 55 points in a game that fell below the total by more than 30 points. Unlike Davidson, Dayton didn't played yesterday. The Flyers have been off since a 3/4 loss at G.W. Note that the UNDER is 2-0 in two games which had a total this season, when the Flyers played with five or six day's rest in between games. Even with yesterday's game finishing above the number, the Wildcats have still seen the UNDER go a profitable 7-3 when playing a game with an O/U line in the 140s. The UNDER is also 7-4 their last 11 tournament games. Expect those stats to improve Friday afternoon. Pick Made: Mar 9 2017 3:18PM PST

Ben Burns | CBB Sides Fri, 03/10/17 - 2:30 PM triple-dime bet 520 Minnesota 1.0 (-110) Sportsbook.ag vs 519 Michigan St.

Analysis: I'm playing on MINNESOTA. I won with the Spartans when these teams met on 1/11. At the time, a lot of people were backing the underdog Gophers, who were playing with 'revenge' from a 1-point loss on 12/27. I opted to lay the small number with the Spartans though, expecting their homecourt to prove too much to overcome. They rewarded me with a 65-47 victory, jumping out to a 39-17 lead by half. This one, however, is at the Verizon Center and I expect an entirely different result. The Gophers made remarkable progress this season, a 15-game turnaround from last year. Getting knocked out in their first tournament game and losing all three to the Spartans is NOT the way that they want their Big Ten campaign to come to an end. I expect an extremely motivated effort and I expect them to be far more ready to play than they were last time. Note that Minnesota is 7-2 ATS and 8-1 SU the last nine times that it attempted to avenge an earlier road loss. The Gophers have the second best RPI (behind Purdue) in the Big Ten. They hold opposing teams to a 39.6% field goal percentage, which is best in the Big Ten. They also rank #1 in 3-point defense, limiting opposing teams to 30.8% from beyond the arc.One of the impressive things about the Gophers' defense is that its been every bit as good on the road as it has been at home. Thats helped lead to a winning (6-5) road record. On the other hand, the Spartans give u‰p considerably more points on the road (72.1) than they do at home. On the road, they allow opposing teams to connect on 43.3% of their shots. When the teams last met, the Gophers were part way through a 5-game losing streak. They're arguably playing much better now. Though they did lose their last one, they'd previously won eight straight. Look for their superior defense to be the difference, as they bounce back and "take the next step" by beating the Spartans and earning a tournament win

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher
Pittsburgh Penguins + Edmonton Oilers OVER 5.5
(System Record: 60-4, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 60-60-15

Rest of the Plays
none

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Basketball Crusher
Minnesota +1 over Michigan State
(System Record: 62-4, won last game)
Overall Record: 62-68-4

Rest of the Plays
Georgia +9.5 over Kentucky
Duke +3 over North Carolina
Southern +2 over Alcorn State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Crusher
FC Linz + OVAustria Lustenau OVER 2
This match happening in Austria
(System Record: 1108-34, lost last game and a push)
Overall Record: 1108-846-179

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cal Sports 5%

North Carolina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover | CBB Sides - Friday, Mar 10 2017 12:00PM 518 Purdue -3.0(-110) Greek vs 517 Michigan double-dime bet

Analysis:Sometimes a near death experience can give you an emotional lift and provide a spark to having a great day. That was the case for the Michigan basketball team on Thursday. The Wolverines arrived the morning of their Thursday morning game against Illinois in their Big Ten Conference game and shot 53.6 percent from the floor in dispatching the Illini, 75-55. It was a remarkable performance from the Wolverines considering the harrowing circumstances they had just endured. Michigan's team plane left for Washington D.C., site of the tournament, on Wednesday. However, the charter plane careened off the runway during takeoff. After enduring a sleepless night with travel plans not firmed up, the Wolverines were able to catch an early Thursday morning bumpy flight and then endure a 90-minute bus ride to Verizon Center. Despite not having the benefit of the usual film work and walk-through game preparations, Michigan took the court after the start time was pushed back 20 minutes and played one of its finest games. The Wolverines were loose knowing how fortunate they were. But Michigan also was a five-point favorite in that game. Now, the Wolverines have to play an early morning game again this time against a far superior opponent and without the adrenaline and life rush they experienced yesterday. The Wolverines also have the contentment of knowing they are almost certain to be picked for the NCAA Tournament. Purdue is 8-1 in its last nine games. The Boilermakers' lone loss during this span came to Michigan on the road on Feb. 25. Purdue wants revenge. Prior to that defeat, the Boilermakers were 7-1-1 ATS the past nine times facing Michigan. Purdue has made the semifinals of the Big Ten tournament each of the past two years. The Boilermakers have the best player on the court in Big Ten Player of the Year Caleb Swanigan. Purdue has been a huge money-maker when laying points going 21-7-3 (75 percent) the past 31 times.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover | CBB Sides - Friday, Mar 10 2017 7:00PM 574 Iowa St. -4.0(-110) Greek vs 573 TCU triple-dime bet

Analysis:Tremendous job by TCU in stunning top-seeded Kansas, 85-82, yesterday in the Big 12 Conference Tournament. Unfortunately for the Horned Frogs they have no time to celebrate such a heady accomplishment. Iowa State is by far the superior team and catches TCU in a big letdown spot. The Horned Frogs had never defeated a top-three overall ranked team in 17 previous tries. They had entered the Big 12 tournament riding a seven-game losing streak. TCU was 2-10 the past 12 times versus .500 foes before upsetting the Jayhawks. Now the Horned Frogs' season has been made. The Cyclones are 7-1 in their last eight games, including rolling past TCU, 84-71, at home on Feb. 18. Iowa State has that needed excellent senior point guard in Monte Morris, who is playing with a chip on his shoulder after not being named a finalist for the Bob Cousy Award for nation's top point guard.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr Bob

UT Arlington
Rhode Island

Dayton
Minnesota

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik

3* Big Ten GOY

518 Purdue -2.5 (-110) William Hill vs 517 Michigan
ADDED PLAY

Fezzik | CBB Sides Fri, 03/10/17 - 9:00 PM ‡Å
triple-dime bet 524 Maryland -1.0 (-110) Westgate vs 523 Northwestern
Analysis: *BET ASAP

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MVP LOCK CLUB

LOCK OF THE DAY

North Carolina -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

3* Indiana/Milwaukee Over 207.5 (line now down to 206.5)

[golden contender]

GC: SEC Play

Friday Conference tournament TV Play of the year tonight leads powerful Hoops card with several high powered 2nd round tourney systems and a 100% NBA Blowout side. SEC Comp play below

The SEC Comp play is on Florida at 7:00 eastern. This is a right back revenge spot for the rested Gators tonight as they lost the regular season finale to Vanderbilt. The Commodores won and covered last night against Texas A@M but his will be much tougher and they have lost both neutral court games to top 25 teams and they are 1-8 ats in this tourney vs a team off a straight up and ats loss. Florida has covered 17 of 23 as a favorite and won both times on a neutral court vs top 50 teams. With Florida 18-3 to the spread in their last 21 wins we will back Florida here. On Friday another massive card is up and led by the TV Game of the year and several more powerful 2nd round super systems and a big NBA Blowout. Wednesday and Thursday cards cashed big. now we get the weekend started off fast. For the free pick. Play on Florida. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

Maryland
Creighton
Richmond

All 10 units

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Kelso

200 Iowa St