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Robert Ferring MLB
1-Unit Play. Take #954 Arizona (-135) over Pittsburgh (9:40 p.m.)
I'll take Zack Greinke at this price. The Pirates have been a disaster on the road this year (6-13) and they just got housed in their series at Los Angeles. The home team has won six of eight in this series and the Diamondbacks have been solid in their own stadium, going 21-8 in their last 29 home games.
5-Unit Play. Take #957 Houston (+105) over N.Y. Yankees (7 p.m.)
The Yankees are 12-3 at home this year. I know I have somewhat missed the boat with this Yankees squad, but this is yet another example of them playing over their heads and posting numbers that are just screaming for regression. The Yankees have had a pretty wild and draining week. They pulled off a sweep in Wrigley last weekend, which started with a ninth-inning win and ended with an 18-inning victory. Then they made a random stop in Cincinnati and took a split. This team is going to hit a wall. I think it could be tonight against a team that I think is superior. I also think Dallas Keuchel has been better than Michael Pineda and he's had an extra day of rest. He's coming off his worst start of the year and I expect him to have his good stuff after having his streak of eight straight quality starts snapped. Pineda vacillates between dominant and dubious. He has a 4.75 career ERA against the Astros and current Houston players hit .306 against him collectively. I think we get bad Pineda tonight and the Astros take this first game.
1-Unit Play. Take #959 Seattle (+115) over Toronto (7 p.m.)
The Mariners have won three straight series and have gone 6-1 in their last seven games. They are playing well and should be able to take the first game in this series against sagging Toronto. The Blue Jays are still missing two of their best hitters. And although they are 5-5 in their last 10 games this group has been a mess. There is absolutely no way they should've won yesterday, coming back from a 7-3 deficit, and I don't think they will get that lucky today.
7-Unit Play. Take #967 Boston (-140) over Milwaukee (1 p.m.)
There's no way the Red Sox should've lost last night. They went 2-for-16 with runners in scoring position and hit into three double plays in their 7-4 loss. Oh, and they had to deal with starting Kooky Kendrick, who performed exactly as we suspected. So with all that baggage out of the way, along with the fact that the Red Sox are on the verge of getting swept by the Brewers for a second time in a row, and I have to think that our side has all the motivation here. The Red Sox are better than a .500 team. But if they were to lose today that's exactly what they would be. I don't think it will happen. Boston also has a bid edge on the mound. Eduardo Rodriguez has been getting it going lately and has three straight quality starts against strong opponents. He has a 1.89 ERA in his last 19 innings of work with a 3-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio. He's really only gotten hit hard once this season and that was in his first start of the year. Milwaukee is going with Jimmy Nelson and all this guy does is get shelled. He's given up at least four runs in six of his last 10 starts and his last 19 innings have yielded a 7.10 ERA. The Red Sox lineup should be good to go. And I think they will jump all over Nelson and collect one win before they get out of town.
Today's Totals
2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 7.5 Kansas City at Tampa Bay (1 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 9.0 Boston at Milwaukee (1 p.m.)
Carpe diem. Good luck.
1-Unit Play. Take #954 Arizona (-135) over Pittsburgh (9:40 p.m.)
I'll take Zack Greinke at this price. The Pirates have been a disaster on the road this year (6-13) and they just got housed in their series at Los Angeles. The home team has won six of eight in this series and the Diamondbacks have been solid in their own stadium, going 21-8 in their last 29 home games.
5-Unit Play. Take #957 Houston (+105) over N.Y. Yankees (7 p.m.)
The Yankees are 12-3 at home this year. I know I have somewhat missed the boat with this Yankees squad, but this is yet another example of them playing over their heads and posting numbers that are just screaming for regression. The Yankees have had a pretty wild and draining week. They pulled off a sweep in Wrigley last weekend, which started with a ninth-inning win and ended with an 18-inning victory. Then they made a random stop in Cincinnati and took a split. This team is going to hit a wall. I think it could be tonight against a team that I think is superior. I also think Dallas Keuchel has been better than Michael Pineda and he's had an extra day of rest. He's coming off his worst start of the year and I expect him to have his good stuff after having his streak of eight straight quality starts snapped. Pineda vacillates between dominant and dubious. He has a 4.75 career ERA against the Astros and current Houston players hit .306 against him collectively. I think we get bad Pineda tonight and the Astros take this first game.
1-Unit Play. Take #959 Seattle (+115) over Toronto (7 p.m.)
The Mariners have won three straight series and have gone 6-1 in their last seven games. They are playing well and should be able to take the first game in this series against sagging Toronto. The Blue Jays are still missing two of their best hitters. And although they are 5-5 in their last 10 games this group has been a mess. There is absolutely no way they should've won yesterday, coming back from a 7-3 deficit, and I don't think they will get that lucky today.
7-Unit Play. Take #967 Boston (-140) over Milwaukee (1 p.m.)
There's no way the Red Sox should've lost last night. They went 2-for-16 with runners in scoring position and hit into three double plays in their 7-4 loss. Oh, and they had to deal with starting Kooky Kendrick, who performed exactly as we suspected. So with all that baggage out of the way, along with the fact that the Red Sox are on the verge of getting swept by the Brewers for a second time in a row, and I have to think that our side has all the motivation here. The Red Sox are better than a .500 team. But if they were to lose today that's exactly what they would be. I don't think it will happen. Boston also has a bid edge on the mound. Eduardo Rodriguez has been getting it going lately and has three straight quality starts against strong opponents. He has a 1.89 ERA in his last 19 innings of work with a 3-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio. He's really only gotten hit hard once this season and that was in his first start of the year. Milwaukee is going with Jimmy Nelson and all this guy does is get shelled. He's given up at least four runs in six of his last 10 starts and his last 19 innings have yielded a 7.10 ERA. The Red Sox lineup should be good to go. And I think they will jump all over Nelson and collect one win before they get out of town.
Today's Totals
2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 7.5 Kansas City at Tampa Bay (1 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 9.0 Boston at Milwaukee (1 p.m.)
Carpe diem. Good luck.
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