8-17-17 Info, Trends, Comps, Horse Racing etc...

[Can'tPickAWinner]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, August 17

National League
Reds @ Cubs
Feldman is 0-2, 10.80 in his last three starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight starts. Reds are 4-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-8-2

Lester is 0-1, 5.40 in his last three starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. Cubs are 9-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-10-5

Reds lost five of last seven road games; 10 of their last 11 games went over total. Cubs are 6-8 in last 14 games; over is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

Braves @ Rockies
Sims is 0-3, 6.23 in three starts this year (under 2-1). Atlanta lost his only road start— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-3

Hoffman is 0-3, 7.56 in his last five starts; his last three starts stayed under. Colorado is 4-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-7-1 (2-7-1 last 10).

Braves lost seven of last nine games; over is 15-4-1 in their last 20 road games. Colorado won five of last seven home games; under is 11-3-1 in their last 15 games.

Cardinals @ Pirates
Wainwright is 3-0, 3.21 in his last five starts; over is 6-3-1 in his last ten road starts. Cardinals are 6-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-6-4

Taillon is 1-0, 2.92 in his last two starts; under is 7-2-1 in his last ten. Pirates are 4-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-6-3

Cardinals lost their last three games; their last nine games went over the total. St Louis is 7-12 in road series openers. Pittsburgh lost its last four games; under is 4-1 in their last five games. Pirates are 9-10 in home series openers.

Nationals @ Padres
Jackson is 2-1, 2.89 in his last three starts (under 4-1). Washington split his two road starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 2-2-1

Chacin is 3-1, 3.07 in his last five starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six starts. San Diego is 8-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-12-3

Nationals won five of last seven games; their last six games stayed under. Washington is 13-6 in road series openers. San Diego is 8-2 in last ten home games; under is 6-2 in last eight home tilts. Padres are 12-8 in home series openers

Phillies @ Giants
Nola is 3-1, 1.64 in his last five starts; under is 7-1 in his last eight. Phillies are 4-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-3-6

Samardzija is 3-1, 3.62 in his last four starts; over is 4-2-1 in his last seven. Giants are 5-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-13-4

Philly lost six of last seven games; under is 7-4 in their last 11 road games. Phils are 8-13 in road series openers. Giants lost four of last six games and their last seven home series openers. Last three Giant games went over the total.

——————————–

American League

Rays @ Blue Jays
Archer is 1-1, 4.24 in his last four starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. Rays are 6-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-6-5

Rowley won his first MLB start, allowing one run in 5.1 IP (75 PT) to the Pirates. Jays’ 1st 5-inning record with him: 1-0

Rays lost nine of last 12 games; under is 12-2 in their last 14 games. Toronto won seven of last ten home games; under is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Indians @ Twins
Carrasco is 1-1, 4.55 in his last five starts (over 4-1). Indians are 9-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-6-1 Merritt allowed three runs in four IP (63 PT) in his only ’17 start, June 17 at Pittsburgh. Tribe’s first 5-inning record with him: 1-0

Gibson is 1-3, 6.59 in his last five starts; under is 6-2 in his last nine. Minnesota is 4-7 in his last 11 starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-11-1 Berrios is 0-2, 7.45 in his last four starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight. Minnesota is 6-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-5-2

Indians won their last five games; under is 6-0-2 in their last eight games. Minnesota won seven of its last nine games (over 4-1-4).

White Sox @ Rangers
Lopez allowed two runs in six IP (102 PT) in his first ’17 start, vs KC. Chicago’s first 5-inning record with him: 1-0

Ross is 1-1, 12.08 in his last three starts (over 5-2-1). Texas is 3-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-3-1

White Sox lost their last five games; under is 4-1 in their last five road games. Chicago is 6-14 in road series openers. Texas won six of last seven games; over is 3-2-1 in their last six games. Rangers are 11-9 in home series openers.

__________________________

Interleague

Bronx @ Mets
Severino allowed 10 runs in 4.1 IP last start, after a 4-0, 1.40 run before that; his last four starts went over. Bronx is 6-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-9-3

Matz is 0-5, 9.51 in his last seven starts, last three of which stayed under. Mets are 1-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-8-1

Mets lost four of last five games; under is 7-5-1 in their last 13 games. Bronx is 7-4 in its last 11 games; under is 13-6 in their last 19 games.

Diamondbacks @ Astros
Corbin is 1-2, 8.04 in his last three starts; over is 5-1 in his last six. Arizona is 2-9 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-12-4

Fiers is 0-3, 8.85 in his last four starts; over is 4-0-1 in his last five. Houston is 6-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-10-3

Astros lost six of last nine games; under is 4-3-1 in their last eight games. Arizona lost six of last eight games; over is 5-2 in their last seven road games.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Cin-Cubs: Feldman 8-12; Lester 14-11
Atl-Colo: Sims 0-3; Hoffman 8-7
StL-Pitt: Wainwright 14-8 ; Taillon 9-8
Wsh-SD: Jackson 3-2; Chacin 13-11
Phil-SF: Nola 10-9; Samardzija 10-14

American League
TB-Tor: Archer 13-12; Rowley 1-0
Clev-Minn: Carrasco 16-7 Merritt 1-0; Gibson 10-10 Berrios 10-7
Chi-Tex: Lopez 1-0; Ross 5-3

Interleague
NY-NY Severino 13-10; Matz 3-9
Az-Hst: Corbin 11-13; Fiers 5-1

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League

Cin-Cubs: Feldman 5-20; Lester 9-25
Atl-Colo: Sims 2-3; Hoffman 6-15
StL-Pitt: Wainwright 5-22; Taillon 4-17
Wsh-SD: Jackson 3-5; Chacin 10-24
Phil-SF: Nola 4-19; Samardzija 11-24

American League
TB-Tor: Archer 6-25; Rowley 0-1
Clev-Minn: Carrasco 16-7 Merritt 0-1; Gibson 10-10 Berrios 5-17
Chi-Tex: Lopez 0-1; Ross 4-8

Interleague
NY-NY Severino 5-23; Matz 5-12
Az-Hst: Corbin 12-24; Fiers 1-6

_________________________

Umpires
National League

American League

Interleague

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 69-49 AL, favorites +$427
AL @ NL– 64-59 NL, favorites -$154
Total: 128-113 AL, favorites +$273

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 60-57-3
AL @ NL: Over 64-53-7
Total: Over 124-110-10

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 8/16/17
Ariz 21-23-15……31-21–11……..52-44
Atl 22-30-9……19-30-7………..41-60
Cubs 28-27-6……27-21-10………..55-48
Reds 20-35-6……..22-33–5……….42-68
Colo 31-24-6…….33-21-4………..64-45
LA 28-18-8…….40-18-7……….68-36
Miami 25-27-6…….32-22-7………57-49
Milw 29-20-8…….31-26-8………59-46
Mets 28-28-3……..24-30-5……..52-58
Philly 15-35-13……21-27-7……….36-62
Pitt 29-29-4…….23-26-9………52-55
St. Louis 24-26-8……33-20-9………..57-46
SD 19-36-6……..29-23–7……….48-59
SF 13-40-9……..22-28-9……….38-68
Wash 35-18-5……27-24-8………….62-43

Orioles 24-33-5……..26-27-5………50-60
Boston 25-27-8………28-29-2……..53-56
White Sox 20-32-9………21-32–3……..41-63
Cleveland 32-20-7……..28-21-7……..60-41
Detroit 22-32-9…….26-25-6……..48-57
Astros 30-23-8……..37-19-4……..67-42
KC 24-28-8………23-24-12…….47-52
Angels 22-31-8………26-22-12……..48-53
Twins 33-16-9………25-30-6……..58-45
NYY 23-33-6……….30-23-4…..…53-56
A’s 21-28-7……..26-30-10……..47-58
Seattle 20-29-8……..34-22-9……..54-51
TB 29-22-10……..33-18-8……..62-40
Texas 28-21-10……..29-23-8………57-44
Toronto 23-32-3……..24-29-8……..47-61

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 8/16/17)
Ariz 17-57……..21-62………..37
Atl 13-60……..16-56………..29
Cubs 15-61……..22-58………..37
Reds 24-61……..24-59……….48
Colo 16-61……..21-58..………37
LA 17-54……..24-64..……..41
Miami 24-58……..22-61………46
Milw 20-57……25-66…..…..45
Mets 25-59……..20-59……….45
Philly 16-63……..16-56……….32
Pitt 19-62……..18-58……….37
StL 12-58……..19-61………..31
SD 23-61……..18-58…………41
SF 15-63……..17-59…………32
Wash 24-58……..24-60……….48

Orioles 13-63……..19-59………32
Boston 18-61……..14-59………..32
White Sox 18-61……13-56……….31
Clev 12-59……..19-58………31
Detroit 16-63…….24-58………40
Astros 17-61……..24-59……….41
KC 16-61……..10-59……….26
Angels 21-63…….15-60………..35
Twins 13-56……..13-60……….26
NYY 13-62……..16-57………29
A’s 13-56……..25-66………38
Seattle 19-56…….22-66………41
TB 18-61……..20-61……..38
Texas 22-59……..26-60………48
Toronto 19-58……..17-64………36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, August 17

Trend Report

2:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. HOUSTON
Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Arizona
Houston is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Arizona

2:20 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CHI CUBS
Cincinnati is 5-13 SU in their last 18 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

3:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. COLORADO
Atlanta is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 9 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games at home

4:07 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. TORONTO
Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Tampa Bay is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games

7:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
St. Louis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing St. Louis
Pittsburgh is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing St. Louis

7:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. MINNESOTA
Cleveland9-0-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Cleveland5-0-1 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games ,when playing at home against Cleveland
Minnesota is 6-15-1 SU in its last 22 games ,when playing Cleveland

7:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Yankees are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games at home
NY Mets are 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

8:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. TEXAS
Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
Chi White Sox are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing Texas
Texas is 3-8 SU in their last 11 games when playing Chi White Sox
Texas is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

10:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. SAN DIEGO
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington

10:15 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Philadelphia is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 11 of San Francisco's last 15 games when playing Philadelphia
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL preseason betting: Best quarterbacks to back in August

Many NFL fans were wondering what the Philadelphia Eagles were doing in the offseason leading up to the 2016 campaign. They still had quarterback Sam Bradford but elected to sign career backup Chase Daniel to a three-year contract worth $21 million.

Daniel’s resume did not include much regular season experience. In fact, it would be fair to say Daniel was signed entirely based on the positive reviews from former coaches and, of course, his reps in the silly season – the NFL preseason.

When you’re backing up Drew Brees in New Orleans – a future Hall of Famer who’s missed two games in 10 years – you’re going to have to make the most of your game snaps in August.

Daniel owns a 93.9 career preseason QB rating with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. His teams are 16-9-1 against the spread and the over is 16-10 in preseason games Daniel’s played in.

The Saints reacquired Daniel this offseason and he’s listed as their No. 1 backup to Brees.

Knowing who else qualifies as a so-so starter but a sensational performer in the preseason can be valuable information for NFL bettors this August.

Here’s a quick look at three other backup QBs who shine brightest this time of year. One additional note here - quarterbacks who have been starters for the majority of their careers were dismissed from qualifying in our list. Starters only play significant time in Week 3 and even then coaches appear to be lightening the number of snaps their No. 1 guys get.

Colt McCoy

Current team: Washington Redskins

Preseason career stats: 92.8 QB rating, 68 percent completion percentage

The former Texas Longhorn and Heisman finalist has carved out a career for himself as a reliable backup and spot starter in the pros. McCoy is entering his fourth season in Washington and he’s well versed in head coach Jay Gruden’s offense. The Redskins are 7-3 ATS in preseason games McCoy has appeared in.

NFL teams are a collective 15-10 ATS and the over is 13-11-1 in preseason games McCoy has either started or played in.

McCoy is listed as Washington No. 2 quarterback meaning he should get significant playing time this week when the ‘Skins play the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday. Washington is a 1-point road underdog and the total is 37.5.

Luke McCown

Current team: Dallas Cowboys

Preseason career stats: 92.9 QB rating, 27 TD/7 INT*

The asterisk is to indicate McCown stats only go back as far as 2007. He put up some numbers in the preseason in 2005 and 2006 with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers but that was before NFL stat guys thought it was a good idea to record the game logs in August games. What a bunch of amateurs.

At any rate, McCown is the original gangsta when it comes to preseason excellence. He’s been compiling stats in pro exhibition contests since 2004 and his teams are 21-18-2 in games he’s made appearances in. The over is 24-17 in those 41 preseason games.

McCown was signed by the Cowboys at the end of July to either slot in as their QB3 or to compete for the No. 2 spot behind starter Dak Prescott.

McCown didn’t play for the ‘Boys in the Hall of Fame game but bettors should expect him to see some game action this week when Dallas visits Los Angeles to face the Rams on Saturday. Oddsmakers have the Cowboys as 2.5-point favorites with the total set at 37.5.

AJ McCarron

Current team: Cincinnati Bengals

Preseason career stats: 99.4 QB rating, 7.7 yards per attempt

McCarron, also known as Katherine Webb’s husband, is the new kid on the block with just two years of preseason action under his belt. He’s put up great numbers but the Bengals are 3-4 ATS and the over is 2-5 in McCarron’s seven preseason contests.

Cincinnati is a 2-point favorite Friday against the visiting Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The total is set at 37.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting 101: Best ways to safely handicap the NFL preseason

So you want to bet NFL preseason football, do you?

Steering bettors away from the NFL’s unpredictable exhibition schedule is like trying to convince high school kids to wait until marriage, if you know what we mean. You aren’t going to convince them otherwise so you might as well preach about safe sex - or in this case safe betting habits.

We break down the best ways to handicap the NFL preseason slate and hope you don’t lose your shirt – and pants – by the time Week 1 rolls around:

Read everything

The great thing about the NFL preseason is that books and bettors are on the same level. Coaches don’t reveal their plans until usually the day before a game, and by that time odds have been up for a while. If you catch an online presser or read a quote from a coach spilling the beans on his starters’ playing time, you can quickly get down before the lines adjust.

Research is everything for preseason capping. Find out how many snaps the first teamers will get, what the focal point of the offseason is – offense or defense – and wager accordingly. Also, keep an eye on camp injuries or how veteran players are treating the tune-up games. Some star players go through the motions in August and ones limited by injuries won't risk going all out before the real games start.

A team that is trying to establish some momentum on the ground will likely run the ball a lot – therefore keeping the clock ticking and the final score Under the total. If a team is trying to fill roster spots in the secondary and is plugging in rookies and inexperienced player in its pass defense, than perhaps look at the other team to air it out and exploit those weaknesses.

QB depth

Much the way starting pitchers make up 90 percent of baseball handicapping, quarterbacks hold a similar value when betting on the preseason. It’s the most important position on the field and can single-handedly make or break your bets.

Finding a team with depth at quarterback is the key for success during the exhibition schedule. The No. 1 passer will likely only take a handful of snaps in the first two games of the preseason, turning the offense over to the backups.

Look for teams with an experienced backup under center. Many clubs have veterans and former starters on the roster, guys who won’t be freaked out by the NFL’s big stage like rookie QBs and wet-behind-the-ears free agents. These vets can keep the chains moving and often excel against an opponent’s second and third-tier defense.

New coaches and schemes

The preseason is summer school for many NFL teams transitioning their playbook, whether that be with a new head coach, coordinator or just an overall flip in the way they do things.

New head coaches aren’t necessarily a red flag. They can often feel a little pressured to win in the preseason in order to impress the front office and fan base, which can give some teams added betting value. New coordinators, on the other hand, are working in different plays and schemes, which usually come with a learning curve.

Read up on how teams are adjusting to new systems and offenses, especially if there is a dramatic shift in gears, like speeding up with no-huddle attacks or going from a 4-3 defense to a 3-4. When these teams take on established coaches, who have implemented their systems for a while, there can be value going against those new faces on the sideline.

Preseason lines

Come the regular season, the infamous 3-point spread is everywhere. And while a field-goal line is a key number in football betting, it loses some of its stature in the preseason.

Teams are more likely to go for a two-point conversion or try their luck on fourth-and-short in the preseason than play it safe. Not only do the games not matter, but a fourth down gamble or two-point attempt is an extra set for the offense as it works toward the regular season.

Depending on how those rolls of the dice play out, the final score can either be closer than three points or well over it. It’s rare to see a preseason spread of more than three points with most bouncing between 1-2.5 points.

Week to week

For those looking to bet the closest facsimile of Week 1 action during the preseason, you may want to pass on the first two weeks of exhibitions and save your marbles for Week 3. That’s when starting players tend to log the most time, working the majority of the first half and sometimes into the third quarter.

Week 1 and 2 often has first teams playing limited snaps – depending on the team’s situation – and Week 4 is pretty much a craps shoot. Coaches are making their final cuts, players are fighting to stay on the roster, and the coordinators are tightening the final nuts and bolts of their playbooks.

For those bettors who like a challenge, Week 4 of the preseason could be the trickiest week of the entire NFL schedule – preseason, regular season and playoffs – to wager on.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Thursday's NFL preseason Week 2 primer and odds

Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Blake Bortles is having the training camp from hell. His receivers are showing him up and his head coach doesn't seem to have much faith in him.

With every week we get deeper into the preseason, the closer we get to real football.

The common practice for playing time in Week 2 of the exhibition calendar is for the starters to play the first quarter with the backups playing the second quarter and the scrubs fighting for roster spots playing the second half.

Not all teams follow this staple and that’s why we’re going long to find any nuggets to help our readers gain an edge over this book when betting on the NFL preseason on Thursday.

Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins (-3, 38)

Ravens

Starting quarterback Joe Flacco is out for all of preseason with a bad back meaning bettors will see lots of Ryan Mallett. The Ravens’ de facto No. 1 QB hasn’t impressed in training camp and wasn’t much better in his Week 1 preseason appearance. Mallett completed nine of 18 passes for 58 yards and an average of 3.2 yards per attempt.

Baltimore cut Dustin Vaughan, the guy behind Mallett on the depth chart, and signed veteran Thad Lewis as his replacement. Mallett, Lewis and Josh Woodrum will get all the snaps on Thursday against the Dolphins.

Dolphins

Jay "smoke 'em if you got ‘em" Cutler makes his debut for the Fish on Thursday. The retread QB, formerly of the Bears and Broncos, will start against the Ravens and is expected to play a couple series maybe even all the first quarter.

Matt Moore, who started last week under center, is not expected to get much action this week. Coach Adam Gase is worried about over-extending his 33-year-old veteran.

That leaves Brandon Doughty and David Fales to split the remaining snaps once Culter completes his cameo. Fales went 8-for-17 on his pass attempts and racked up 184 yards and two TDs to one INT last week. Doughty completed seven of his 12 pass attempts and totaled 69 yards through the air with one touchdown pass and one interception.

Miami beat reporters suggest starting running back Jay Ajayi might not play as he is still recovering from a concussion suffered earlier in camp.

Line moves

The total opened at 39.5 but has been bet down to 38 while the Fish have gone from 2.5-point favorites to 3-point chalk.

Buffalo Bills at Philadelphia Eagles (-4, 39.5)

Bills

Buffalo fans are still spinning following the two trades their team made last week shipping its best wide receiver and cornerback out of town. One of the players the Bills got back in the trades, WR Jordan Matthews, is a bit banged up and isn’t expected to play for the rest of the preseason. Ditto for starting left tackle Cordy Glenn.

Rookie QB Nathan Peterman has overtaken T.J. Yates as the team’s top backup under center. Tyrod Taylor will start and play most of the first quarter before giving way to Peterman and Yates.

Eagles

Philly head coach Doug Pederson says his plan for playing time should mirror Week 1 when the starters got one series before heading to the sidelines. Pederson says he might extend their playing time to two drives, but no more.

The Eagles released veteran running back Ryan Matthews earlier this week, clearing the path for LeGarrette Blount to the top of the depth chart.

New wideout Alshon Jeffery is expected to make his first preseason appearance for the Eagles on Thursday, although, Pederson hinted he’d like to see his team do a better job of establishing the run game. Philly picked up just 47 yards on the ground last week on 19 carries against the Green Bay Packers.

Line moves

The spread and total are both holding steady to their opening numbers.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Jacksonville Jaguars (Pick’em, 40.5)

Buccaneers

The Bucs’ starters are expected to play the entire first half against the Jags. Don’t expect wideout Desean Jackson to suit up though, the free agent signee was limited in practice on Tuesday because of a sore ankle.

Tampa will be working in a new kicker after the team cut former 2016 second rounder Roberto Aguayo.

Jaguars

Things aren’t going well for the Jags and we’re just a week into preseason. Starting running back Leonard Fournette will not play against TB because of a foot injury.

Meanwhile starting quarterback Blake Bortles is having a disastrous training camp. He’s tossed two picks in practice over the weekend before head coach Doug Marrone yanked him. Marrone had Bortles sit out more sessions because he said he thought his QB’s arm looked tired. Bortles says his arm is fine.

Awkward.

There have already been a couple videos going viral from practice where Jags receivers can be heard voicing their frustration with the throws they’re getting from Bortles.

Line moves

The total has moved down half a point to 40.5 while the spread when from Jags -1.5 to pick’em.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Baltimore at Miami

ATS Trends
Baltimore

Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Ravens are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.
Ravens are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.

Miami

Dolphins are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games.
Dolphins are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 vs. AFC.

OU Trends
Baltimore

Over is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games overall.
Under is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 Thursday games.

Miami

Over is 5-0 in Dolphins last 5 home games.
Under is 8-0-1 in Dolphins last 9 Thursday games.
Over is 7-1 in Dolphins last 8 vs. AFC.
Over is 6-1 in Dolphins last 7 games overall.
Over is 6-2 in Dolphins last 8 games on grass.

Head to Head

Ravens are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Miami.
Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Miami.
Underdog is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Buffalo at Philadelphia

ATS Trends
Buffalo

Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Bills are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Bills are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.

Philadelphia

Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.

OU Trends
Buffalo

Over is 4-0 in Bills last 4 games on grass.
Over is 10-2 in Bills last 12 games overall.
Under is 5-2 in Bills last 7 Thursday games.

Philadelphia

Over is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 games overall.
Under is 6-2 in Eagles last 8 home games.
Over is 6-2 in Eagles last 8 Thursday games.

Head to Head

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Tampa Bay at Jacksonville

ATS Trends
Tampa Bay

Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Buccaneers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.

Jacksonville

Jaguars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.

OU Trends
Tampa Bay

Under is 4-0-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games on grass.
Over is 7-0 in Buccaneers last 7 Thursday games.
Under is 5-1-1 in Buccaneers last 7 games overall.

Jacksonville

Over is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 home games.
Over is 5-2 in Jaguars last 7 games on grass.

Head to Head

Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 9

Week 8 Recap

The West Division continued to dominate the East in the CFL with Edmonton kicking off Week 8 with a 27-20 victory against Ottawa as a two-point road underdog last Thursday night. In an East Division battle for first place, Montreal got past Toronto 21-9 on Friday night as an eight-point favorite at home.

Winnipeg kept things rolling for the West on Saturday with a 39-12 rout of winless Hamilton as a two-point road favorite and in a West Division tilt on Sunday, Saskatchewan stunned British Columbia 41-8 after closing as a three-point home underdog.

Thursday, Aug. 17

Edmonton Eskimos (7-0 SU, 3-4 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -2
Total: 58 ½

Game Overview

This could be the matchup of the week in the CFL given both of these team’s proven ability to put quite a few points on the board. Through the Eskimos’ first seven games they have averaged 29.1 points behind the play of quarterback Mike Reilly. He is third in the CFL in both passing yards (2,329) and touchdown throws (13). He threw for 384 yards and two touchdowns in last week’s win, but he was also intercepted twice.

Winnipeg is second only to Calgary when it comes to scoring and with 39 points in last week’s win against Hamilton its PPG average currently stands at 34.4. Led by another gunslinger under center in Matt Nichols, the Blue Bombers have put up at least 33 points in each of their last five games. He has thrown for 2,024 yards and 13 scores while completing 68.9 percent of his 264 attempts.

Betting Trends

-- Edmonton has won eight of the last nine meetings SU and it has a 6-2-1 edge ATS in those nine games. The total has gone OVER in four of the last six meetings in Winnipeg.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 9

Thursday, August 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDMONTON (7 - 0) at WINNIPEG (5 - 2) - 8/17/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 38-62 ATS (-30.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 2-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Week 9

Trend Report

Thursday, August 17

8:30 PM
EDMONTON vs. WINNIPEG
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Edmonton is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Edmonton
Winnipeg is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 9

Thursday, August 17

Edmonton @ Winnipeg

Game 351-352
August 17, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
120.575
Winnipeg
114.035
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 6 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 1
59
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-1); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Week 9

Edmonton (7-0) @ Winnipeg (5-2)— Eskimos won 8 of last 9 games with Winnipeg, winning last five visits here, by 8-23-1-4-14 points. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Edmonton is 7-0 but has only one win by more than 7 points; they’re 1-3-1 vs spread as a favorite this season- underdogs are 5-1-1 vs spread in their games. Three of last four Eskimo games went over. Blue Bombers won their last three games; they’ve scored 33+ points in each of their last five games. Bombers are 2-1 at home. Four of Winnipeg’s last five games went over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Thursday, August 17

Thursday's CFL betting preview and odds: Eskimos at Blue Bombers

Mike Reilly completed 27-of-38 passes for 384 yards and two touchdowns last week against Ottawa to extend his touchdown passing streak to a franchise-record 17 games.

Edmonton Eskimos at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (+1, 58.5)

The Edmonton Eskimos look to remain unbeaten when they battle the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in a West Division showdown Thursday. The Eskimos held off the Ottawa Redblacks 27-20 in Week 8 to improve to 7-0 for the first time in 56 years, and hope to keep their unblemished record intact by notching their fifth straight road win in the series.

"It's something special and I know it," Edmonton coach Jason Maas told reporters. "I just love it because they're a great, hardworking group and they do it the right way on a week-to-week basis so I'm happy we're able to continue the streak." Winnipeg rolled past the struggling Hamilton Tiger-Cats 39-12 to notch its third consecutive win. The Blue Bombers are currently firing on all cylinders, averaging 38.7 points over their last four contests and hope for more offensive fireworks to turn the tide in a one-sided rivalry, which has seen Edmonton win seven of the last eight meetings. "We know we have a tough team coming into our house and it's going to be a tough four-quarter game," Winnipeg quarterback Matt Nichols told reporters. "It's going to be a tough battle but I have all the faith in the world in our guys."

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, TSN, ESPN3

LINE HISTORY: The Eskimos opened as one-point road favorites and the total hit the betting boards at 58.5. Neither number has moved off their opening figure as of Wednesday evening.

ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (7-0 SU, 3-3-1 ATS, 3-4 O/U): Mike Reilly completed 27-of-38 passes for 384 yards and two touchdowns against Ottawa to extend his touchdown passing streak to a franchise-record 17 games. Edmonton continues to be bitten by the injury bug as all-star defensive tackle Almondo Sewell (upper body) and defensive end Marcus Howard (leg) were hurt in the second half and their status is up in the air for Thursday's clash. Wide receiver Bryant Mitchell has done an admirable job filling in for an injured Brandon Zylstra as he's caught 15 passes for 235 yards and a touchdown in his last two contests.

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS, 5-2 O/U): Andrew Harris ran for 107 yards on 14 carries against Hamilton to move past George Dixon (5,615) for 32nd place on the CFL's all-time rushing list. Nichols finished 25-of-35 for 267 yards and two touchdowns against the Tiger-Cats to improve to 15-5 since replacing Drew Willy as the starting quarterback in July 2016. Defensive end Faith Ekakitie, who was selected first overall in the 2017 CFL Draft, was a healthy scratch in Week 8 as the former Iowa Hawkeye continues to struggle with his footwork and the nuances of the Canadian game.

TRENDS:

* Eskimos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 9.
* Blue Bombers are 8-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 11-5 in Eskimos last 16 games following a straight up win.
* Over is 12-3 in Blue Bombers last 15 games overall.
* Eskimos are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The home underdog Blue Bombers are getting 55 percent of the side action from Covers users and the Under is picking up 51 percent of the totals wagers.

EXTRA POINTS:

* The Eskimos have won 12 of their last 13 regular-season games dating back to last year.
* Winnipeg hasn't beaten Edmonton at home since July 26, 2012.
* The Blue Bombers lead the CFL with 10 interceptions.