Thursday 8-24-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Eagles -3.5
Jaguars +1.5
Royals -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andrew Gold
Aug 24 '17, 12:10 PM
MLB | Diamondbacks vs Mets
Play on: Diamondbacks -1½ +115 at 5Dimes

The D Backs dropped the game last night, but I expect them to clean house here today as they send out one of the most underrated pitchers in the game in Robbie Ray out to the mound. He is 9-5 on the season with a 3.11 ERA. He has been just lights out on the road with a 5-1 record and 1.47 ERA.

The Mets counter with Montero who is just 1-5 at home with a 5.66 ERA. He is really struggling with his command right now as well walking a total of 8 guys his last 3 starts in just 15 innings. The Mets are simply a mess with all the injuries and they are a team I will look to fade as the season winds down.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd
Aug 24 '17, 8:10 PM
MLB | Nationals vs Astros
Play on: Astros -140 at GTBets

Free Pick on Astros -

I like the value here with Houston at home in Thursday's series finale against the Nationals. Great pitching matchup on paper with Washington's Stephen Strasburg against the Astro's Dallas Keuchel. The big key here is that Strasburg is making just his second start back from the DL. He pitched well in his first start back, but that was at San Diego. I look for him to struggle here against a Astros offense that just put up 6 runs yesterday and is averaging 5.6 runs/game at home on the season.

I'll take my chances here with Keuchel at home, where he's 5-1 with a 1.35 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in 7 starts this season. Not to mention Houston is 13-3 in his 16 starts overall this year. Keuchel comes in having allowed just 1 earned run in his last 2 starts. He faces a Nationals offense that hasn't been the same since losing Bryce Harper. Washington comes into this one averaging just 3.0 runs/game and are hitting a mere .181 as a team over their last 7.

Nationals are a mere 5-13 in their last 18 road games off a loss by 4 runs or more. Plus, this is a tough spot for them, as they good be looking forward to returning home after a long 7-game road trip that started out in San Diego. Keuchel is 21-5 against the ML after allowing 2 runs or less in his last 2 starts and 10-3 in his last 13 starts against a top level team that's outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game. Take Houston!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Hay
Aug 24 '17, 10:05 PM
MLB | Rangers vs Angels
Play on: Angels -122 at GTBets

Free Play LA Angels

The Texas Rangers have now won seven of their last 10 games. The Rangers have scored five or more runs in seven of their last 10 games. The Texas Rangers have won 10 straight games when scoring more than three runs. Texas will go with Martin Perez against the Angels tonight. Perez record is 8-10 with a 5.26 ERA. Perez is 2-4 with a 3.53 ERA and 29 strikeouts in his career against the Angels. The Los Angeles Angels are 4-4 in their last eight games. The Angels counter with Troy Scribner tonight. Scribner has a 2-0 record with a 3.46 ERA. This will be Scribner’s first career game against the Rangers. The Rangers are 5-11 in Perezs last 16 road starts. The Angels are 9-4 in their last 13 home games and 5-1 their last 6 vs. American League West. The Rangers are 2-5 in Perezs last 7 starts vs. Angels. Perez has allowed five or more earned runs in four of his last seven starts and is allowing a .302 batting average on the road. We are getting a great price on the Angels tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE COKIN

DOLPHINS AT EAGLES
PLAY: EAGLES -3.5

I’m generally more interested in grabbing points rather than spotting them in the preseason. But for me, it’s more about gathering info as opposed to anything else, and said info has me looking at the Eagles tonight in the chalk role against the Dolphins.

The key info is courtesy of those who cover these teams most closely and are generally privy to more detail than the general observer. That certainly applies here.

These two teams have been working against one another all week in practice, and the word is that the Miami defense has had its problems with the Philly offense. The problem for the Dolphins has been with their zone defense. The secondary guys have been getting burned on a regular basis. The trench duels have been more positive, and Suh in particular has been providing all kinds of difficulty for the Eagles. But Philly also hasn’t been double teaming Suh, and I’m quite sure they will be tonight when the teams take the field for their dress rehearsal game.

That info on the Dolphins pass defense figures to be exploited by Carson Wentz and company, and the Philly offensive talent has made it clear they feel the need to get things rolling tonight. The first unit Eagles offense has been on the field for only five drives so far this preseason. They’re going to get far more extended action tonight and it sure sounds like they intend to take some deep downfield shots.

I think that’s an edge and as I’ve pointed out so many times in the past, for me betting the preseason is all about finding little edges and trying to take advantage of them. With that in mind, I’ll be siding with the Eagles to get the win and the cover tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al

Dodgers vs. Pirates
Pick: Dodgers -151

Those who were in attendance at PNC Park for the game last night witnessed a little bit of history. Dodger LHP Rich Hill was perfect through eight innings and held the Pirates hit-less through nine, but his night wasn't finished as the game went into extra innings with no score on either side. The Dodgers decided to bring Hill out for the 10th inning and Josh Harrison ended it with a walk-off homer for the home team. Thus Hill became one of just a handful of MLB pitchers to lose a game after throwing a nine-inning no-hitter. The L.A. offense looks to put that game behind it while starter Hyun-Jin Ryu looks to stay hot. The veteran southpaw has held the opposition scoreless in three of his last four starts. There may be reports that Ryu will be in the bullpen come October, but clearly he's trying to make that decision as difficult as possible for his coaches. Ryu is perfect vs. the Bucs, going 3-0 with a 2.79 ERA in three career starts against them.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Brown

Tony's *5 cfl free pick.

Winnipeg vs. Montreal, 08/24/2017 19:30 EDT

Total: -110/+55 Over

Sportsbook:
Bodog

Fp: blue bombers putting up +30 points alone during there current win streak and the last meeting between these two saw 80+ points .. I will expect more of the same when these two meet again making the over my cfl free pick ..

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ajax Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $14400 Class Rating: 58

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 KAZOOMIN 3/1

# 2 WINNERS REX 7/2

# 1 FLASHY LIFESTYLE 8/1

I've got to go with KAZOOMIN. Will probably be one of the front-runners of the group going into the halfway point of the affair. Is difficult not to examine given the company run in recently. Ran a strong last race. WINNERS REX - The almost immediate return to the track points to a reliable effort this time around. FLASHY LIFESTYLE - Entrants trained by Reid in short races are usually formidable. Recent numbers for the rider - 19 win percent - make this filly stand out in this group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Del Mar

Del Mar - Race 5

$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 Cent Trifecta $2 Rolling Double / $1 Rolling Pick Three $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) / 50 cent Pick Four


Maiden Special • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Age 2 • CR: 78 • Purse: $60,000 • Post: 4:03P
(RAIL AT 30 FEET). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000 OR LESS IN THE LAST 3 STARTS PREFERRED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. FRACAS is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FRACAS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. ARTISTIC DIVA: H orse is a first time starter and its sire's win percentage with first timers is at least 18 (minimum of 50 starts). Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
2
FRACAS
7/2

5/2
6
ARTISTIC DIVA
5/2

10/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Valuline at Evangeline Downs

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Evangeline Downs, Race 6 (Thursday August 24, 2017)

e-SMOKING ROMANCE
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

EVD-6 5.5f DIRT Nine Horses
"A" CLM 5,000 3YUP $9,500
P# dd ex p3 p4 t s ML WP TVL

1 e-SMOKING ROMANCE 9/5 42% 7/5 Strong Favorite icon
5 JOBAY 9/2 17% 5/1
8 UNITAS 7/2 13% 7/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park - Race #3 - Post: 2:21pm - SO - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 87

Rating: 4

#2 ESKEN LADY (ML=7/2)
#4 MISS VISCONTI (ML=10/1)


ESKEN LADY - The rider and handler combination have a beneficial return on investment when they join forces. Not much pace in this race other than this horse. Ran last time out against a much better field at Gulfstream Park. The move to a lower class rank should suit her well. MISS VISCONTI - The ROI when Alvarado and Estevez partner up is terrific. Jockey hops back up on board after getting to know the horse by riding last out. That's always a great angle. This mare is in nice form, having run a nice race on August 6th, finishing first.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 AMALUNA (ML=9/5), #5 WINNING FOR SARAH (ML=5/2), #1 LOYAL HEART (ML=6/1),

AMALUNA - This horse doesn't have a winner's mental state. Very often finishes in the place or show spot. WINNING FOR SARAH - Would have to get much more than the morning line odds of 5/2 to play this horse. LOYAL HEART - This filly didn't race too well last time out.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#2 ESKEN LADY is going to be the play if we are getting 8/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 77

FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000 IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT 5 FURLONGS ON THE MAIN TRACK.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 OUT OF THE OFFICE 3/1

# 6 OATER 7/5

# 4 VOLT 15/1

I have to consider OUT OF THE OFFICE here. Jockey's recent ROI figures make this colt a very good bet. Must be given a chance based on the strong speed rating posted in the last race. Is a strong contender based on figures garnered lately under today's conditions. OATER - Has very good Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of horses - worth a look. Demonstrates the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 70 speed rating which is one of the strongest in this group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Penn National - Race #5 - Post: 7:49pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 96

Rating: 3

#2 NEBIKON (ML=4/1)
#4 BOWMAN'S BEAST (ML=5/1)
#6 HUNTIN'THEHOLIDAYS (ML=6/1)


NEBIKON - When a thoroughbred drops at least 5 pounds (like this one is), you must take notice. It may not seem like much, but could make the difference. This one could be a possible overlay right here at morning odds of 4/1. Finished fourth in last race at Penn National but was close at the finish. Closed well in last race. Longer distance should help. BOWMAN'S BEAST - This jock/conditioner duo has been producing a very profitable ROI, right at +29. HUNTIN'THEHOLIDAYS - When Hernandez and Graci team up on animals the return on investment has been wonderful at +56. This horse has increased his Equibase speed figures in each of the last 2 races. That kind of progress is worth considering when its time to bet. This gelding's last rating is strong enough to win here, I'll invest in him right back in today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 ESCAPE TO THE MOON (ML=5/2), #5 GREY GATOR (ML=3/1), #3 CAPTURED (ML=5/1),

ESCAPE TO THE MOON - This gelding finished out of the top three on September 9th and wasn't close to victory in the last race either. GREY GATOR - This gelding is always in the money, but just doesn't win. Difficult to play him on the win end. CAPTURED - This stretch-runner looks to have slight chance without a speed duel on the front end.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #2 NEBIKON to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/2 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,4,6] with [2,4,6] with [2,3,4,5,6] with [2,3,4,5,6] Total Cost: $36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Presque Isle Downs

Presque Isle Downs - Race 2

$2WPS / $2 Exacta / Trifecta (min .50 cent) / Superfecta (min .10 cent) Pick 3 (min .50 cent) (Races 2-3-4) / Pick 4 (min .50 cent) (Races 2-3-4-5)


Claiming $7,500 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 5:50P
(PLUS UP TO 30% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 24 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * CEREBRAL: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. GREATEST GAME: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 5 0. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
4
CEREBRAL
7/2

7/2
2
GREATEST GAME
3/1

9/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Saratoga

RACE #9 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 5:18 PM EASTERN POST
The Riskaverse Stakes
8.0 FURLONGS INNER TURF THREE YEAR OLD FILLIES STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE

#10 CHUBBY STAR
#13 RUBILINDA
#6 BERNAVIDA
#8 DANCELAND

The turf race for 3-year-old fillies was first run in 2009 and named for Peter G. Schiff's outstanding mare, a two-time winner of the Flower Bowl Invitational in 2004-05. Riskaverse, who also won the 2002 Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup, retired with more than $2 million in earnings. Schiff, president of Northwood Ventures, LLC, named the daughter of Dynaformer after an economic concept based on the behavior of investors who, when faced with two investments with a similar expected return (but different risks), will prefer the one with the lower risk. Here in the 9th running of "The Verse," #10 CHUBBY STAR, a 9-2 shot, has turned in "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in each of her last five outings, hitting the board in three of those races, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 4th race back. #13 RUBILINDA, the morning line favorite, broke her maiden in her "first asking," and comes off a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish in her last start.