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hope you going to have the gold sheet and winning pts this year.
thank youComment
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Mendoza Line Newsletter Records from last year: Special Thanks to Mendoza & Buzz for the info!
Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season.
Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.
I put some of the extreme hot and cold plays in bold this week.
Lots of games where the line really mattered this week. Different outcomes for different newsletters this week. Some wins, losses, and pushes depending on the lines they used in both the Ohio State/Wisconsin game and the Stanford/USC game. Lots of pushes in the Memphis/UCF game. All have been graded based on the lines they used at their time of release.
CKO (No CKO this week. I think they're done for the season.)
11* (4-6-1)
10* (25-18)
Totals (9-11)
Marc Lawrence Playbook NCAA (Playbook plays tracked here went 1-6 overall this week)
5* (7-5-1)
4* (8-5)
3* (7-6)
Upset pick (4-9-1)
Betcha Didn't Know (10-8)
Awesome Angle (10-6)
Incredible Stat (5-8-1)
Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
5* (8-5)
4* (4-9)
3* (3-10)
Pointwise NCAA
1* (14-10)
2* (9-3-1)
3* (4-10)
4* (9-19)
5* (16-11)
Pointwise NFL
3* (5-8)
4* (14-11-1)
5* (15-11)
PowerSweep NCAA
4* (3-9)
3* (12-13-2)
2* (19-9)
Underdog Play of the Week (6-6-1)
Tech Play of the Week (2-8)
Revenge Play of the Week (7-5-1)
Situational Play of the Week (3-7-1)
Series Play of the Week (6-5)
PowerSweep NFL
4* (9-4)
3* (9-3-1)
2* (6-7)
NFL System play (6-6-1)
4* Pro Angle (3-1)
Powers Picks NCAA
3* (6-17-1)
2* (20-19-2)
1* (2-1)
Powers Picks NFL
4* (0-1)
3* (4-6-1)
2* (14-12)
1* (0-0)
Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (1-0-1)
NCAA Best Bets (22-29-2)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-1)
NFL Best Bets (12-12-1)
Red Sheet
89* (15-8-2)
88* (26-19-2)
Winning Points (went 4-0 overall this week)
NCAA 4* (3-10-1)
NCAA 3* (8-5-1)
NFL 4* (5-8)
NFL 3* (7-6)
Killer Sports, not including teasers
MTI 5* (2-0)
MTI 4.5* (10-2)
MTI 4* (5-7)
MTI 3* (0-0)
SBB 4.5* (4-0)
SBB 4* (8-14)
Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet
3* (8-5)
2* (12-13-1)
PowerPlays
NCAA 4.5* (13-19-7)
NFL 4* (6-7)
Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (27-24-2)
NFL Key Releases (18-20) (Pitt -6.5 pending for Monday night)
I'll eliminate the college plays from the next update, and we'll be NFL only for the rest of the season.
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Final report of the season.
Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season.
Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.
This thread is NFL only after the conclusion of college football's regular season.
Marc Lawrence Playbook
Upset pick (4-12-1)
Betcha Didn't Know (10-8)
Awesome Angle (11-7-1)
Incredible Stat (6-9-1)
Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL (3-0 this week)
5* (12-5)
4* (6-11)
3* (7-10)
Pointwise NFL (1-4 this week)
3* (8-9)
4* (15-18-1)
5* (17-17)
PowerSweep NFL (4-0 this week)
4* (13-4)
3* (11-5-1)
2* (9-8)
NFL System play (8-8-1)
4* Pro Angle (4-2)
Powers Picks NFL (3-0 this week)
4* (0-1)
3* (6-6-1)
2* (19-13)
1* (1-0)
Sports Reporter
NFL Super Best Bets (0-1)
NFL Best Bets (15-18-1)
Winning Points
NFL 4* (7-10)
NFL 3* (8-8-1)
Killer Sports, not including teasers
MTI 5* (3-0-1)
MTI 4.5* (13-2)
MTI 4* (7-8)
MTI 3* (0-0)
SBB 4.5* (4-2)
SBB 4* (11-17)
Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet
3* (11-6)
2* (17-18-1)
PowerPlays
NFL 4* (7-10)
Gold Sheet
NFL Key Releases (25-26)Comment
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MEGALOCKS 1st release of the year...
Wake Forest at Tulane – College Football Predictions
Wake Forest at Tulane – College Football Predictions
The Game
It doesn’t get much better than this.
The Green Wave came within a sliver of turf of making a bowl game last season and should be motivated to get things off on the right foot. Wake Forest is turning into an EMERGING JUGGERNAUT under HC Dave Clawson these days and will be a handful for Tulane.
Thursday night SWEET ACC vs AAC ACTION in New Orleans. Let’s do this.
The Details
Wake Forest -6 Tulane (56)
MEGALOCKS LINE – Wake Forest -4
“Vegas” Implied Projected Score: Wake Forest 31 Tulane 25
The Match-Up
Wake Forest offense vs Tulane defense
This should be interesting, yo. Wake Forest starting QB Kendall Hinton has been suspended for the first three games of the season and the keys to the car have been turned over to true freshman (!) Sam Hartman who has looked very good in camp. Having said that, QB John Wolford was fantastic last season (29-6 TD to INT) and it remains to be seen how lethal this offense can be without Wolford leading the way. The offensive line looks great on paper and returns all five starters. They are also deep at RB but will miss the services of dangerous WR Scotty Washington (INJ). Tulane was average on defense last season allowing 29 PPG but they were roasted on the ground (210 YPG) and only bagged 14 sacks. They only return five starters to the stop unit and will be without their top-two tacklers from last season.
Tulane did well last season playing against “non-elite” offenses. It’s hard to see Wake ripping through the Green Wave defense with a true freshman making his first start BUT they will definitely get their points. A mistake or two here or there could be very costly because Tulane is going to have fun on offense as well.
Tulane offense vs Wake Forest defense
The Green Wave features a spread option attack that is tough to prepare for and difficult to stop. Mobile senior QB Jonathan Banks is a fine fit for the offense and is a very smart and dangerous runner. Overall, the Green Wave bring back nine starters on this side of the ball and even added stud LT Noah Fisher to the mix. Tulane has improved their PPG in three consecutive seasons (16.0, 19.7, 24.1, 27.5 LY) and will be a handful for all but the stingiest defenses on their docket. Wake Forest does not fit into that category as they allowed 457 (!) YPG last year and will be without a pair of rock solid LBs from last season’s team. That’s not ideal when facing the Green Wave spread option. Wake Forest will have to be very disciplined and force a couple of turnovers. Trying too hard to get up the field and disrupt timing can often lead to big plays.
Trends, Intangibles and More!
Tulane HC Willie Fritz is an impressive 42-28-3 (60%) vs the point spread as HC….Dave Clawson also does good work vs Vegas with a 65-48-2 (57.5%) mark vs the number…..Our Tulane INSIDERS tell us not to expect a repeat of the 2016 game with Wake Forest (7-3 SNOT BUBBLER in favor of the Deacs).
Summary
This is almost certainly going to be an entertaining game with both offenses holding the upper hand. Wake has the OL/RB combo that could easily dominate the game and Tulane has to find a way to avoid getting ripped apart on the ground. The young Wake QB looks like the real deal in practice but let’s see how it translates in game one. Tulane is a tough team to prepare for and getting a TD feels like a good play, particularly when considering the Demon Deacons’ defense does not appear to be anything special on paper.
Conclusion
Official play: Tulane +6 (line is widely available) (play down to +4.5)
Lean: Over 56.Comment
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