Victor King's NFL Totals Tipsheet
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Zcode NFL Week 3
The NFL season has been unpredictable thus far. After the first two weeks,the Philadelphia Eagles, New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers, whocombined to go 39-9 last season, are a combined 2-3-1 to start 2018. Take alook at some of the match ups for this week!
New Orleans Saintsversus Atlanta Falcons
In this NFC South battle, both teams enter coming off victories and a 1-1start. The teams split last season, both winning as home favorites. Atlantacomes in as a three point favorite. The Saints hold a +8 to +3 advantage on thePower Ranking Indicator and “average down” versus “dead” on the Team StrengthOscillator. The Falcons are tied for the sixth most unstable team in theleague according to the Team Volatility Oscillator. Although the teams have anequal record, the Falcons have had much tougher competition in Philadelphia andCarolina. Take the Falcons minus the three points.
Indianapolis Coltsversus Philadelphia Eagles
The big story in this game is the return of Carson Wentz from major kneesurgery. While the Eagles are hurting with the loss of Alshon Jeffery, MikeWallace and perhaps Jay Ajayi, the return of Wentz instantly boosts team moraleand the Philadelphia crowd will be the 12th man. The Eagles hold a +25 to+7 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. Indianapolis is “average” on theTeam Strength Oscillator and the Eagles are “ice cold down” following the lossto the Buccaneers. A six-point home favorite, the Eagles have been very good athome and tough defensively. The Eagles should win and cover.
New York Giantsversus Houston Texans
The Giants come in starting off 0-2 and looking porous on the offensiveline. Houston is also 0-2 but come in as a six-point home favorite. The Giantshave a narrow +10 to +9 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator. Both teams are“average down” on the Team Strength Oscillator. New York is -12 pointdifferential, while the Texans are -10. Very closely matched, the edgehas to go to the Texans, who will be motivated for their home opener. The Texanswill win this game and drop the Giants to 0-3.
Denver Broncos versusBaltimore Ravens
The Broncos needed a strong fourth quarter to overtake the Raiders andimprove to 2-0. Baltimore fell on the road after opening at home with a win. Afive-point favorite, the Ravens hold a +31 to +21 advantage on the PowerRanking Indicator and both teams are “burning hot” on the Team StrengthOscillator. One of the most unstable teams in the league according to theTeam Volatility Oscillator, betting according to Broncos’ favorite/underdogstatus is likely not wise. Denver is not nearly as strong on the road, but willgo out on the limb a bit and pick them as the upset choice this week. Denverwill not only cover, bit win outright.
Los Angeles Chargersversus Los Angeles Rams
The last time these two teams met in 2014, neither were playing in LosAngeles. The Chargers at 1-1 were in San Diego, while the Rams at 2-0 were inSt. Louis. The Rams are +27 on the Power Ranking Indicator and “average”status, while the Chargers are +19 and “average up”. The Rams havedominated defensively over the first two games, giving up only 6.5 points pergame. They come in as a 6.5 point favorite. The Chargers have been solidoffensively, but likely can’t keep up with the firepower or Jared Goff and ToddGurley, among others. The Rams will win this high scoring game and cover.
Green Bay Packersversus Washington Redskins
Coming off a tie to the Vikings, the 1-0-1 Packers take on a Redskins teamwho fell to the Colts at home. Green Bay won the last meeting in 2016 asa road underdog. Coming in as a three-point road favorite, the Packershave a +22 to +20 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and “average” versus“ice cold up” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Both teams are among the mostunstable in the league after the first two weeks, so proceed with caution whenconsidering favorite/underdog status. As long as Green Bay can protect AaronRodgers and his injured knee, the Packers win the game. Green Bay will takethis by at least a touchdown.Comment
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