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THE RED SHEET
OCTOBER 12, 2024 VOLUME 56 - NUMBER 7
ILLINOIS 44 - Purdue 10 - (3:30 EDT) -- Line opened at Illinois minus 20, and is now minus 19?. Hey, we'll take it,
namely the ? pt move in our direction. Just about every informed fan can figure the main reason for
this selection, & it isn't the underwhelming offense of the Illini, which has posted a season-high of just
31 pts in its OT win at Nebraska. However Illinois keeps finding ways triumph in the battle of the
spread, with its only SU loss of the season, coming in its 21-7 loss to #4 PennSt, holding the Lions to
season-lows in scoring, passing, & rushing. Purdue a 184-44 pt deficit in LGs year, with Timbob 8-25 MLB Plays "D".
RATING: ILLINOIS 89
PITTSBURGH 30 - California 13 - (3:30) -- Line opened at Pittsburgh minus 3?, and is now minus 3. To start with, note
that the host in Panther games was on a 10-1 spread run, before Pitt turned that trend on its ear, with
LW's 7? pt cover at NoCarolina, with once again doing it behind the passing efforts of Holstein
(transfer from Alabama) who now stands at 313 PYpg & 15/3. The Bears are 7-12 ATS as the dog, &
are in off a 30-13 FD deficit, while ranking 83rd in total offense. As noted earlier, Cal lives by the
turnover, as the Bears rank 3rd in the nation with a +8 margin. With spread at a FG, take advantage.
RATING: PITTSBURGH 89
Boise State 63 - HAWAII 27 - (11:00) -- Line opened at BoiseSt minus 21?, & is now minus 20?. A respected member
of our staff is inordinately consumed by the power of the ? pt on either side of a TD or FG, & after all
these years, we simply have to agree, especially with the spread on this one being a perfect example,
moving 3 TD spot our way. Whether or not the Warriors need it is another matter. The 17th-ranked
Broncos of Boise, are just a 3-pt loss at Oregon, from SU perfection, & should continue, behind the
weekly exploits of the land's top RB, as Jeanty owns 260 RY edge over his closest competitor. Rout.
RATING: BOISE STATE 88
NEW MEXICO 34 - Air Force 13 - (7:00) -- Line opened at New Mexico minus -3?, and is now minus 6?. Never in a
thousand years, did we could imagine the Falcons of Air Force, as a TD dog in this rivalry. The Lobos
have always been a bit sporadic, when it comes to their overland production, but never low enough to
take the field as the chalk vs the flyers. However, things have changed, most notably with the Falcons
as they returned exactly 6 starters from LY's bowl winning campaign, coming from 1st & 2nd in RYs
the past 2 years to TY's 58th & 131st in rushing & total offense, with 96-29 SU pt deficit in L3 gms.
RATING: NEW MEXICO 88
ARMY 70 - Uab 30 - (12:00) -- Line opened at Army minus 24?, and is now minus 25?. Cadets are the 2nd military
outfit to grace this week's publication, altho the reasoning is poles apart, with the Black Knights moving
to the top spot in the nation in rushing (361 RYpg). Army is now on a 7-0 spread run by 132? pts,
as well as a 128-35 pt edge in its last 3 games. while climbing to the #9 slot in total "D". The Blazers,
on the other hand, have little competition in hurrying to the bottom of the run "D" barrel, where they've
settled at 126th in rushing defense (8th worst), allowing 227 RYpg. Appears huge spot is generous.
RATING: ARMY 88
Detroit 31 - DALLAS 20 - (4:25) -- Line opened at Detroit minus 3?, and is still minus 3?. Well, they're doing it again,
as the Lions are just a 4-pt loss to the Bucs, from arriving here with a perfect slate, something that
would match what Detroit QB Goff did in Lions' Monday win over the Seahawks. He was a spectacular
18-OF-18 for 292 yds, 2 passing TDs, along with a TD catch in that 42-29 win, which keeps the Lions
just a game behind the perfect Vikings, who are on a sweet 8-0 run, SU & ATS, when including the
preseason. Detroit has Minny up next week, therefore cannot afford any letdown of focus. Lion call.
RATING: DETROIT LIONS 88
NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): BYU, LSU, Tennessee, Western Mich - NFL: Washington, Green Bay, NY Jets
LARGE LINE MOVES: Utah (-3 to -6?); New Mexico (-3? to -6?); Fla Intl (+20? to +17?); San Diego St (+? to -2);
UTSA (-4 to -6); Memphis (-6 to -8); Miss St (+34 to +32); Colorado (+5? to +4); So Carolina (+22? to +21); Penn St (-
4 to -5); Army (-24? to -25?); Bowling Grn (-2 to -3); Stanford (+23? to +22?); Akron (+9? to +8?); BYU (-3? to -4?);
Hawaii (+21? to +20?); New Mexico St (+21 to +20); UTEP (+20? to +19?); La Tech (-4 to -5); NFL:Tampa Bay (+2?
to -2?); Atlanta (-4? to -6?); Indianapolis (+? to -1); Cleveland (+9? to +8?); KEY INJURIES: Appalachian St WR
Horn (Und) ??; Arizona St WR McClain (redshirting); BYU WR Epps (Und) Out; Boise St WR Marshall (ankle) Pos-
sible; Calif WR Grayes (Und) ??; WR Merriweather (Und) ??; UConn RB Rosa (finger) ??; Duke RB Moore (leg) ??;
East Carolina RB Bond (Und) ??; Georgia WR Young (legal) ??;Georgia Tech QB Leary (transfer portal); Old
Dominion QB Wilson (Und) ??; Oregon St RB Griffin (Und) ??; Southern Miss QB Crawford (Und) ??; Temple RB
Washington (Und) ??; UCLA WR Flores (Und) ??; QB Garbers (lower leg) Probable; Wyoming RB Jones (personal)
Out; - NFL: Atlanta RB McClellan (illness) ??; Baltimore RB Ali (neck) ??; Cleveland RB Chubb (knee) Out; RB Hines
(knee) Out; RB Strong (hamstring) ??; Denver RB Badie (back) Out; Green Bay WR Watson (ankle) Doubtful; Hous-
ton RB Brooks (knee) Out; RB Mixon (ankle) Out; RB Pierce (hamstring) ??; Indianapolis QB Richardson (oblique) ??;
Las Vegas RB White (groin) Out; Miami QB Thompson (ribs) ??; NY Giants RB Singletary (groin) Doubtful; New
Orleans QB Carr (oblique) ??; RB Miller (hamstring) Doubtful; Pittsburgh RB Warren (knee) Out; Washington QB
Mariota (pectoral) ??; RB Robinson (knee) ??...Comment
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Thanks everyone for their continued support!
2024 NFL Week 6/NCAAF Week 7 Newsletters
Pointwise: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1mPq...fIqXKVJ_R/view
Victor King's Totals Tipsheet: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1skN...MNUQMIVr_/view
Gold Sheet: https://drive.google.com/file/d/188V...AvKwOg0iP/view
Gridiron Gold Sheet NCAAF: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1D22...Nv_mxBNU9/view
Gridiron Gold Sheet NFL: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1IEZ...h9rV-FXlZ/view
Phil Steele Inside The Pressbox NCAAF: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Nyn...-ZG16aiQx/view
Winning Points: https://drive.google.com/file/d/10Ma...2NbEnn1v6/view
Power Sweep: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1XN5...fB0ACK8q3/view
Brad Powers: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1f0O...q8wRTN_H2/view
Power Plays: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1GL6...IDoA2gocC/view
Playbook: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1oX1...rxHe3OH2_/view
THE RED SHEET
OCTOBER 12, 2024 VOLUME 56 - NUMBER 7
ILLINOIS 44 - Purdue 10 - (3:30 EDT) -- Line opened at Illinois minus 20, and is now minus 19?. Hey, we'll take it,
namely the ? pt move in our direction. Just about every informed fan can figure the main reason for
this selection, & it isn't the underwhelming offense of the Illini, which has posted a season-high of just
31 pts in its OT win at Nebraska. However Illinois keeps finding ways triumph in the battle of the
spread, with its only SU loss of the season, coming in its 21-7 loss to #4 PennSt, holding the Lions to
season-lows in scoring, passing, & rushing. Purdue a 184-44 pt deficit in LGs year, with Timbob 8-25 MLB Plays "D".
RATING: ILLINOIS 89
PITTSBURGH 30 - California 13 - (3:30) -- Line opened at Pittsburgh minus 3?, and is now minus 3. To start with, note
that the host in Panther games was on a 10-1 spread run, before Pitt turned that trend on its ear, with
LW's 7? pt cover at NoCarolina, with once again doing it behind the passing efforts of Holstein
(transfer from Alabama) who now stands at 313 PYpg & 15/3. The Bears are 7-12 ATS as the dog, &
are in off a 30-13 FD deficit, while ranking 83rd in total offense. As noted earlier, Cal lives by the
turnover, as the Bears rank 3rd in the nation with a +8 margin. With spread at a FG, take advantage.
RATING: PITTSBURGH 89
Boise State 63 - HAWAII 27 - (11:00) -- Line opened at BoiseSt minus 21?, & is now minus 20?. A respected member
of our staff is inordinately consumed by the power of the ? pt on either side of a TD or FG, & after all
these years, we simply have to agree, especially with the spread on this one being a perfect example,
moving 3 TD spot our way. Whether or not the Warriors need it is another matter. The 17th-ranked
Broncos of Boise, are just a 3-pt loss at Oregon, from SU perfection, & should continue, behind the
weekly exploits of the land's top RB, as Jeanty owns 260 RY edge over his closest competitor. Rout.
RATING: BOISE STATE 88
NEW MEXICO 34 - Air Force 13 - (7:00) -- Line opened at New Mexico minus -3?, and is now minus 6?. Never in a
thousand years, did we could imagine the Falcons of Air Force, as a TD dog in this rivalry. The Lobos
have always been a bit sporadic, when it comes to their overland production, but never low enough to
take the field as the chalk vs the flyers. However, things have changed, most notably with the Falcons
as they returned exactly 6 starters from LY's bowl winning campaign, coming from 1st & 2nd in RYs
the past 2 years to TY's 58th & 131st in rushing & total offense, with 96-29 SU pt deficit in L3 gms.
RATING: NEW MEXICO 88
ARMY 70 - Uab 30 - (12:00) -- Line opened at Army minus 24?, and is now minus 25?. Cadets are the 2nd military
outfit to grace this week's publication, altho the reasoning is poles apart, with the Black Knights moving
to the top spot in the nation in rushing (361 RYpg). Army is now on a 7-0 spread run by 132? pts,
as well as a 128-35 pt edge in its last 3 games. while climbing to the #9 slot in total "D". The Blazers,
on the other hand, have little competition in hurrying to the bottom of the run "D" barrel, where they've
settled at 126th in rushing defense (8th worst), allowing 227 RYpg. Appears huge spot is generous.
RATING: ARMY 88
Detroit 31 - DALLAS 20 - (4:25) -- Line opened at Detroit minus 3?, and is still minus 3?. Well, they're doing it again,
as the Lions are just a 4-pt loss to the Bucs, from arriving here with a perfect slate, something that
would match what Detroit QB Goff did in Lions' Monday win over the Seahawks. He was a spectacular
18-OF-18 for 292 yds, 2 passing TDs, along with a TD catch in that 42-29 win, which keeps the Lions
just a game behind the perfect Vikings, who are on a sweet 8-0 run, SU & ATS, when including the
preseason. Detroit has Minny up next week, therefore cannot afford any letdown of focus. Lion call.
RATING: DETROIT LIONS 88
NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): BYU, LSU, Tennessee, Western Mich - NFL: Washington, Green Bay, NY JetsComment
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Newsletter Tracking (through 10/14/2024)
**Major update to Gold Sheet this week. I finally separated the picks into their proper categories. (I swear they used to all be "Key Releases" lol) This season, we missed their newsletter for Weeks 2 and 3 entirely, and Week 6 was the issue that had everything but the actual college picks.**
The records here will reflect the lines listed in the newsletters at the time the plays were published. This is for the rated plays, the high-ranking plays, and any type of play worth tracking. There’s no reason to keep track of every bottom-tier or “recommended” play; it’s not worth the work.
Sometimes the newsletters will cheat a little by claiming a different common or later line if it turns a loss into a push or otherwise boosts their record. I’ll usually be able to note what happened to explain the discrepancy. This week several newsletters had picks on Boise. Most won at the early line of -20.5, and only Pointwise pushed at -21.
I’ll also highlight particularly good or bad weekends or short-term runs. I will not include picks from newsletter issues that we don’t get in time.
Starting to color-code the hottest and coldest records. Usually just anything hitting/missing around 70% or more with a reasonable sample.
Gridiron Gold Sheet (4th week we've gotten it this season)
NCAA (9-16-0)
NFL (11-6-0) (includes going 5-0 in NFL this week)
Bondi Bulletin (didn't get this one this week)
2* NCAA (2-2-1)
1* NCAA (7-7-0)
2* NFL (3-1-0)
1* NFL (3-5-0)
CKO
11* (0-0-0)
10* (0-0-0)
Marc Lawrence Playbook NCAA
5* (5-2-0)
4* (4-3-0)
3* (4-3-0)
Upset pick (3-4-0)
Betcha Didn't Know (1-4-1)
Awesome Angle (5-2-0)
Incredible Stat (1-3-0)
Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL (0-3 this week)
5* (3-3-0)
4* (2-4-0)
3* (2-4-0)
Pointwise NCAA
1* (9-4-1)
2* (3-4-0)
3* (4-3-0)
4* (7-7-0)
5* (8-6-0)
Pointwise NFL
3* (1-5-0)
4* (4-7-1)
5* (2-10-0)
Power Sweep NCAA
4* (5-2-0)
3* (9-5-0)
2* (8-5-1)
Underdog Play of the Week (4-3-0)
Tech Play of the Week (2-3-0)
Revenge Play of the Week (4-2-0)
Situational Play of the Week (2-3-0)
Series Play of the Week (2-3-0)
Power Sweep NFL
4* (2-4-0)
3* (1-5-0)
2* (4-2-0)
4* Pro Angle (0-0-0)
3* o/u play (4-2-0)
Power Rating POW (2-3-0)
Power Plays
NCAA 4.5* (13-6-0) (includes 3-0 this week)
NCAA 4* (24-17-2)
NFL 4* (3-3-0)
Red Sheet
90* (0-0-0)
89* (6-8-0)
88* (15-7-0) (includes 3-0 this week)
NFL 88* (4-2-0)
Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
NCAA Best Bets (11-8-0)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-0-0)
NFL Best Bets (4-7-1)
Winning Points
NCAA 4* (3-4-0)
NCAA 3* (4-3-0)
NFL 4* (3-3-0)
NFL 3* (2-3-1)
King’s Totals Tipsheet (finally a winning week, 4-1 overall)
3* (2-2-0)
2* (7-7-0)
Team Total of the Week
2* (0-3-0)
1* (4-5-0)
Gold Sheet NCAA
Key Releases (4-7-0)
Priority Picks (3-5-0)
Tech Plays (4-2-0)
Gold Sheet NFL
Key Releases (6-4-0)
Priority Picks (1-3-0)
Tech Plays (3-2-1)
Powers' Ratings NCAA
(can't really track his main plays this year)
Top Computer Play (3-4-0)
Powers' Ratings NFL
3* (0-0-0)
2* (0-0-0)
1* (0-0-0)
Inside the Press Box NCAA
Phil's Best Bets (17-12-0)
Computer Best Bets (16-10-0)
Inside the Press Box NFL
Phil’s Best Bets (6-9-0)
Computer Best Bets (0-0-0)Comment
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Thanks everyone for their continued support!
2024 NFL Week 7/NCAAF Week 8 Newsletters
Gridiron Gold Sheet NCAAF: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Jc2...-JH2A9slF/view
Gridiron Gold Sheet NFL: https://drive.google.com/file/d/13bB...2uSZoNHYe/view
Pointwise: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Yhx...QebYY4Vmd/view
Victor Kings Totals Tipsheet: https://drive.google.com/file/d/19jV...bXdC5dYaM/viewComment
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Thank you….Conley for all of your hard work.Comment
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Anyone have playbook? thanks in advance.Comment
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Does anyone have the regular gold sheet? Thank you !Comment
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THE RED SHEET
OCTOBER 19, 2024 VOLUME 56 - NUMBER 8
Texas A&M 52 - MISSISSIPPI STATE 17 - (4:15 EDT) -- Line opened at TexasA&M minus 15, and is now minus 15?.
Sure, the Bulldogs of MississippiSt have the revenge factor on their side in this game, but unless their
opponent has the firepower to take full advantage of the situation, something that the Bulldogs just don't
possess, ranking 78th in total offense, it won't matter. And just as important as not being able to move
the ball, there is the lack of strength on defense, with MissSt owning the 124th spot in total "D". Note
that MSt foes here (14th-ranked Missouri) covered its last RG by 28? pts. Ags currently on 5-0 run.
RATING: TEXAS A&M 89
Iowa 34 - MICHIGAN STATE 10 - (7:30) -- Line opened at Iowa minus 6, and is still minus 6. As we stated earlier in the
week, the Hawkeyes have always fielded a power defense, consistently holding foes to season lows,
not only in scoring, but in yardage, where they are constantly finishing among the elite stop units in
the land, ranking 9th in '20, 16th in '21, 2nd in '22, & 7th in '23. HC Ferentz need change nothing, &
won't for this. By the way, he just coached his 200th game with Iowa (2nd only to Woody Hayes in Big
Ten history). Spartans are once again fading, with a 92-36 pt deficit in their last games. Hawkeyes!
RATING: IOWA 89
Duke 34 - FLORIDA STATE 14 - (7:00 Friday) -- Line opened at Duke minus 3, and is still minus 3. The Seminoles of
Florida St have placed themselves among a group head coaches who ruled over a team of players
who've suffered a near total collapse of their capabilities, in record speed. Sems have come from a
preseason Top Ten position, to a squad with but one win over the first half of the season (5 pts), with a
single cover (2 pts), while ranking 125th, 127th, 133rd, & 83rd in total, scoring, rushing, & passing
"O". Duke is no prize but at least is safe at home (26-13 ATS), & on 18-6-1 spread run. Lay the FG.
RATING: DUKE 88
Smu 52 - STANFORD 24 - (8:00) -- Line opened at SMU minus 15, and is now minus 15?. A pair of teams which are
headed in the opposite directions. The Stanford Card had been a patsy, before hiring Jim Harbaugh
in '07, with the result being double digit wins with 4-of-5 bowl victories, until the decline began in '19,
with 4-8, 3-9, 3-9,& 3-9 campaigns totalling an ATS mark of an atrocious 14-36, with embarrassing
wipeout losses commonplace. But things seem to have improved with hiring of HC Taylor, & LY's 5-6
SU record (3-9 ATS). But it's it's back to normal with 120-28 pt deficit last 3 weeks. Self destroying.
RATING: SMU 88
TULANE 49 - Rice 13 - (3:30) -- Line opened at Tulane minus 22, and is now minus 22?. As we've noted earlier in the
week, the Green Wave of Tulane is a team which receives little notice, no matter its accomplishments,
which has seen them posting 12-2 & 11-3 SU records in '22 & '23, including their stellar 11-2 spread
record in '22, with that heartstopping 46-45 win over Southern Cal in the Cotton Bowl. Loss of brilliant
QB Pratt seemed to gut Greenies, with this year's 1-2 start, but they've turned it around, with 3 straight
wins, by combined 157-63 pt edge, covering their last 2 games by 31 & 32 pts. Owls on 1-5 ATS run.
RATING: TULANE 88
BUFFALO BILLS 33 - Tennessee 16 - (1:00) -- Line opened at Buffalo minus 8?, & is still minus 8?. Of course, we live
close to the site where the Bills live & prosper, so have to take most of the talk with a bit of salt, but one
would be surprised as to the amount of times that the locals wrote off the Bills, when the truth of the
matter is that "one game does not a season make", with no team in the NFC outscoring the 4-2 Bills,
certainly not these Titans, who've managed just one win all season, with their 1-4 mark their worst start
since '05. That's 19 years, folks. Bills are an ultimate streak squad, with this one making it 2 straight.
RATING: BUFFALO BILLS 88
NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): Indiana, Colorado, Wisconsin, Navy - NFL: Kansas City, Detroit, PhiladelphiaComment
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